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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Do Ukrainian pilots need to be trained in every aspect of flying an F-16 in combat if they don't want to die real quick when coming up against Russians in equal-to-or-better planes and in higher numbers, with much more ground-to-air stuff backing them up? Err, probably. It'd help. That's...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    You're obviously free to wait it out and see, Angry, see if Turkey gets a bomb in yours or your children's lifetimes, or their children's. I'm thinking you'll be disappointed, but you do you man, all good.
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    AngryTurk, your screenname's sure honest, heh. And yeah, good luck with that. The Mighty Unstoppable Ottoman Empire of...2024. 'Kay. And Hezbollah's not doing shit of conequence, Scott. They're going to continue to fire whatever rockets they have left in the now-mostly-neutered...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    It's quite literally everybody's business, by definition. Turkey's in NATO, Turkey's not flaunting the whole non-proliferation norm, it's just not going to happen, short of someone even more dictatorial than Erdogan getting into power and cutting off relations with the west. And that'd be...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    I'm not "scared" of a nuclear Iran or Turkey. Because Iran & Turkey are never getting nuclear bombs. The former because Israel will kill anyone and everyone they have to in order to prevent it, and Turkey because Turkey plays nice with international norms and NATO. If they go *full*...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Agree to disagree, I guess. You're reckless as fuck, I'm not, hakuna matata. World War III is the type of thing we should be "we do it if there's no other choice" on, not actively pursuing. This is basic stuff. Oh yeah, Ukraine's nothing on any macro-scale measure. Russia gets it? That...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    It's not bluffing though. Kursk? Bluffing. Kursk is nothing, Russia doesn't give a shit beyond it being a mild humiliation that they'll crush in due course. Anything meaningful? They totally will. You can't have it both ways, either Putin's Evil Stalin II or he's not, it's not both. You...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    I mean...yeah? The Saudis ready to get all buddy-buddy with Israel before Hamas took the opportunistic move of tanking that with Oct 7th? That wasn't a "we love Israel" thing, that was an "enemy of our enemy is our friend" thing, fully knowing Iran can't get a bomb, and it's better for the...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Pretty much. But hey, honesty has to be aired no matter how unpopular. We can leave the fantasy & messianic self-promotion to Zelenensky. I'm sympathetic to these two guy's takes, *morally*. But the world's never been moral, it doesn't work that way. Russia's on the security council...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    Yeah, 'cause obviously I was referring to Australia, alone, on its lonesome, not you know, the-entire-democratic-world. And some of the non-democratic ones like the Saudis & Jordan. :rolleyes: Australia can't do shit, we're 20-ish million and a world away with a military that isn't worth shit...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    That'd be pretty "Otto Skorzeny's unwittingly working for the Jews against Egypt" level hilarious, Iskander. :D Doesn't sound all that implausible either, they 99% had people inside the Guard in order to kill the Hamas guy in the Guard's safehouse. I'd want more backing the idea in order to...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    As Sanchez says, a hypothetical underground nuclear test doesn't mean Iran has a nuke ready to use. Comparing them to North Korea is frankly moronic - NK has dozens of these things, and have dwindled them down small enough to fit on their (even if unreliable) ICBMs. Iran's nowhere near...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    To the first point: because we're never setting off nuclear weapons under any circumstances, other than someone pulling the trigger first and launching them at us. They're not like us. You have NATO tanks rolling through Poland & Ukraine toward Russia, American pilots striking Russian soil...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    You'd have to be more careful about waiting, *if* there's any veracity to the test. All indicators are they don't have a viable weapon as of now. Not sure I buy the "they tested something" view, but if that's confirmed, now would be your best-and-last "go time" moment before they can actually...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    No, see, *you* want it to happen, because you're seemingly blissfully unaware of how wars tend to spiral out of everyone's control. Russia's weaker than everyone estimated - yes - they're a paper-tiger to a certain extent as far as any conceivable "NATO V.S. Russia & Belarus" hypothetical. All...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Pretty much. There's no real transparancy in any war as it's going on, but these two actors Russia & Ukraine alike seem particularly guilty of it, this stuff's an art for each of these governments. They're not to be taken at face value, I just basically wait for the US/UK/German/French type...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    Reports of unusual seismic activity inside Iran, some assumptions it might be a nuke test. Hope so, perfect opportunity & justification to take the axe to the head of the snake, end of all of this properly.
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Yeah, those numbers are questionable. You've gotta factor in the propaganda value in all of this too, neither side's all that open with everything. Ukraine was touting they've captured 200 Russians in Kursk, skip forward to now and Ukraine's saying 177 Ukrainians have died in Russian custody...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The number of 16 airframes doesn't even seem to be the issue, guys. It's who's flying them. Unless the west is reckless/dumb enough to allow some loophole, immunity for any legal concerns retired American/Dutch/Danish/Norwegian/Turkish pilots who want to volunteer to get in the game may have...
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    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    Two more Hezbollah chiefs iced, Saffieddine the other day - the guy expected to replace Nasrallah, and their logistics/supply chief since. Some pretty interesting leaked Hezbollah-aligned/affiliated conversations from Telegram doing the rounds, too. Not sure who's interviewing them, don't...

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