Live Conflict Syrian Civil War

[Khagan1923]

1. Assad does not have the menpower to start a counteroffensive on his own
2. Iran and its proxies have been severly weakened in their conflict with Israel
3. Russia has been severly weakened in its conflict with Ukraine does not have the resources to support another counteroffensive. Even the airstrikes it conducted have been sprinkled around, 6 years ago the russians would have bombed rebels non stop.

What will be interesting to see is how much the rebels can push this before their gas runs out. But people need to realize that the rebels had several years for recruiting and training while their enemies were being drained. Assad never had an serious fighting force on his side 10 years ago before Russia and Iran joined to help Assad was losing and he was losing badly.

We will see how much behind closed doors this offensive is being supported by our government, if there is truly an offensive in next days to take manbij and drive the ypg out we can be sure that TSK and MIT are supporting the rebels if not and the rebels continue focusing on Assadist areas we can be sure that the "support" given is relatively limited.

Will also be interesting to see what the russians will do with their bases in Latakia and Tartus if the rebels manage to take Homs too.

 

[Khagan1923]

There is also a possibility the americans will pressure the ypg to abandon any area it holds west of the river citing the reason that they won't help them against the rebels to hold onto those places but that they can promise them "protection" on the eastern side.

 

[Huelague]

If Assad capitulates, he has no military power to enforce his own capitulation. Shia militia can just say "lol no" and even do a coup. Then Iranians find themselves as illegal occupiers. I don't know how much effect this legal technicality would have, but it's something to consider.

Iran has to stop in Iraq first. It’s more important than ever, to counter Irans influence in our neighborhood.

 

[Huelague]

There is also a possibility the americans will pressure the ypg to abandon any area it holds west of the river citing the reason that they won't help them against the rebels to hold onto those places but that they can promise them "protection" on the eastern side.

Than, USA has to stop Iran proxies coming from the East (Iraq) in return.

 

[Saithan]

Just send the drones....I'm sure they can find some long distance kamekaze drones....Pretty sure Ukraine will be willing to sell them...should get closer.
Key of winning is neutralising Russian jets.

Ukrainian mercs can likely move easily in the area conquered by HTS,SNA etc. And they could conduct this operation themselves and hit where it hurts most.

Just need MIT to help them close enough.

 

[blackjack]

Listen dude, in Africa , common herders ambush your so called Leggiinars and beat crap out of them. All of it on daily basis.
Besides I have no habit of reporting posts but this Isis nonsense needs to stop.
Also, return your original Ukrainian flag , because you ain't a Russian, am I right?
Hahaha Abdul Ibn Mali bitchslaps Vanja , hilarious.

Why do you want to report my posts I am not calling you any names am I, or you dont want me to stick around and gloat at you later because you might be having 2nd thoughts on this offensive? I am hearing the SAA has already done counterattacks retaking some land and that Assad is free to call the Iranians for assistance rather it be it troops or equipment. Also Russian bombing is continuing, and they just launched a missile at one of Syria's ports that they claim the miliants were at. Sadly the SDF alliance was short-lived but the SAA pushed them back.

I dont think the militants can deal with this. There is a reason why Relic at the Ukraine war thread keeps posting package deals for Ukraine.

They are going to have to get through the Iraqis and SAA before they can take a swing at the king near their naval port. At the pace the militants are at now while getting bombed I dont think Assad is going to be getting replaced. If Turkey did back the militants than what is their goal exactly?
1. Is their oil where they are at, or the oil is more at the SDF territory-controlled side which is what they want
2. Do they just want Aleppo assuming they think Assad will accept a ceasefire.
3. I dont think this applies but trying to get Russian attention away from Ukraine for a short period of time.

There needs to be an actual structured military force to assist the militants if they want Assad gone or else he would have not returned to Syria if the situation in Syria didn't look favorable to him

 

[mehmed beg]

Why do you want to report my posts I am not calling you any names am I, or you dont want me to stick around and gloat at you later because you might be having 2nd thoughts on this offensive? I am hearing the SAA has already done counterattacks retaking some land and that Assad is free to call the Iranians for assistance rather it be it troops or equipment. Also Russian bombing is continuing, and they just launched a missile at one of Syria's ports that they claim the miliants were at. Sadly the SDF alliance was short-lived but the SAA pushed them back.
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I dont think the militants can deal with this. There is a reason why Relic at the Ukraine war thread keeps posting package deals for Ukraine.
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They are going to have to get through the Iraqis and SAA before they can take a swing at the king near their naval port. At the pace the militants are at now while getting bombed I dont think Assad is going to be getting replaced. If Turkey did back the militants than what is their goal exactly?
1. Is their oil where they are at, or the oil is more at the SDF territory-controlled side which is what they want
2. Do they just want Aleppo assuming they think Assad will accept a ceasefire.
3. I dont think this applies but trying to get Russian attention away from Ukraine for a short period of time.

There needs to be an actual structured military force to assist the militants if they want Assad gone or else he would have not returned to Syria if the situation in Syria didn't look favorable to him

I didn't mention any details of the offensive? You just started your drivel, about Isis , no?
I don't like to chase my own tail not acomodate terminology of the cheap bots.
I'm fact, I suggest you to drop the word " terrorist" completely. In fact , Putin came to power through arranged terrorist attacks in Russia.
About that I don't have any intention to argue, since I personally know the person who was supposed to be the sucker for that, i believe that Mentioned that some times ago?
PKK is the terrorist organisation, recognised as such and you, together with USA are sponsors of PKK.
Likewise, as you have supported Armenian aggression against Azerbaijan which in its ranks had the convicted ASALA terrorists, you are in such cade the supporters of the terrorism , de facto and de jute.
So , from no on , support whoever you like
Don't propagate any morality, just propagate your interest and as this is the public platform, you are entitled to that.
Not much to ask, is it?

 

[Saithan]

Put a lid on the condescending tone please. I see a lot of posts that are close if not personal attacks.

 

[No Name]

I heard that HTS attacked the SNA force. This may be a problem for us going forward, especially since HTS is said to have 60K members now.

Does anyone know the strength of the SNA? I know that their wiki said that they had 100,000 troops, but those numbers are inflated as the groups lie about their personnel to get more money from the government.

 

[King_West]

I heard that HTS attacked the SNA force. This may be a problem for us going forward, especially since HTS is said to have 60K members now.

Does anyone know the strength of the SNA? I know that their wiki said that they had 100,000 troops, but those numbers are inflated as the groups lie about their personnel to get more money from the government.

All rumours, maybe even coming from Assadists to create a wedge in the insurgancy

 

[King_West]

Hama might get liberated tonight!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864011855083053124

 

[2033]

Where do they get these drones? They're very accurate.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864050970109342071

 

[Kitra]

Hama might get liberated tonight!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864011855083053124

If that is true, it means no more SAA forces until Homs, including the whole coast. Russia could lose its only naval base and Damascus be cut off from the sea in the next few days. This could mean that Assad is completely isolated considering that the American forces seem to have cut off the eastern border and Israelis are bombing the Lebanese borders.

So, there might be a very sudden collapse of SAA and the whole Syrian government when Hama is liberated. Could we really wish for an end of this decade-long Syrian war to be over by next week?

 

[Dennixtoue]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864072878951436421

 

[Scott Summers]

We should prefer Assad above the rapist Takfiri-Jihadists (HTS).

Russia can push Assad to a deal with Turkey.

Negotiating with HTS is much harder.

 

[Oublious]

Where do they get these drones? They're very accurate.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1864050970109342071

amazone...

 

[Shtr]

Some people say that Ukrainians appeared in Syria a few months ago. They provided necessary trainings.

 

[Corvus]

Julani, the leader of HTS is quite an interesting and impressive figure to be honest. Anyone who's into Syrian conflict and the Middle East should know about him.

Here's an objective documentary about him:

 

[2033]

amazone...

I thought of Ukraine

 

[Iskander]

The Russians are saddened by the flight of Assad's army and are concerned about the military equipment and ammunition depots they left behind. What they fear most is that the opposition forces will move the dreaded Uragan MLRS closer to Khmeimim and Tartus and strike them. The militants should have enough ammunition. It is logical to assume that if Assad's soldiers even abandoned their mobile equipment during their flight, they probably left their weapons and ammunition depots untouched.
Events are taking place in Syria that are very sad for the Russian soul. Since the Russians have convinced themselves that Turkey is behind all this, in order not to lose their fighting spirit in despondency, they decided to... celebrate the events of 250 years ago - the victory of the Russian fleet over the Ottoman.
In revenge on the Turks, of course