US Secretary of State Blinken Says Only China Can ‘Seriously Challenge’ Global System

xizhimen

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US Secretary of State Blinken Says Only China Can ‘Seriously Challenge’ Global System​


Secretary of State Antony Blinken called the U.S.’s dealings with China the defining test of the century. “China is the only country with the economic, diplomatic, military, and technological power to seriously challenge the stable and open international system,” Blinken said in remarks delivered by video from the State Department.

Blinken said the U.S. approach to China will be “competitive when it should be, collaborative when it can be and adversarial when it must be.”

 

xizhimen

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China is no match for US in mass media disinformation and global lies promulgation.
 

Gary

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If so why you didn't? why most countries didn't?
umm they are already.

now the environment is trade wars, Huawei ban, flaming up genocide accusations, more FONOP's, building alliance of democracies specifically with an eye on China.

that's just didn't happen 10 years ago.
 

xizhimen

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umm they are already.

now the environment is the Trade war, Huawei ban, flaming up genocide accusations, more FONOP's, building alliance of democracies specifically with an eye on China.

that's just didn't happen 10 years ago.
Actually last year was arguably the best year for China, China overtook US as the biggest trading partner of EU, India, Israel, became the world biggest retail market, China's economy progressed markedly while US was crashing, China greatly narrowed the gap with US in just one year. some now predict with this trend , China can overtake US as early as 2016. China couldn't thank Trump eough.
 

Gary

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Actually last year was arguably the best year for China, China overtook US as the biggest trading partner of EU,
China's economy progressed markedly while US was crashing, China greatly narrowed the gap with US in just one year.
yup.
A close look at official Chinese statistics reveals that key economic numbers have been wildly inflated. Downward revisions to their 2019 baselines created the appearance of growth, when in fact the economy continued to struggle in 2020.

Let’s begin with the all-important numbers for fixed asset investment, which counts total purchases of capital goods and land. Published at a high frequency, this metric is seen as a leading indicator of the health of the Chinese economy. In a series of revisions over the course of 2020, China’s statistics bureau cut the aggregate amount of 2019 FAI down by over 4.7 trillion yuan (equivalent to about $720 billion). The largest revisions came in the fall, raising immediate analyst concerns.
These revisions helped Beijing create the illusion of a V-shaped recovery in investment spending. The revised 2020 FAI figures show investment cratering in the wake of the pandemic but then recovering rapidly and surreptitiously expanding above the previous year’s levels in the final four months of 2020. By quietly changing the baseline, China masked what was in fact a year-long contraction in investment spending. When aggregated over the full year, the unadjusted data show FAI shrinking roughly 5.9% compared to 2019.
The result is that China’s recovery was led by residential construction (up 8%), infrastructure spending (up 5%), and exports (up 5%). But household consumption lagged far behind (down 4%) because the government preferred to let the tens of millions of migrant workers who lost their jobs return to the countryside and live as subsistence farmers rather than offer urban unemployment benefits.

some now predict with this trend , China can overtake US as early as 2016. China couldn't thank Trump eough.
Now the situation is:

 

xizhimen

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yup.





Now the situation is:

A lot of sour grapes consumed by some western media, the global consensus is China faring much better economically than the west. That's why most studies show that China is catching up and overtaking the west but not the otherway around.
 

Gary

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global consensus is China faring much better economically than the west. That's why most studies show that China is catching up and overtaking the west but not the otherway around.
nothing runs on global consensus.

in the 80s the consensus is Japan will soon overtake the US.

didn't happen.
 

xizhimen

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nothing runs on global consensus.

in the 80s the consensus is Japan will soon overtake the US.

didn't happen.
Japan is just a US puppet which being controlled strictly by US, it's a master slave relationship. and Japan is a very small country with no resources and a very limited domestic market, which China now is the biggest, to support its industries, comparing Japan with China lacks basic common sense.
 

xizhimen

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US didn't expect their sole superpower status and uncontested world dominaiton came to an end this fast.
 
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ekemenirtu

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nothing runs on global consensus.

in the 80s the consensus is Japan will soon overtake the US.

didn't happen.

Good point.

If Japan with its early lead in industrialization, with its highly disciplined population, could not surpass the USA, what are the chances that China with an ageing population, under an authoritarian regime, with low creativity and innovativeness, can surpass the USA-led West?

Remember, the USA leads the entire West. Close to 1 billion people depending on how you count them.

No matter what the USA does or did, the entire West will blindly, sheepishly (if you like) follow the directives of the USA.

Can China alone counter the entire West, Japan, India, maybe South Korea and Taiwan?

Time will tell.

Numbers are already indicating that maybe an impossible task.

I have not yet seen or heard any groundbreaking technology, innovation or invention from China that the Western world collectively is yet to master.

Yet, I can name hundreds of inventions from the West that the Chinese with their immense population and immense "talents" are yet to master.

People may talk about ASML from Netherlands, little do they know that the lenses and optics may be supplied by Carl Zeiss from Germany, that the light source may be obtained from Trumpf in Germany, Gigaphoton in Japan or Cymer in the USA.

Little do they know that German Mittelstand produce quality that is still unmatched in any part of China.

In the semiconductor equipment sector, both for the production of microchips and for flat panel displays, Japanese equipment suppliers like Canon, Nikon, or other players like ULVAC, Gigaphoton and such are yet to be matched by the Chinese.

Can we talk about industrial robots without mentioning Japanese giants like Fanuc, Epson, Yokogawa, machine tool suppliers such as Mazak, Makino, DMG Mori, or such other industrial giants as Shimadzu, or any of the numerous other companies in their Keiretsu sytems?

Yet, if the Japanese, Germans or the Koreans could not free themselves from American occupation, why should the Chinese be able to surpass the combined West?

When the same Chinese have repeatedly failed to dismember, defeat, decapitate, devastate, eliminate a smaller ethnically Indian country in the form of "Republic of India" despite repeated efforts over multiple years?

The CPC thought, perhaps wrongly, that everyone and every country will cave in to their threats and military might. When Indians stood up to them and did not cave in, it must have come as a shock.

With their repeated failures to develop more high tech, knowledge intensive, perhaps cognitively challenging tech, it is perhaps appropriate to ask if they can master such mature tech as jet engines, nacelles, avionics, Operating Systems, advanced chip manufacturing, equipment for chip fabrication and flat panel display fabrication, industrial gases as used in chip fabrication and flat panel display fabrication, precision instruments, biotechnology, medical instruments of greater complexity and robotics, or such.

The world still awaits a new field of endeavour, of enquiry, of investigation, of knowledge opened by Chinese investigators, innovators, inventors, scientists, researchers and engineers that the collective West will be falling over themselves to master for decades - without success.
 
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Sinan

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US Secretary of State Blinken Says Only China Can ‘Seriously Challenge’ Global System​


Secretary of State Antony Blinken called the U.S.’s dealings with China the defining test of the century. “China is the only country with the economic, diplomatic, military, and technological power to seriously challenge the stable and open international system,” Blinken said in remarks delivered by video from the State Department.

Blinken said the U.S. approach to China will be “competitive when it should be, collaborative when it can be and adversarial when it must be.”

I'm not saying both countries are angels but In the last 50 years which country started wars, invaded other countries and triggered coups. Maybe that country is the "challenge" against the global system.
 

xizhimen

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Good point.

If Japan with its early lead in industrialization, with its highly disciplined population, could not surpass the USA, what are the chances that China with an ageing population, under an authoritarian regime, with low creativity and innovativeness, can surpass the USA-led West?

Remember, the USA leads the entire West. Close to 1 billion people depending on how you count them.

No matter what the USA does or did, the entire West will blindly, sheepishly (if you like) follow the directives of the USA.

Can China alone counter the entire West, Japan, India, maybe South Korea and Taiwan?

Time will tell.

Numbers are already indicating that maybe an impossible task.

I have not yet seen or heard any groundbreaking technology, innovation or invention from China that the Western world collectively is yet to master.

Yet, I can name hundreds of inventions from the West that the Chinese with their immense population and immense "talents" are yet to master.

People may talk about ASML from Netherlands, little do they know that the lenses and optics may be supplied by Carl Zeiss from Germany, that the light source may be obtained from Trumpf in Germany, Gigaphoton in Japan or Cymer in the USA.

Little do they know that German Mittelstand produce quality that is still unmatched in any part of China.

In the semiconductor equipment sector, both for the production of microchips and for flat panel displays, Japanese equipment suppliers like Canon, Nikon, or other players like ULVAC, Gigaphoton and such are yet to be matched by the Chinese.

Can we talk about industrial robots without mentioning Japanese giants like Fanuc, Epson, Yokogawa, machine tool suppliers such as Mazak, Makino, DMG Mori, or such other industrial giants as Shimadzu, or any of the numerous other companies in their Keiretsu sytems?

Yet, if the Japanese, Germans or the Koreans could not free themselves from American occupation, why should the Chinese be able to surpass the combined West?

When the same Chinese have repeatedly failed to dismember, defeat, decapitate, devastate, eliminate a smaller ethnically Indian country in the form of "Republic of India" despite repeated efforts over multiple years?

The CPC thought, perhaps wrongly, that everyone and every country will cave in to their threats and military might. When Indians stood up to them and did not cave in, it must have come as a shock.

With their repeated failures to develop more high tech, knowledge intensive, perhaps cognitively challenging tech, it is perhaps appropriate to ask if they can master such mature tech as jet engines, nacelles, avionics, Operating Systems, advanced chip manufacturing, equipment for chip fabrication and flat panel display fabrication, industrial gases as used in chip fabrication and flat panel display fabrication, precision instruments, biotechnology, medical instruments of greater complexity and robotics, or such.

The world still awaits a new field of endeavour, of enquiry, of investigation, of knowledge opened by Chinese investigators, innovators, inventors, scientists, researchers and engineers that the collective West will be falling over themselves to master for decades - without success.
China just started 10 year ago, she is still doing the catch up work, but China is catching up fast across the board. No progress and development in any fields can just go along with themselves, they all need funds, all of them need strong backing up from the economy, the economy is the ultimate deciding factor.
10 years ago China was still a rather poor country with GDP much smaller than Japan, now China's GDP is 3 times of Japans, it took only one decade. We'll see what China can do in next decade.
 
E

ekemenirtu

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China just started 10 year ago, she is still doing the catch up work, but China is catching up fast across the board. No progress and development in any fields can just go along with themselves, they all need funds, all of them need strong backing up from the economy, the economy is the ultimate deciding factor.
10 years ago China was still a rather poor country with GDP much smaller than Japan, now China's GDP is 3 times of Japans, it took only one decade. We'll see what China can do in next decade.

On what basis can you say China just started 10 years ago?

According to most historians and many a proud Chinese, many of them hardcore nationalists, China is 5,000 years old.

If you are referring to the People's Republic of China, was it not established in 1949? By my calculation, that would be about 72 years ago. Do you disagree with this calculation?

If you are referring to the opening up of Chinese economy and the reforms initiated by former leader Deng Xiaoping, were they not started in 1979?


I disagree with you that economy is the be all and end all for a country.

Otherwise, Indonesia with a GDP at market exchange rates and Purchasing Power Parity very close to that of Russia (more than 65% at exchange rates, and more than 80% at purchasing power parity) would be almost equally as powerful militarily, in scientific and technological advancements, in geopolitical influence and in intellectual achievements, with all due respect to our Indonesian brothers and sisters.

Nevertheless, I am yet to see any Indonesian designed micrprocessor with indigenously developed Instruction Set Architecture. To be fair, neither the Chinese nor the Indians have so far developed a microprocessor with an indigenously developed instruction set architecture from what has been revealed publicly.

Likewise, I am yet to see any supersonic bomber, nuclear powered submarine, submarine launched ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, supersonic fighter jets, surfacet to air missiles, anti ballistic missiles, early warning radars, AEW&C, main battle tanks, destroyers, cruisers, frigates, diesel-electric (AIP) submarines, self propelled howitzer and numerous other types of equipment used in the defense sector developed by Indonesians.

There is an acute lack of any form of a functioning space programme within the territory of Indonesia.

There is no known semiconductor wafer fabrication facility in Indonesia although there may not be full blown commercially profitable semiconductor wafer fabrication facilities within the Russian Federation, they do possess semiconductor wafer fabs used for pilot production of IC used for defence applications. Mass production is often delegated to Taiwan at TSMC or Malaysia at Silterra and X-Fab.

By the way, X-Fab may be notionally considered German but their operations in Malaysia, apparently, owe their existence to a former Malaysian owned entreprise known as 1st Silicon (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd, which was subsequently acquired by German firm X-Fab.

Still, the government of the Malaysian state of Sarawak is said to own a significant stake in X-Fab and in that sense, we might as well consider at least two "indigenous" Malaysian semiconductor wafer foundries - SilTerra and X-Fab.

Indonesia is also yet to produce an indigenous automobile brand, yet. Unlike Malaysia, which has produced at least two - Proton and Perodua. While Geely from China has recently acquired a 49.9% stake in Proton, the former PM and statesman Dr Mahathir Mohamed mooted the idea of creating a new, third national car brand.

Likewise, Iranian ballistic missile arsenal - in the variety and quantity of them present in their inventory easily outclass the nonexistent ballistic missile arsenal of Indonesia.

Iran has also managed to launch a payload to Low Earth Orbit (not a huge payload by any means, just to be clear about it) and they have achieved this feat on more than one occasion. Indonesia - so far - is yet to achieve any modicum of success.

Iranian Bavar - 373 SAM system is also not matched by any known indigenous system in the wider Middle East, North Africa, Central Asia, South Asia, ASEAN, Latin America, Oceania and Western European regions.

Pakistan has also managed to develop nuclear warheads, nuclear reactors, ballistic missiles of medium range, cruise missiles, affordable low-end fighter aircraft (with foreign, Chinese assistance much like the recently revealed Korean KF-X), main battle tanks and small arms of various types.

Turkish defence industry, under the close supervision of President Erdogan, has embarked on more than 600 projects, reportedly and have made significant progress in a short period of time in at least a few of them. Listing 600 projects within a single reply may be seen as spam, therefore, I refrain from doing so.

Moreover, "Israeli"/Zionist regime has an economy which is puny, tinier than not only Indonesia's but also Iranian, Turkish, Saudi, Emirati, Australian, Taiwanese, Brazilian or Canadian economy.

Yet, its air force - certainly as measured by inventory and solely by inventory as Zionist member @500 did in another thread - is more advanced and powerful than any of the countries in the list above.

When we add in the quality of the training, integration, indigenous equipment available, EW capabilities, close alliance with their protector/"ally" USA and numerous other factors, there is no reason to believe any of the countries listed above have a stronger air force than tiny "Israel"/Zionist regime.

The political influence in both the USA-led West and in the Russia-led CIS enjoyed by the "Israelis" is also enormous and that is another element of "power" that Indonesian GDP, or the GDP of any other country, can not come close to matching.

Considering all of the above and many other factors, too many of them to list here, I am inclined to disagree with your opinion that economy is the be all and end all for a country, its influence and estimation of its hard and soft power.
 
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500

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Iranian Bavar - 373 SAM system is also not matched by any known indigenous system in the wider Middle East, North Africa, Central Asia, South Asia, ASEAN, Latin America, Oceania and Western European regions.
Bavar is just ancient US Standard modernization.

What matters today is anti ballistic and exoatmospheric capabilities.


Israel has two latest generation exoatmospheric SAMs: Arrow 2 and Arrow 3.

Also has most capable atmospherics: Iron Dome and David's Sling (on pair with US Patriot Pac-3 MSE).
 
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ekemenirtu

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Bavar is just ancient US Standard modernization.

What matters today is anti ballistic and exoatmospheric capabilities.


Israel has two latest generation exoatmospheric SAMs: Arrow 2 and Arrow 3.

Also has most capable atmospherics: Iron Dome and David's Sling (on pair with US Patriot Pac-3 MSE).

That is quite untrue.

The guidance radar bears no resemblance to those used for "Standard (missiles)" or SM- series of SAMs. Of course, SM- series SAMs are usually launched from naval surface vessels, unlike the Bavar 373.

The Sayyad - 4 missile also bears little to no resemblance to any of the SM- series of SAMs when we compare their aerodynamic features such as wings or control fins. I believe @AmirIGM may be more enthusiastic in explaining the differences, provided he logs in. He does not usually log in to the forum often for some reasons.

SAM = Surface to Air Missiles.

Exoatmospheric BMD or ballistic missile defences are different.

Moreover, both the Arrow-2 and Arrow-3 systems were developed by the USA and manufactured to a great extent in the USA.

Iron Dome, although reportedly purchased by such evil regimes as in Singapore or used by "Israel"/Zionist regime, has not been proven to be unanimously satisfactory in its performance levels against what can be described as "basic" rockets launched by a popular resistance movement.

David's Sling, with its narrow (diamter) Stunner missile, funded and co-developed by the USA, will also probably fail to attain adequate altitude against high flying, highly maneuverable targets such as fighter jets or probably such low RCS targets as cruise missiles.

David's Sling is more comparable to, but perhaps inferior to, 15th Khordad air defence system/surface to air missiles from Iran.

A better comparator might be the 3rd Khordad air defence system from Iran. In defence of this argument, we may note their operational history. The 3rd Khordad air defence system successfully downed at least one RQ-4 UAV/drone operated by the USAF.

In comparison, David's Sling has no operational history to speak of.

Furthermore, "Israeli"/Zionist SPyDer (derived from the air to air missiles, dubbed "Spyder" and "Derby") air defence system managed to shoot down at least one Indian helicopter. The curious part was that the user of the Spyder SAM system in that case was also the Indian Air Force.
 

500

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That is quite untrue.

The guidance radar bears no resemblance to those used for "Standard (missiles)" or SM- series of SAMs. Of course, SM- series SAMs are usually launched from naval surface vessels, unlike the Bavar 373.

The Sayyad - 4 missile also bears little to no resemblance to any of the SM- series of SAMs when we compare their aerodynamic features such as wings or control fins. I believe @AmirIGM may be more enthusiastic in explaining the differences, provided he logs in. He does not usually log in to the forum often for some reasons.
Sayad-4 is derived from Sayad-3/2 which is derived from Standard-1.

SAM = Surface to Air Missiles.

Exoatmospheric BMD or ballistic missile defences are different.
They are far far more advanced and complicated. Less than 5 countries in the world can make such systems. SAM is not a big deal nowadays.

Moreover, both the Arrow-2 and Arrow-3 systems were developed by the USA and manufactured to a great extent in the USA.
Arrow-2 is 100% Israeli design.
Arrow-3 is 80-85% Israeli design. (US designed some secondary components: motor cases, shroud, canister, Safe & Arm / Ignition Devices, power devices (batteries), and Inertial Navigation Units, as well as several avionics packages and actuators & valves).


Iron Dome, although reportedly purchased by such evil regimes as in Singapore or used by "Israel"/Zionist regime, has not been proven to be unanimously satisfactory in its performance levels against what can be described as "basic" rockets launched by a popular resistance movement.

I saw Iron Dome effect with my own eyes, during 2015 war when Hamas and PIJ launched dozens of Fajar-5 rockets at Tel Aviv and all were intercepted.

David's Sling, with its narrow (diamter) Stunner missile, funded and co-developed by the USA, will also probably fail to attain adequate altitude against high flying, highly maneuverable targets such as fighter jets or probably such low RCS targets as cruise missiles.
David's Sling is specially designed against ballistic missiles. Its similar in capabilities or even higher to Patriot Pac-3 MSE.

David's Sling is more comparable to, but perhaps inferior to, 15th Khordad air defence system/surface to air missiles from Iran.

A better comparator might be the 3rd Khordad air defence system from Iran. In defence of this argument, we may note their operational history. The 3rd Khordad air defence system successfully downed at least one RQ-4 UAV/drone operated by the USAF.
RQ-4 is slower and less maneuverable than Boeing-747. Shooting it easier than stealing a candy from a child.
 
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