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  1. Old Codger

    News Chinese ambassador warns British MPs against visiting Taiwan

    OUCH! Does this mean that China will INVADE England? OC
  2. Old Codger

    Australia Senior US official says Washington would consider supplying B-21 bombers to Australia

    What is the use of a fancy bomber at maybe a $Billion a copy to drop a few old iron bombs on someone?
  3. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    As the wise man said, "Land belongs to those that are strong enough to TAKE it, and strong enough to KEEP it" It has been so since the cave dwellers. Ask the japanese about the Kurile Islands. OC
  4. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    Gary, Have to disagree with that. By far the most critical hours for the invasion fleet are those at the speed of the slowest vessels. Maybe 15 knots or less over 150 kms, and some invasion ports wiill be 200 kms from the northern beaches. IF, Taiwan can reduce the fleet by maybe 50% it...
  5. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    Gary, That "air campaign" is an Act of War that throws the whole thing out the window. First response will be to close the Taiwan Strait and declare all shipping as hostile. I assume that the attack will be via missiles and 'Badgers' etc, BUT missiles and Badgers can't hope to eliminate...
  6. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    Taiwan can cripple an invasion fleet in the vital first 10 hours of D-Day. If the USA or anyone joins in then they are crazy. It is simply not required. The US can '"send in the Marines" but why would they? Yes a half dozen 'Virginia' subs would be handy, but reloads of all those Harpoons...
  7. Old Codger

    Analysis PLA Taiwan Scenario questions

    Old Chinese proberb, "NEVER piss off your best customer". Walmart, Apple etc have learned a hard lesson, and in due course the factories will see the orders dry up and the workers sacked and the money to Mum and dad disappear. India and others have seen this too and are now making a play to...
  8. Old Codger

    Analysis PLA Taiwan Scenario questions

    WHY? What would they do? INVADE? The PRC makes that threat very second day and never actually do anything, just fly a few 'Badgers' in a tiny far away corner of the ADIZ, never game to try actually flying over the home island. They know what a Sky Bow can do! Paper Dragon! OC
  9. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    My guess is that the PRC can cram about 5000 troops in a troopship/'Attack Transport' for the 10+ hour journey across the strait. The 150,000 troops needed to have a 2 to 1 ratio with the defenders gives us the need for 30 transports. If Taiwan manages to sink/disable/torch half of them and...
  10. Old Codger

    Navy Second Tuo Chiang Corvett Handed Over to ROCN

    A very impressive ship, and has a great sting in the tail. The main improvement to me is to expand the canister launchers by about 15 or 20 feet to allow more Brave Wind .3. missiles and get rid of that deck gun and get the ESSM etc. OC
  11. Old Codger

    Analysis THE PORCUPINE IN NO MAN’S SEA: ARMING TAIWAN FOR SEA DENIAL

    I have to disagree with Mr Fox. He is comparing apples and oranges and using irelevent history to boost his case. What IS important is the size and ability of the defenders, and the size and ability of the invaders, along with terrain and logistics that are as ever, vital. To me, 'Operation...
  12. Old Codger

    Taiwan To Plan $7 Billion Missile Boost

    I think most anti-ship missiles such as the Brave Wind.3. are expected to succeed with a 50% hit rate. They do not have to actually SINK many of the ships, but set them on fire or otherwise disable them so that they have to drop out of the invasion fleet position. Enough gaps in that fleet and...
  13. Old Codger

    News Pingtung missile test could be top secret Yun Feng cruise missile(Taiwan)

    The Yun Feng is very impressive, and it will play a major part in placing vital PRC assets in grave danger. Ship yards, ports, and bases come to mind. edit, Even Emporer's palaces perhaps, or Chinese copies of five sided buildings? OC
  14. Old Codger

    Analysis PLA Taiwan Scenario questions

    Taiwan has been digging for about 40+ years, and the attempt to 'decapitate' the Taiwan leadership will fail. As will any attempt to sever communication systems etc. That will also be an 'Act of War' and guarantee a full on response from Taiwan.
  15. Old Codger

    Analysis PLA Taiwan Scenario questions

    Gary, "you could only do that in some beachhead which is situated in the western flank of the island." Of the 14 "invadeable" beaches in Taiwan, most are nothing more than mud flats, especially on the western flank. Some good ones are on the eastern flank, but the tricky bit is getting the...
  16. Old Codger

    Taiwan to mass produce extended range anti-ship missiles

    That missile has been in full production for TEN years! That missile, and the Sky Bow.3. are Taiwan's aces in the game. No troopship or paratroop carrier is safe. OC
  17. Old Codger

    Taiwan says it needs long-range weapons to deter China

    Taiwan's use of the 'Yun Feng' ( Mach.3. and 2000Kms) would be fascinating to see, especially against the PRC shipyards, ports, and inland targets.
  18. Old Codger

    Taiwan considers stationing Sky Bow III missiles on small island near China

    Probably a good idea, after Kinmen the Matsu group is next on the list. Almost certainly by paratroop attack. Then Dongsha I suppose. OC
  19. Old Codger

    1 Chinese military aircraft enters Taiwan's ADIZ

    I await the day that the PLAAF fly a 'Badger' directly over the island of Taiwan.

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