Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

GoatsMilk

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This will change everything.

Depends on the quantities they supply, if its drip fed it will just basically make sure the war drags out for many more years to come. Obviously the western instigators must be completely aware of the kind of war they forcing the Ukrainians to fight. They must know the weapons they have given cannot win any war it can only drag it out.

I suspect many years down the line when this war is over, information will come out that the Americans got exactly what they intended from this conflict a long drawn out war that bleeds Russia.
 

Relic

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The European Union 🇪🇺 has officalliy adopted a $170 Billion usd fund called SAFE (Security Action For Europe) as part of a broader plan to rearm Europe. The fund will help see European weapons production effectively double and member states + Ukraine 🇺🇦 can take low interest loans from the pot of money to fund the purchase of weapons made in Europe, Ukraine and countries with a free trade agreement with the EU.

65% of funds must be used to purchase weapons made in The EU, Ukraine and / or Norway 🇳🇴, Moldova 🇲🇩, South Korea 🇰🇷, Japan 🇯🇵, Albania 🇦🇱 and North Macedonia 🇲🇰. This is a big step in helping Ukraine access weapons and munitions more quickly. The remaining 35% can be used to purchase weapons from any 3rd party country around the world.

This is a big deal for Ukraine. Not only can they access the pool of funds themselves at low interest rates in order to purchase weapons from the own constantly expanding defense industry, EU countries can also access the pool of funds to facilitate the purchase of weapons for Ukraine..

 

Relic

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Britain 🇬🇧 and Ukraine 🇺🇦 have jointly announced a deal that will see Britain spend $3 Billion usd on weapons for Ukraine sourced from Ukraine's domestic defense industry and partners around the world. The funds will be released in 3 installments in 2025 and 2026 and will be funded by frozen Russian assets. This funding will in addition to Britain's previously announced funding in each of those years. According to to the release, the funding will be used for the following:

"the funds will be distributed over 2025–2026 and used to procure foreign-made defense equipment, critical materials, and to support the repair and maintenance of military hardware".

 

Soldier30

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Footage of an attempt by a Ukrainian mechanized group to break through from the Sumy region of Ukraine to the Kursk region of Russia. The composition of the Ukrainian group - ATVs, infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers - could not be determined. Russian artillery and drones were used against the Ukrainian group. The video is shortened, showing active moments of the battle

 

Spitfire9

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The European Union 🇪🇺 has officalliy adopted a $170 Billion usd fund called SAFE (Security Action For Europe) as part of a broader plan to rearm Europe. The fund will help see European weapons production effectively double and member states + Ukraine 🇺🇦 can take low interest loans from the pot of money to fund the purchase of weapons made in Europe, Ukraine and countries with a free trade agreement with the EU.
Europe looks determined to continue the support started when intel indicated that Russia intended to attack Ukraine. Europe can easily outlast Russia in financing the war. EU + UK + Norway GDP is more than 10 times that of Russia. Russia has been burning through its large but limited war chest and severely damaging its economy for 3+ years now. Short of the US working against Ukraine and its European supporters or the US actively lending its support to Russia, the outlook for Russia looks poor. IMO Russia's economic and financial problems will intensify the longer the war continues.

Vladimir Putin may have enemies in the Kremlin similar to Prigozhin, suggests former British armoured forces commander Colonel Hamish de Bretton-Gordon. In his opinion, the fear of a conspiracy in the Kremlin that could threaten Putin would compel the Russian leader to enter negotiations with Ukraine.

Putin has the problem that while cost of the war has caused the problems Russia is suffering, cutting funding for the war could paradoxically put more pressure on the already strained Russian economy according to economists. An undesirable position to be in. Looks like a lose/lose one.

In my view the last thing Ukraine should agree to at this point is a ceasefire, easing the pressure on Russia financially. Fortunately the terms Putin would demand would likely be far too onerous to be acceptable to Ukraine.
 
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Soldier30

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Footage of a Russian Kh-38 missile hitting a Ukrainian bridge. The location of the shooting is unknown, it was previously reported that Ukrainian units were stationed near the bridge. The Kh-38 air-to-surface missile was presumably launched by a Russian Su-34 fighter-bomber. Technical information about the Kh-38 missile is in the link to the video in the comments to the video.

 

Soldier30

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Unique footage of an air battle between two drones in Ukraine. In the video, a Russian DJI Mavic drone cuts the fiber optic cable of a Ukrainian FPV drone with its propellers. As a result of losing contact with the operator, the Ukrainian drone falls.

 

GoatsMilk

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Looks like he is from Siberia or may be one of the Turkic republics, the russians are using this war to genocide the minority ethnic groups in their country it seems.

pretty much. For a long time in Turkiye the Western backed Islamists were bullshitting the Turks that the Russians were our allies. He's probably thinking how in the hell did i end up fighting a criminal war for the russian demon. Just like in China where Muslims are thrown in concentration camps and the Chinese call Islam a mental illness, the Turkic peoples globally must understand their is only salvation in unity.


Its unfortunate but it took the Russians murdering 40 Turkish soldiers in idlib for the common Turk to wake up and realise the Russian is his enemy.

Like Ataturk said, Language is a bridge, Religion is a bridge and History is a bridge. The Turkic world, the Muslims world and a few others like the Hungarians are part of the family, they must come together.
 

Relic

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Germany 🇩🇪 announced $5.65 Billion usd in fresh military aid for Ukraine today. The package represents the largest single commitment by Germany to this point in the war. Granual details were not announced, however, the following details were shared:

- A $2.4 Billion usd contract was signed with Diehl Defense for the production of numerous IRIS-T Air Defense systems and interceptors.

- A new commitment was made to provide Ukraine long range strike weapons (type unknown) valued at hundreds of millions of usd.

- Extensive satellite communications and intelligence are part of the package, however, the value of these services was not disclosed.

- Germany will increase the number of 155mm artillery shells that it sends Ukraine. They will not only up their own domestic production, but they will spend an unspecified amount to support the Czech led initiative to purchase shells from 3rd party shells makers.

- The package also includes a large quantity of unspecified medical supplies for the Ukrainian military.

- Finally, Germany will commit an undisclosed amount of funds to the domestic production of weapons in Ukraine.



 

contricusc

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Germany 🇩🇪 announced $5.65 Billion usd in fresh military aid for Ukraine today. The package represents the largest single commitment by Germany to this point in the war.

Respect for Friedrich Merz! Germany finally has a Chancellor with a backbone. Let’s hope some Taurus missiles are also included in the package, and that we will find about them after some spectacular kabooms inside Russia.
 

Relic

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Respect for Friedrich Merz! Germany finally has a Chancellor with a backbone. Let’s hope some Taurus missiles are also included in the package, and that we will find about them after some spectacular kabooms inside Russia.
I've seen several sources indicating that Germany intends to work with Ukraine to quickly produce their own domestic long range missiles. I'm sure they'll send Taurus in a limited quantity at some point, but Germany only ever ordered 600 units and some have been used, while others reportedly need to be refurbished. More can be built, but not overnight. I'd imagine that 25-50 units are all that Germany would be willing to spare in the short term, especially with replacement missiles in low rate production.

I wish Germany had thousands of Taurus, with a booming assembly line producing dozens of additional units each month, but that's simply not reality. Any that they do send Ukraine will still be impactful, but like ATACMS and Stormshadow / Scalp that were sent previously, they'll likely make a strategic impact temporarily, but numbers will run out fairly quickly.

What Ukraine needs, and it sounds like Germany is going to work with them to achieve it, is their own ability to create and scale up an assembly line for a domestically made cruise missile. The ability to plan their usage based on regular production would be fantastic. Sadly, I doubt that Trump will be willing to sell something like ATACMS to Ukraine and he's certainly not going to sell PrSMs, Tomahawks, JASSMs or LRASMs. Britain, France and Italy are also going to be continually limited in the number of Stormshadow / SCALP they can send.

The other thing that would go a long way would be Western nations chipping in to help Ukraine mass produce long range, jet powered strike drones, which could serve effectively as crude, cheaper cruise missiles. Ukraine already has the technology, and the variants they are building continue to get better, with longer range, traveling at faster speeds and demonstrating better accuracy. The problem is that you're talking about $500,000+ usd per drone in some instances. Still cheaper than a modern cruise missile, but expensive for Ukraine's military budget. If the Western countries that have formed the drone coalition would get serious about funding it, I'm talking to the tune of $5 Billion+ usd per year, Ukraine could not only launch better quality drones in waves that would have further reach, pinning down Russian air defenses at depth, and saturating Russian systems, they would also force Russia into spending billions of dollars on expensive interceptors, money that they badly need to support offensive operations....But I'm talking about funding the production of 5,000-10,000 of these types of drones per year, where as currently that number might be 500-1000 units.
 

NEKO

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Europe looks determined to continue the support started when intel indicated that Russia intended to attack Ukraine. Europe can easily outlast Russia in financing the war. EU + UK + Norway GDP is more than 10 times that of Russia. Russia has been burning through its large but limited war chest and severely damaging its economy for 3+ years now. Short of the US working against Ukraine and its European supporters or the US actively lending its support to Russia, the outlook for Russia looks poor. IMO Russia's economic and financial problems will intensify the longer the war continues.



Putin has the problem that while cost of the war has caused the problems Russia is suffering, cutting funding for the war could paradoxically put more pressure on the already strained Russian economy according to economists. An undesirable position to be in. Looks like a lose/lose one.

In my view the last thing Ukraine should agree to at this point is a ceasefire, easing the pressure on Russia financially. Fortunately the terms Putin would demand would likely be far too onerous to be acceptable to Ukraine.
This works out great for the EU and the US, Russia keeps bleeding and getting drained. The longer they stay stuck in Ukraine, the better for them. Too bad Ukraine has to suffer through all of it.
 

Soldier30

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The first footage of a Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet-51" striking a Ukrainian checkpoint. This has not been observed before, usually "Lancet" drones only attack military equipment. The video was filmed near the village of Glybnoe in the Sumy region of Ukraine.

 

Spitfire9

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This works out great for the EU and the US, Russia keeps bleeding and getting drained. The longer they stay stuck in Ukraine, the better for them. Too bad Ukraine has to suffer through all of it
Yes but I think that Biden was too timid to offer Ukraine the full support it had been promised, thinking that was less risky and a stalemate over time would benefit the US more than a short, decisive, defensive campaign would. What happened to Ukraine and its people became irrelevant to the US, I think.

Having drained Russia over the years, however, I think that the best chance for Ukraine to have a future is to keep fighting in the hope that Putin will carry on squandering resources until - eventually - he has to stop to avoid economic and financial disaster.

Putin's interest was to rebuild the Russian empire. Ukraine was an attempt that went badly wrong. His other, bigger interest has doubtless always been to hang on to power. Can he do that with a failed war being all to show for the last few years if there is a ceasefire
 

contricusc

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I wish Germany had thousands of Taurus, with a booming assembly line producing dozens of additional units each month, but that's simply not reality.

Of course they don’t have high enough supplies, but what they need to do is to place large orders to MBDA/Saab for Taurus missiles, so they can send to Ukraine a few missiles on an ongoing basis. Placing large orders for European made missiles should have been done by all European powers from the onset of the war. That would have resulted in expanded production lines and higher production rates now.

Anyway, it’s better to do it late than never, so they should make sure Taurus missiles are built at the highest rate possible, and that Ukraine is able to test them in real combat against the Russian air defenses. Every delay in ordering new missiles means fewer missiles for Ukraine.
 

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Ukraine has used an AI mother drone for the first time, the Ministry of Digital Transformation announced. These drones, with the technology developed by the BRAVE1 defense cluster, are already being used on the battlefield. The mother drone carries two attack drones up to 300 kilometers away, which then autonomously find and attack targets. These can be aircraft, air defense systems, critical Russian infrastructure, etc. If they fly up to 100 kilometers away, they then return for reuse.
 
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