Azerbaijan Armenia Tensions

Vergennes said:

Lol why is this kind of convoy pretty much "déjà vu" ?

Ask the Ukrainians in 2014 when the separatists were on the verge of collapse and suddenly "Russian humanitarian convoys" came out of nowhere with dubious and suspicious loads that couldn't be checked independently. We know what happened next.

99% chances many of those trucks are carrying other things than "humanitarian supplies".

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These convoys do not matter unless Russia directly or indirectly goes to war with Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan is not a Ukraine. When Ukraine goes to war, there is not a single country in this world that will fight with it against the Russians.

Remember this guy?

SOnu gusel

thanks to KORAL? if one, it might happen, but two of them?

Assalamu'alaikum warahmatullahi wabarakatuh to Muslim
& Good day to the rest

Vergennes said:

Lol why is this kind of convoy pretty much "déjà vu" ?

Ask the Ukrainians in 2014 when the separatists were on the verge of collapse and suddenly "Russian humanitarian convoys" came out of nowhere with dubious and suspicious loads that couldn't be checked independently. We know what happened next.

99% chances many of those trucks are carrying other things than "humanitarian supplies".

Click to expand...

We saw that recently in Syria done by Turkish side, as you mentioned Ukraine and now we will most probably see it here. Russian strategy is the same everywhere they have interests.

The current Minister of Defence Sergey Shoygu personally handled the coordination of "humanitarian aid" convoys in South Ossetia as Minister of Emergency Situations at that time. The situation really looks very similar in Karabakh.

If Azerbaijan wants to secure Karabakh without "secondaries" its sovereign authority within the law should be used to establish additional checkpoints and control the enter and exit of civil transportation. I smell insurgency starting soon after 1-2 years at most if proper control is not established. We tend to see still recon groups being encountered in the forests which is suggesting rogue elements or not so rogue when I think more deeply.

A guerilla war in Karabakh will be very destructive. Azerbaijan is not so experienced in that kind of warfare on strategical level and If Turkey don't get control over the situation I don't see a happy ending. Reportedly Turkey's observation mission will last for 1 year and I am not sure what are the circumstances around it's possible extension.

If the above measures are not taken and the sole control over Lachin corridor and the entry points of Hankendi are in FSB's hands and not secured properly by Azerbaijani authority the Afrin Liberation Forces in Syria would be like child's play compared to what's coming

AzeriTank said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1330436916848758786

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Lol, they could have just asked where those sensors are from before doing the "analyses".
Sounds like they uncovered a tightly kept secret.

AzeriTank said:

thanks to KORAL? if one, it might happen, but two of them?

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1330280703095934981

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Kubs are extremely outdated, probably pulled out of reserve due to desperation of having every other SAM system wiped out, doubt its due to Koral, mostly likely just old missiles not maintained properly.

Azeri441 said:

Kubs are extremely outdated, probably pulled out of reserve due to desperation of having every other SAM system wiped out, doubt its due to Koral, mostly likely just old missiles not maintained properly.

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Do you know if Azerbaycan is going to have checkpoints in Lacin & Kelbecer to search vehicles transporting things "humanitarian goods" to Karabagh ?


Russian news summing up Karabagh situation, and the ceasefire reached.

xenon5434 said:

Lol, they could have just asked where those sensors are from before doing the "analyses".
Sounds like they uncovered a tightly kept secret.

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Well after the Russians have been humiliated in 3 separate theatres this year alone by Turks, they are desperate for victories.

How foolish it was for them to kill those Turkish troops back in March.

Assalamu'alaikum warahmatullahi wabarakatuh to Muslim
& Good day to the rest

I would still keep an eye on everything Russia brings into Karabagh.

Saithan said:

Nagorno-Karabakh inseparable part of Azerbaijan, Putin says

Nagorno-Karabakh is an inseparable part of Azerbaijan, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Sunday.Speaking on Rossiya 1 TV, Putin said the fact that...

www.dailysabah.com

I would still keep an eye on everything Russia brings into Karabagh.

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Expect everything shady possible, russia is not an honourable actor. This was the centre of Communism after all.

Bogeyman said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1330908592451571716

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Colonel Babek Semidli.

He led the operation to capture Talish from the Armenians. He was interviewed by euronews few weeks ago.