Respect for Friedrich Merz! Germany finally has a Chancellor with a backbone. Let’s hope some Taurus missiles are also included in the package, and that we will find about them after some spectacular kabooms inside Russia.
I've seen several sources indicating that Germany intends to work with Ukraine to quickly produce their own domestic long range missiles. I'm sure they'll send Taurus in a limited quantity at some point, but Germany only ever ordered 600 units and some have been used, while others reportedly need to be refurbished. More can be built, but not overnight. I'd imagine that 25-50 units are all that Germany would be willing to spare in the short term, especially with replacement missiles in low rate production.
I wish Germany had thousands of Taurus, with a booming assembly line producing dozens of additional units each month, but that's simply not reality. Any that they do send Ukraine will still be impactful, but like ATACMS and Stormshadow / Scalp that were sent previously, they'll likely make a strategic impact temporarily, but numbers will run out fairly quickly.
What Ukraine needs, and it sounds like Germany is going to work with them to achieve it, is their own ability to create and scale up an assembly line for a domestically made cruise missile. The ability to plan their usage based on regular production would be fantastic. Sadly, I doubt that Trump will be willing to sell something like ATACMS to Ukraine and he's certainly not going to sell PrSMs, Tomahawks, JASSMs or LRASMs. Britain, France and Italy are also going to be continually limited in the number of Stormshadow / SCALP they can send.
The other thing that would go a long way would be Western nations chipping in to help Ukraine mass produce long range, jet powered strike drones, which could serve effectively as crude, cheaper cruise missiles. Ukraine already has the technology, and the variants they are building continue to get better, with longer range, traveling at faster speeds and demonstrating better accuracy. The problem is that you're talking about $500,000+ usd per drone in some instances. Still cheaper than a modern cruise missile, but expensive for Ukraine's military budget. If the Western countries that have formed the drone coalition would get serious about funding it, I'm talking to the tune of $5 Billion+ usd per year, Ukraine could not only launch better quality drones in waves that would have further reach, pinning down Russian air defenses at depth, and saturating Russian systems, they would also force Russia into spending billions of dollars on expensive interceptors, money that they badly need to support offensive operations....But I'm talking about funding the production of 5,000-10,000 of these types of drones per year, where as currently that number might be 500-1000 units.