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Little analysis. We had two stages of war so far: 1) Heavy Talish/Magadish and Hadrut battles. 2) Fast march along Iranian border with one failed Armenian counter attack. Now we entered a third stage. I guess main objectives are Lachin and Qirmi Bazar (opens road to Shushi and flanks heavy...

Most probably a laser guided bomb dropped from Su-25.

Putin's estimate about 2K casualties from Armenian side sounds reliable. But similar number from the Azeri side is obviously a gross exaggeration (more than 2 times). Its impossible that side with complete air superiority will have same rate of casualties. In first days of war Azeri casualties...

They complain in video they dont have Buks and Pantsirs. But they do have Buks and newest versions of Tor. Question where and why they are hiding them.

Based on this stats TB2 carried 248 strikes in 23 days. That's 10.8 strikes a day. If during one sortie TB2 makes 2 strikes we get 5.4 sorties a day. Not all strikes are published, so actual number of strikes and sorties is higher. Around 7-8 sorties a day I guess (14-16 strikes)...

Since they are openly standing in large group it means that all mountains around are cleared. It safe to say that all the area up to Armenian border is free now. Contested areas I marked in blue. I guess if major fightings resume than prime targets will be Khojavend and Qirmi Bazar located on...

Total 4 S-300 positions were attacked: at Shosh: Command radar 5N63S + TEL destroyed by Harops. at Kaghnut: Observe radar 36D6 + TEL destroyed by Harops. at David Bek (open field): large explosion + secondary explosions. at Goris: TEL destroyed by Harop. In addition 1 TEL by Harop at...

Based on this and Dam video i added captured areas to this map: I also added all Fizuli area since it obvious that no Armenian forces left in hat pocket:

Geolocation of attacked S-300 battery: https://www.google.com/maps/place/39%C2%B019'00.1%22N+46%C2%B028'46.4%22E/@39.3160099,46.4798655,1114m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m5!3m4!1s0x0:0x0!8m2!3d39.3166944!4d46.4795556 As I thought it is unprepared position in open field. Probably its same battery which was...

In Azeri: I am Daniel Zarbaylov, I am proud to participate in liberation of lands which were occupied nearly 30 years ago, me and my friends believe in it firmly. In Russian: I want to address people of Israel, support us pray for us. The truth is at our side, Karabakh is Azerbaijan.

The mountain over Hadrut was a key point. There were heavy fightings over it for several days, but after it was captured the entire region on this map collapsed:

Сham Wings was used to transport mercenaries from Russia to Syria: https://fr.reuters.com/article/orutp-russia-flights-idRUKCN1HD19T-ORUTP https://www.businessinsider.com/r-special-report-how-a-secret-russian-airlift-helps-syrias-assad-2018-4 and to Libya...

This night Ganja attack was carried by Scud missile.

Russian air force is outdated. They can only bomb static targets 99% of time with unguided bombs and clusters. Azerbaijan and Turkey with TB2 hit more mobile targets in one day than Russians in 5 years. Only recently Russians started using 152-mm Krasnopol artillery shells guided by Searcher...

Here the map of Armenian air defence: They have: * 3 S-300P positions around Erevan. * 2 S-300P positions near Karabakh: one near Kaghnut which was attacked (launcher and observe radar destroyed) and one near Goris. * One S-300P was moved to Karabakh instead of Krug-M1 and was also attacked...

Seems destroyed vehicle is Scud:

BBC showed a pic of destroyed trucks near TBM launchers attacked in Armenia. Near but not same location. Seems Armenians did not allow to pic destroyed launchers:

Its old pic from Syria. https://baodatviet.vn/the-gioi/tin-tuc-24h/tinh-hinh-syria-nga-co-duoc-dong-thuan-lon-o-trung-dong-3296124/?paged=2