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Gary, That is the big question, that could only be answered by war itself. Until that this is at best a blind assessment. Effective or not its not wise to just to assume that PLA advancement in military science is keeping pace with equipment modernization at least at the theoretical and...

Gary, Neither the PLA, the PLA are serious people. All those modernization, unmatched industrial espionage are there for a purpose. I have read that Taiwan is crawling with Chinese spies, and I am inclined to believe it. I have also read that Taiwan knows who most are and they are being...

Gary, "How can you come with conclusions like this ? You do realize that Taiwan is only like 36000km sqd ? That's pretty small and by sheer numbers alone the PLAAF and its PLAN naval aviation could have covered the whole airspace in and around. China surveillance assets will keep tabs on their...

Gary, I am going to have to follow your example and break this down to 'bite size chunks' in reply. "That is if Taiwan mobile launcher could survive the PLA aerial and missile onslaught. The initial war will be China trying all its cards to silent the launchers and Taiwan trying its best to...

It is not what China has done in the last 30 years, it is what she can do TODAY! China cannot guarantee to Emporer Xi that they can sail 100 troopships and 100 supplyships to Taiwan and arrive intact. Eisenhower did but he had 100% domination of the sea and air. What weapons she has and how...

...and a barrage of supersonic anti ship, supersonic cruise, and hypersonic anti air missiles. China will not because she cannot, and failure is more than Emporer Xi can gamble. OC

Any data on speed and guidance?

Agree, and this attitude will surely spread through all or most of East and Sth East Asia. Countries wil have to decide who they are going to accept as overlords of the region. The more outright theft of national possessions, and the more the threats are issued and the sabres rattled, the...

Stay away from Snake Island! OC

In the new age of the missile, the drone, and the laser I cannot see a 5" gun being much use, in fact if you are that close to the enemy you are in BIG trouble. OC

...and that Global Times piece is from MAY 2020. Not much progress so far. More talk little action. OC

Taking Pratas island would be a bit tricky. Surrounded by coral reefs and poor tides a water borne invasion may well come unstuck. A paratroop attack would be a sitting duck for a bunch of Sky Bow/Stinger missiles and the 20x copies of the Y-20 would be lucky to deliver any dry troops. A lot...

Russia has TWO of them? I remember reading a year or so ago that they only had 7 airworthy copies of the Tu-22. Maybe the other 5 have crashed? OC

Interesting, on closer inspection it looks like the entire place may be getting a 'face lift'. A new runway surface and new buildings, and looks like a possible supply of rocks for runway repair. Rocks plus quick dry concrete can have a runway back in about 12 to 18 hours. I await the signs...

No, I am an AUSTRALIAN *old* codger. I have had a near life long interest (back to WW2) in all things military, and a strong lump of common sense and logic, unlike many here. My second interest is CRICKET, where I take great joy in Australia giving INDIA a hiding from time to time. I am old...

And, as our peace loving Chinese brothers well know, the Brave Wind .3. is also a TROOP SHIP killer! The PLAN CVs will not dare go within 400 kms of a Taiwan mobile launch vehicle. The troop ships are the bullseye in the middle of the invasion fleet. The PLAN knows THAT too! OC

Are you telling me that our peace loving Russian brothers are WINNING this war? OC

I find this hard to believe. Why Taiwan would let this stuff out of their hands is beyond me. They make the world's best chips etc and they have a Theodolite that cannot be fixed in Taiwan. I presume that the theodolite is a component just about every missile made since the year dot. The...

Your BS Detector is faulty! Russians have been telling lies since 1917. OC

Russia is building SHIPS? Damn! They can name the first two, 'Moskva' and 'Kuznetsov'. OC