i don't like that style in your above post at all.
Not a single substantiated argument to support your "conviction" in regards to the military situation - but 4 sentences of "clowning" statements.
If you don't know how to defend your assessment on the military situation in Ukraine - then just write: I don't agree
And spare me with "clowning" statements.
Good, then I made my point clear enough. This is me summarizing somebody's late posts with four sentences. If I may add, it is not a very smart move to start to downgrade the list of Ukrainian aerial equipment by saying "this is just empty" and again without much explanation. Really? So could we use better arguments than "this is a military argument" or smth? The air superiority is going to bring a win to Russia because of (and here is the place for substantial justification, ok?).
As said, both sides cannot get aerial control over the enemy's territory in current state of war, except perhaps for UAV-s. What now? War over? Definitely not. What could be other reasons which might affect the outcome of the war? Is there any? Probably is, so let's be open and try to see what could bring a change into this stalemate.
Ukrainians managed to stop the first wave of Russian intervention, neutralize their armored vehicles, and oh boy, how nicely they blow up! So no quick advancements, even no good communication between the parts of the Russian army. Azart's communication system was a joke because it depended on 4G mobile communication, blown up by Russians themselves. Yeah, who could come up with this?
Ukrainians managed to neutralize the aerial superiority of the Russians, also the Black sea fleet, and even free Snake island. So much about the naval landing operation below Odesa. What has not been neutralized effectively is 1) artillery fire (work in progress), 2) surplus of Russian soldiers (which will wear off at some point) 3) radio warfare, where Russians are slowly but steadily advancing. We do not hear those tragic phone calls anymore, made by Russian conscripts back to their mothers, right? Russians managed to neutralize TB-s, as seems to me. Not many successful hits are evident via videos anymore. Well, the Armenian-Azerbaidzan conflict was kind of eye-opening and gave some time to work on that problem in advance.
The rest is usual. I actually think that the corruption level in both countries is approximately the same. Perhaps China will match, for the rest of us it is cosmic. So if we talk about numbers in any warfare equipment list regarding U. and R., these are comparable by "emptiness". Considering U.'s advance in the military field since 2014, I would say this is in favor of Ukraine.
Russia is built on theft, more or less. Access to cheap resources has given them a false understanding of their real capabilities. You pump the oil and you sell it, how hard it can be, right? Russian elite is historically entitled to steal from the state and they steal an unimaginable lot. The only problem is- there is still not enough for everybody to steal. So the smaller players do take what they can and where they can. Those NZ tanks in Russian polygons have been standing for decades and this is high-level shit for stealing. Try to monitor those all year without allowing some smart handyman to take advantage. Unfortunately, the amount of R. tanks (approx. 10000) is high enough to find some usable specimens and some of those have to stay in reserve. Mostly they lack trucks for transport, as I hear.
The economy is in really bad shape in Russia. They like to brag about the strengthening of the rouble, but let's be honest: who wants to buy roubles these days? Without trade, it is just a number on the wall. Without western suppliers, Russia cannot produce normal cars, so they sell Lada cars with a warning that they should not cross the borders. The theft of airplanes was done on an epic scale, so they estimate to run stolen western planes for 3...4 more years. Lately, they failed to pay for foreign depths, but this is more an illusion rather than a real problem. West is feeding them with dollars and euros for the gas and oils in billions.
All in all, Russia is not doing so badly at all. Saying so, the price they are paying is enormous. Not the elite, these guys have been preparing for this for years. Ordinary people have to pay for this, but they do not know it yet. The slowdown of the Russian economy has only started and this is a big country. Added to the fact that most Russians have not experienced anything better in their life, they are happier because those damn rich ones have to suffer too. So somehow this Colosseum is standing, but I would not put my bets on that.
Ukrainians on the contrary have the support of the whole world, military and financial ones. Russia has shown itself so dangerous and continues to do so, having real means for world destruction. Russia has to be stopped in Ukraine, otherwise, the whole world order is turned upside down. Something Russia and China seems aiming for, this makes them allies. So far. The rest of the west should help Ukraine if they do not want to die as Ukrainians do.
So this is Russia versus the whole world situation. Honestly, I do not see many chances for Russia.
liveuamap.com
ASAP i will call Ukranian Army and US embassy to transmit your precious information which they don't know.
