Recent content by contricusc

The Turkish claims in the Mediterranean will not materialize to anything, regardless of who rules Libya. Getting involved in Libya is a waste of resources, as everyone who got involved there discovered. Italy never supported Haftar. It was more in favor of the GNA actually.

Yes, I agree with you that NATO is not a guarantee, but it’s still better than nothing. Ukraine also needs to join the EU, and the EU needs to build up its military. Ukraine already has a very big army and MIC, and with European funding it can become even stronger. The biggest problem the EU is...

Europe’s biggest problem is not its lack of power, but it’s lack of unity. If European countries were united in the same way US states are united in a single country, Europe would be a global power to rival the US and China. Even now, with low military spending and limited reserves of...

I tried to make the analogy with the US tariffs on Switzerland, so that you could finally understand that you cannot negotiate the end of a conflict that was unilaterally started, when the aggressor still thinks it has the upper hand. It is not possible. Just like the Swiss cannot force Trump...

US tariffs on Switzerland need to stop already, I’m getting tired of this crap, the Swiss and the Americans are the most stubborn bunch of idiots ever. Especially the Swiss, don’t they realize that this is hurting their economy hard ffs.

I don’t think France will be willing to contribute to PURL packages, as they don’t want to spend their money on buying US weapons. They would rather help Ukraine with French-made weapons. They also have a budgetary problem, as they change prime ministers like diapers because they are unable to...

You are interpreting Zelensky in the wrong way. He has learned to never contradict Trump, and go along with what he says. If Trump says the war must end now and there should be a ceasfire, Zalensky cannot say anything else, because he doesn’t want to anger Trump and look like he is against...

It will be interesting to see if Ukraine will target the pipelines during winter. It is a well known fact that Russian oil is very heavy and extracted from deep down at high temperatures. In order to be transported through pipelines, it must be kept in motion by using high pressure at all the...

I doubt they will be able to build 200 per month. If they can get even 50 per month, as you said, the damage to Russia would be great. 200 per month would be catastrophic for Russia.

Ukraine will try to fix the oil oversupply issue by decommissioning more Russian refineries and oil export terminals.

Thanks for the follow up, and for pointing out that Article 6 mentions the exceptions and adds the entire teritory of Turkey. He just quoted Article 5 in the initial post, where the text didn’t include anything outside Europe and North America. It was weird to not cover the entire of Turkey...

If you read carefully Article 5, it clearly states that the attack must be in Europe or North America. This means that only Turkey’s European part is covered by Article 5. If Israel were to strike in Ankara, Turkey would not be able to invole Article 5. There is a precedent to that, when...

As more than 99% of ballots were counted, PAS reached 50% of the vote, while the pro-Russian Patriotic Bloc fell to 24%. The pro-EU party got twice as many votes as the pro-Russia party. PAS is projected to have 55 seats in parliament out of a total of 101. This means they will mantain a solid...

After more ballots were counted, PAS increased its share to 48% and the pro-Russians fell to 26%. The current projections show a majority in parliament for PAS, who will be able to govern without the need of a hung-parliament..

Tonight, Moldova voted in parliamentary elections. After about half of the voting sections were counted, Maia Sandu’s pro-EU party (PAS) is leading with 43% of votes, while the pro-Russian alliance (Blocul Patriotic) is second with 29%. It seems that the election will be a great win for the...