News US budget: Focus on strategy, not numbers

Isa Khan

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It’s May 28, and the Biden administration is scheduled to release more details about its spending requests to Congress. Foremost among the list of items is the defense budget, which is set to compose roughly 50 percent of the U.S. government’s discretionary spending in fiscal 2022. President Joe Biden’s $753 billion defense spending request, including $715 billion for the Pentagon, represents a nearly 1.7 percent increase from the previous year. Senior Defense Department officials have made it clear that a large portion of the defense budget will be devoted to great power competition, principally on countering China’s growing military capabilities.

Like most defense budgets at the time of release, the White House is sure to receive a significant amount of pushback from lawmakers who believe a 1.7 percent hike is too small. Others, including dozens of progressives in the House, oppose the budget request due to its overzealous size and are advocating for a $50 billion decrease. But as important as these concerns are, the debate over the U.S. defense budget is not simply a battle over dollars and cents. Focusing exclusively on the numbers to the exclusion of strategy is akin to missing the forest for the trees.

Budget season is the perfect opportunity for the stakeholders in Washington to review U.S. grand strategy as a whole — what the United States seeks to achieve, which missions it should eliminate or pass onto allies and partners, and whether the U.S. force posture as it now exists is actually serving core U.S. security interests.

According to the Pentagon’s own statistics, over 226,000 U.S. service members are stationed in dozens of countries around the world performing a litany of tasks, from active combat to training programs, surveillance missions and other forms of host-nation support. U.S. military personnel are spread out over as many as 800 base sites around the world. The Overseas Base and Realignment Closure Coalition estimates that 80-90 percent of the world’s total foreign military bases are U.S.-owned and operated. None of this begins to account for the constant rotation of warships, vessels and aircraft carriers the U.S. Navy operates on a daily basis, some of which have been at sea for such a long period of time that maintenance and repair are desperately required.

Some of this overstretch can be explained by the usual wear and tear of overseas deployments. A good portion of the problem, however, is more systemic: the ingrained tendency in U.S. policy circles to do as much as possible for as long as possible, in as many locations as possible. Despite a budding movement toward realism and restraint in Washington, U.S. foreign policy is still very much dominated by a reflexive activism, where wading into overseas disputes regardless of their strategic significance is seen as an example of U.S. global leadership.

However, what is often dubbed leadership is in reality a shorthand justification to saddle the U.S. military with missions that are duplicative, expensive and entirely tertiary to core U.S. national security interests. Whether it’s a perpetual training and advising mission in Iraq, maintaining a questionable force presence in northeastern Syria, adding more U.S. troops to the already bloated U.S. military posture in Germany or wearing out the U.S. Navy with symbolic freedom of navigation operations, U.S. policymakers are forcing the U.S. military to expend precious resources that could otherwise be conserved for major contingencies in the future.

The U.S. military, to put it bluntly, is doing too much when it should be reassessing its current roster of obligations, preserving limited resources, and ensuring Washington doesn’t get embroiled in the local civil wars and disputes that trap U.S. soldiers into indefinite deployments and permanent security commitments.

As it relates to the U.S. defense budget, Washington has two fundamental choices: It can go down the usual road and replay the same game, where stakeholders in the White House, Congress and the Pentagon battle over how many F-35s should be purchased or how much taxpayer money should be invested in this or that service component. Or it can do what hasn’t been done since the Cold War ended — take a good, hard, honest look at whether U.S. grand strategy is being overwhelmed by tasks that either have a marginal return or have in fact ended.

That means recognizing when U.S. counterterrorism objectives have been accomplished; cutting the cord on training missions in Iraq, Syria and Africa that are circuitous and don’t have an end date; downgrading the U.S. force posture in the Middle East; and incentivizing a wealthy Europe to take primary responsibility for its own defense. The U.S. should also elevate diplomacy as the core tool of foreign policy again and become more pragmatic in terms of when Washington engages its competitors and adversaries.
Ideally, strategy guides budgets. No amount of defense dollars can compensate for a faulty U.S. strategy.

Daniel DePetris is a fellow at Defense Priorities and a foreign affairs columnist at Newsweek.

 

Isa Khan

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Eyeing China, Biden’s First Pentagon Budget Would Cut Troops, Buy Future Weapons​

DepSecDef Hicks called the president’s $715 billion spending request “a foundation for fielding a full range of needed capabilities.” Republicans called it “a cut.”​

The Biden administration is proposing cuts to the military’s ranks and arsenals in an effort to invest in a new generation of high-tech weapons to counter China.
In a $715 billion spending plan sent to Congress Friday, the Biden administration proposes sidelining ships and hundreds of aircraft to pay for fast-flying hypersonic missiles and newer generation warships.
“To defend the nation, the department in this budget takes a clear-eyed approach to Beijing and provides the investments to prioritize China as our pacing challenge,” Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks said Friday. “The PRC has become increasingly competitive in the Indo-Pacific region and around the world. It has the economic, military and technological capability to challenge the international system and American interests within it.”

The $715 billion request is $11 billion more than the $704 billion Congress enacted for the current fiscal year, but it represents about a 3 percent real decrease when adjusted for 4 percent inflation.
Officials touted a $112 billion request for research and development of new weapons. Pentagon officials said it is the highest R&D request ever and a 5 percent increase over the previous year’s request, but it amounts to a boost of less than 1 percent when adjusted for inflation.
“This will provide the foundation for fielding a full range of needed capabilities such as hypersonic missiles, artificial intelligence, and 5G,” Hicks said.

Cutting old weapons to pay for new ones is not unique to the Biden administration; the Trump administration used the same strategy in its fiscal 2021 budget proposal last year.
Conservatives have pushed for a 3 percent to 5 percent annual increase, above inflation, to the defense budget.

“President Biden’s defense budget request is wholly inadequate—it’s nowhere near enough to give our service members the resources, equipment and training they need,” Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla, and Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Ala., ranking members of the Senate and House Armed Services committees, said in a joint statement. “It’s disingenuous to call this request an increase because it doesn’t even keep up with inflation—it’s a cut.”

Biden’s request—the latest any presidential administration in the past 100 years has submitted its annual spending request to Congress—is already getting pushback from lawmakers on both sides of the aisle for its proposed cuts to aircraft and ships.

“I agree there are some systems that must be retired to make way for newer, more effective systems,” Rep. Ken Calvert, R-Calif., the ranking member of the House Appropriations defense subcommittee said at Thursday’s hearing. “However, DOD cannot make these decisions in a vacuum.”

At the same hearing, Rep. Cheri Bustos, D-Ill., objected to plans to cut C-130s from the Air National Guard.

“The flexibility readiness of the National Guard will be negatively impacted by any reduction in the C-130s,” she said.

The Pentagon requested 85 F-35 stealth fighters for the Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps, 11 fewer than it asked for in last year’s spending request. It also plans to end production of the F/A-18 Super Hornet, a proposal that is likely to face resistance from Boeing and its advocates in Congress.

The budget requests more than $27 billion to modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal, Vice Adm. Ronald Boxall, director of force structure, resources, and assessment for the Joint Staff, said during a Friday briefing at the Pentagon.

The proposal would spend $2.6 billion on the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent, the much-debated Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile replacement, and the $609 million Long-Range Standoff Weapon, a new nuclear-tipped cruise missile. Progressive democrats have called for canceling these projects.

“Continued spending on unnecessary weapons systems like a new Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) and a nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile is a particularly egregious misuse of taxpayer funds, diverting billions of dollars from other urgent national priorities,” said William Hartung, director of the Arms and Security Program at the Center for International Policy.

The Biden administration is proposing $36.6 billion for shipbuilding, a 13 percent increase from what the Trump administration requested last year. It also wants to spend $16.7 billion on space-related projects, that’s an increase from $15.5 billion. The Pentagon also wants increase spending on its efforts to connect weapons and troops on the battlefield.

The plan calls for cutting just 4,600 troops from all branches of the active-duty military, reducing the end strength of each service except the Space Force, which is expected to grow by 2,000 guardians.

The budget proposal also calls for spending $52.4 billion on military aircraft, down from the $56.9 billion the Trump administration requested for fiscal 2021.

Less money was also requested for ground weapons—$12.3 billion compared to $13 billion last year. There’s also a drop in the missile defense spending request, which comes in at $10.9 billion, down from $11.6 billion, and missiles and bombs, which drops to $20.3 billion down from $21.3 billion.

 

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