China’s world’s factory tag threatened by Vietnam, but ‘there’s nothing to worry about’

[Viva_vietnamm]

• Vietnam’s first quarter exports reached US$88.58 billion, up by 12.9 per cent from the previous year
• Chinese state media compared the exports in the first three months of the year to China’s main export hub of Shenzhen

Vietnam’s first quarter exports reached US$88.58 billion, up by 12.9 per cent from the previous year, according to Vietnam’s Ministry of Industry and Trade. Photo: Reuters

Worries that Vietnam could replace China to become the new manufacturing powerhouse are overstated, according to analysts, despite lockdowns and stringent coronavirus restrictions shifting orders to Southeast Asia.
Headlines have been stirring up controversy in the world’s second largest economy since Vietnam’s first quarter exports reached US$88.58 billion, up by 12.9 per cent from the previous year, according to Vietnam’s Ministry of Industry and Trade.

Chinese state media reports converted the value of Vietnam’s first quarter exports to 564.8 billion yuan at the time, exceeding the 407.6 billion yuan shipped from China’s main export hub of Shenzhen in the first three months of the year.

China is worried about losing its title of "world factory" amid increasing external pressures, including the US-China trade war and the war in Ukraine.

These geopolitical conflicts are forcing countries to re-evaluate the risks arising from production chains being too dependent or concentrated in certain locations.

Recognizing the inevitability of industries flocking to Southeast Asia to take advantage of low costs, many Chinese experts assert that their country should consider upgrading its industrial chain essential.


Tang Jie, an economics professor and former deputy mayor of Shenzhen, said industries would shift to Southeast Asia as the economic development gap between China and its neighbors widens.

In addition to Vietnam, Indonesia and India will also be popular destinations due to the availability of cheap labor.

"Vietnam's export industry is closely linked to the Pearl River Delta as well as to our domestic industrial and production chain, so our exports also benefit," said Mr. Peng Peng, director. executive director of the Guangdong Reform Association (an advisory organization affiliated with the provincial government), thinks that if Vietnam's exports contribute to China's industries, it is also a way to avoid trade disputes. commercial.

In addition, Mr. Peng said that comparing Vietnam with Shenzhen is somewhat lame. The population of Vietnam is about 78% of Guangdong province, much larger than Shenzhen.

Meanwhile, economist Yao Yang of Peking University said that Vietnam's increased production capacity has not yet affected China's title of "world factory", at least within 30 years. next year.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3182828/chinas-worlds-factory-tag-threatened-vietnam-theres

Trung Quốc xôn xao về mức tăng xuất khẩu của Việt Nam

TTO - Truyền thông Trung Quốc đang xôn xao về việc xuất khẩu quý 1-2022 của Việt Nam vượt xa Thâm Quyến - trung tâm xuất khẩu chính của Trung Quốc, lo ngại việc Trung Quốc mất đi danh hiệu 'công xưởng thế giới'.

tuoitre.vn

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

US is building the most expensive embassy in the World in Vietnam now, so we can expect US may transfer some high tech ( semi conductor, aircraft, ship manufacturing technology etc) to VN , so VN can cooperate with US to make EV, Drone, ship etc in much cheaper price but high quality

 

[Jagdflieger]

That is good news for Vietnam - more money more happy citizens and thus far less ambitions for getting into a war.

As for: China is worried about losing its title of "world factory" amid increasing external pressures, including the US-China trade war and the war in Ukraine.
Does not mirror any realistic future outcome since a country like Vietnam (population and political system) will never be able to reach the GDP of a continuously developing 1,4 billion people nation such as China.

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

As for: China is worried about losing its title of "world factory" amid increasing external pressures, including the US-China trade war and the war in Ukraine.
Does not mirror any realistic future outcome since a country like Vietnam (population and political system) will never be able to reach the GDP of a continuously developing 1,4 billion people nation such as China.

Its depend if US let VN to unify sub Mekong region to become bigger plus some good techology transfer from EU-US to VN.

If US really wanna destroy CN before CN become to strong to contain, then making VN to become bigger is the only choice to replace CN's market.United sub Mekong region is far more friendly than CN, right

 

[xizhimen]

• Vietnam’s first quarter exports reached US$88.58 billion, up by 12.9 per cent from the previous year

China: In the first quarter, the total value of goods exports was 5,226.0 billion yuan ( $786 billion), up by 13.4 percent.

 

[Jagdflieger]

I do not think that the US would strengthen other countries (especially not in regards towards territory owned by other sovereign states), in their crusade against China. Basically their main interest is to relief themselves of the immense $ burden - maintaining a military balance in the SCS and globally towards China. If they can sell some extra weapons to other countries - off-course that would be in their primary interest.

However every $ spend by e.g. S.E.A. countries onto their respective military is painfully missed in regards to infrastructure and economic advance. The same issue also applies towards China. So the principle policy of the USA is to start increase global military spending - and $ directed towards their own military contractors.

Since this worked well in regards to a poverty stricken Soviet-Union, they believe mistakenly that this will also work in regards to China.

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

China: In the first quarter, the total value of goods exports was 5,226.0 billion yuan ( $786 billion), up by 13.4 percent.

Yeah, everything look good in CN except birth rate keep going down cos Cnese can't afford to buy houses and raise kids like in NK

-------------

China, South Korea battle population woes as ‘children are not a must’, adding to economic peril​

• South Korea’s fertility rate fell to a record low of 0.81 last year, increasing the pressures faced by its economy due to an already rapidly ageing population
• China’s fertility rate is estimated to have fallen to 1.15 in 2021, also adding to its problems of a tumbling number of births and an ageing population

https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3182824/china-south-korea-battle-population-woes-children-are

 

[xizhimen]

Yeah, everything look good in CN except birth rate keep going down cos Cnese can't afford to buy houses and raise kids like in NK

-------------

China, South Korea battle population woes as ‘children are not a must’, adding to economic peril​

• South Korea’s fertility rate fell to a record low of 0.81 last year, increasing the pressures faced by its economy due to an already rapidly ageing population
• China’s fertility rate is estimated to have fallen to 1.15 in 2021, also adding to its problems of a tumbling number of births and an ageing population

https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3182824/china-south-korea-battle-population-woes-children-are

Why you troll your own thread?

 

[Jagdflieger]

A birth rate always needs to be placed in conjunction with the inevitable industrial development - e.g. less workers needed due to more robots/automated processes.

So China's present birthrate can be viewed upon as almost being perfect. Not to steep - and also not in a negative trend. - just perfect

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

I do not think that the US would strengthen other countries (especially not in regards towards territory owned by other sovereign states), in their crusade against China. Basically their main interest is to relief themselves of the immense $ burden - maintaining a military balance in the SCS and globally towards China. If they can sell some extra weapons to other countries - off-course that would be in their primary interest.

However every $ spend by e.g. S.E.A. countries onto their respective military is painfully missed in regards to infrastructure and economic advance. The same issue also applies towards China. So the principle policy of the USA is to start increase global military spending - and $ directed towards their own military contractors.

Since this worked well in regards to a poverty stricken Soviet-Union, they believe mistakenly that this will also work in regards to China.

We all know that US can not manufacture anything cheap and but quality anymore and she has to rely on other nations to produces almost everything she need. If US doesn't let VN to unify sub-Mekong region to become bigger, then there is No way to weaken CN's manufacturing power as VN will have to keep buying parts from CN and indirectly help CN to keep getting richer and once day, CN will overthorne US to become richest nation.

So, there is only 1 choice for US now, let VN unify sub Mekong region and help VN to manufacture almost everythign US need, at least VN dont wanna overthrone US, we just wanna get rich and live peacefully

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

Why you troll your own thread?

But its true, only birth rate is going down cos ppl are too poor to buy houses and raise kids when everything is from good to Perfect in CN

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

A birth rate always needs to be placed in conjunction with the inevitable industrial development - e.g. less workers needed due to more robots/automated processes.

So China's present birthrate can be viewed upon as almost being perfect. Not to steep - and also not in a negative trend. - just perfect

Yeah, I also hope that, hope low birth rate in CN is not like low birth rate in N.Korea where ppl can't buy enough food and enough money to go to school for their poor kids

 

[Jagdflieger]

There is a global supply chain, that is presently suffering due to Covid - worldwide.

The USA or it's companies and that of e.g. Germany have invested into Mexico substantially - however for every GM or Ford, or VW or BMW being assembled in Mexico - vital parts need to be imported from e.g. China.

If one likes it or not - a car e.g. a GM or a BMW won't be affordable if ALL needed parts would be produced in a single country (market) like Mexico or Vietnam.
The investments to do so would far exceed the return of profit due to Mexico incl. the USA market just don't provide enough customers.

For every Chinese supplier in China to be replaced e.g. by a Mexico supplier or Vietnam - will make the BMW far to expensive to sell in China - which beholds the worlds largest car buyer consumer market.

World economy is dictated by the world markets - and sorry Vietnam is a rising economic nation - but nowhere near that of a world dominating market

 

[Jagdflieger]

But its true, only birth rate is going down cos ppl are too poor to buy houses and raise kids when everything is from good to Perfect in CN

No it's not sorry absolutely not.

Are you familiar with the Chinese "Hokou" system? - if yes, then you would be aware that there is no such thing as a Chinese or Chinese couple not owning an 2-3 room apartment or a house. Those young Chinese couples of the rising middle class have at average 2-3 apartment and houses (partially still paying off) And they want to enjoy life - e.g. holiday and buying a nice brand name car - and saving money for an additional apartment or house. So like any advanced social society you choose between spending money on kids or a C200 Mercedes.
At the same time you have the rural (which all own 2-3 story houses, or the smaller town population - they are aware that they can't afford a C200 Mercedes - so they bought a Geely for 10-15% of the C 200 and they have 2-3 kids at average. Match that with the big cities and you get a positive birthrate of 1.15.

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

No it's not sorry absolutely not.

Are you familiar with the Chinese "Hokou" system? - if yes, then you would be aware that there is no such thing as a Chinese or Chinese couple not owning an 2-3 room apartment or a house. Those young Chinese couples of the rising middle class have at average 2-3 apartment and houses (partially still paying off) And they want to enjoy life - e.g. holiday and buying a nice brand name car - and saving money for an additional apartment or house. So like any advanced social society you choose between spending money on kids or a C200 Mercedes.
At the same time you have the rural (which all own 2-3 story houses, or the smaller town population - they are aware that they can't afford a C200 Mercedes - so they bought a Geely for 10-15% of the C 200 and they have 2-3 kids at average. Match that with the big cities and you get a positive birthrate of 1.15.

There are many poor ppl in CN lik in N.Korea as Mr.Li admit, thats why CN birth rate is very low like in NK cos poor ppl with 140 usd per month can't even buy enough healthy food.​

Of corse what Premier Li said is correct. No need to lie to the other that CNese is very "rich". They can't even buy enough healthy food, so let alone C200 Mercedes, bro.

And our friend @Sizhimen will come and said again and again "140 usd is disposable income"

------------------------------

​

​

China has over 600 million poor with $140 monthly income: Premier Li Keqiang​

By PTI | May 28, 2020, 08:53 PM IST (Updated)
Mini
China has over 600 million people whose monthly income is barely 1,000 yuan (USD 140) and their lives have further been affected by the coronavirus pandemic, Premier Li Keqiang said on Thursday.

China has over 600 million poor with $140 monthly income: Premier Li Keqiang

China has over 600 million people whose monthly income is barely 1,000 yuan (USD 140) and their lives have further been affected by the coronavirus pandemic, Premier Li Keqiang said on Thursday.

www.cnbctv18.com

 

[xizhimen]

There are many poor ppl in CN lik in N.Korea as Mr.Li admit, thats why CN birth rate is very low like in NK cos poor ppl with 140 usd per month can't even buy enough healthy food.​

Of corse what Premier Li said is correct. No need to lie to the other that CNese is very "rich". They can't even buy enough healthy food, so let alone C200 Mercedes, bro.

And our friend @Sizhimen will come and said again and again "140 usd is disposable income"

------------------------------

​

​

China has over 600 million poor with $140 monthly income: Premier Li Keqiang​

By PTI | May 28, 2020, 08:53 PM IST (Updated)
Mini
China has over 600 million people whose monthly income is barely 1,000 yuan (USD 140) and their lives have further been affected by the coronavirus pandemic, Premier Li Keqiang said on Thursday.

China has over 600 million poor with $140 monthly income: Premier Li Keqiang

China has over 600 million people whose monthly income is barely 1,000 yuan (USD 140) and their lives have further been affected by the coronavirus pandemic, Premier Li Keqiang said on Thursday.

www.cnbctv18.com

He means "disposable" income, which in US could be negative.

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

There is a global supply chain, that is presently suffering due to Covid - worldwide.

The USA or it's companies and that of e.g. Germany have invested into Mexico substantially - however for every GM or Ford, or VW or BMW being assembled in Mexico - vital parts need to be imported from e.g. China.

If one likes it or not - a car e.g. a GM or a BMW won't be affordable if ALL needed parts would be produced in a single country (market) like Mexico or Vietnam.
The investments to do so would far exceed the return of profit due to Mexico incl. the USA market just don't provide enough customers.

For every Chinese supplier in China to be replaced e.g. by a Mexico supplier or Vietnam - will make the BMW far to expensive to sell in China - which beholds the worlds largest car buyer consumer market.

World economy is dictated by the world markets - and sorry Vietnam is a rising economic nation - but nowhere near that of a world dominating market

Thats why US should let VN unify sub Mekong region to become bigger, so we can buy more Ford, MG cars for US.

 

[xizhimen]

Taiwan media tells the people in Taiwan that average salary in mainland China is only 1000￥ （157$）per month, based on some report that Chinese premier Li keqiang said so, so some Taiwan social media reporters go to Hong Zhou city in east China to conduct a street interview about China's average salary for the young people, they come across an Uighur girl from Xinjiang province and ask her what she thinks about Taiwan's media claim that mainlanders can only make 1000￥per month, she calls it total bullshit, she believes the salary is around 10,000￥（1,575$）, when being asked about Xinjiang's average salary, she says it's the same, there is no much difference between Hong zhou and Xinjiang, if you go to Xinjiang, you will just think it's another Hong zhou.

 

[Viva_vietnamm]

He means "disposable" income, which in US could be negative.

Keep living in delusion, No one stop u, when 600 Million CNese will still can't buy enough healthy food for their pathetic lives like in N.Korea, leading to birth rate keep dropping fast.

 

[xizhimen]

Keep living in delusion, No one stop u, when 600 Million CNese will still can't buy enough healthy food for their pathetic lives like in N.Korea, leading to birth rate keep dropping fast.

Do you understand Chinese? this Taiwan video explained your post, they also heard that report and decided to go to mainland China to find it out personally. this video is specially made for that report.