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Israel said its temporary. In fact Israel just took come part of tiny demilitarized strip where UN forces stationed. Now Israel is building a new defense line on Golan Heights. Assad was main weapon supplier to Hezbollah. 20,000 rockets which rained on Israeli towns in past year were supplied...

Excellent review of rebel offensive:

Drawing conclusions from 1 exchange is kinda silly. Also since Russia is advancing they capture more bodies that does not tell about casualties.

Israel is destroying long range missiles and SAMs. Just in case. Think why Turkiye refused to provide such weapons even to its most friendly rebels.

I'll add two more factors: 1) Assad left Syria when the offensive started and did not show up. It had very bad impact on Assadist morale. 2) HTS rebranded itself, showed tolerance to minorities, DEI, etc.. So minorities did not see much reason to resist.

Assad won thanks to these Shia militias: But after cease fire was achieved, they became confident. Iraqi, Afghani, Pakistani.. militias returned home (some were still stationed in Deir ez Zor and Palmyra). Hezbollah was pulled out during recent war with Israel. So Assad remained alone. Fast...

Iranian news agency: This reminds me an anecdote about newspaper headlines during the Napoleon's march: https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Napoleon%27s_March

Current population of free Ukraine is less than 30 mln. Russia population is 144 mln + Russia is also using the population of occupied Ukrainian regions as their cannon fodder (about 6 mln). Thus Russia has 5 times more population. Losses are more or less equal - around 150 K killed and 300...

In long term China has no any chance vs. USA. Fertility rate in China is 1.2, in US - 1.7 + large migration. Russia economy is solely based on oil and their good oil wells are running out. Iranian axis was weakened even before recent offensive and Trump will impose more sanctions on Iran...

Assad army is not a big surprise for me. I've been saying for many years that they are useless without pro-Iranian militias. Lebanese Hezbollah was very weakened in past year, thats also understandable. The biggest mystery me it is Iraqi Shia militias. In 2014-2017 many many thousands of them...

Current map (by Thomas Van Linge).

Today Russia controls MUCH LESS Ukrainian territories than they controlled in mid of 2022. Whats nor clear? And I am not even taking about their embarrassing retreat in end of March 2022. I dont understand what you are talking. You asked why Russia is advancing, I answered you: because they...

They still control much less they controlled in 2022. Russian super power is their total disregard about their losses. They can easily sacrifice over 20K to take tiny town. This is percent of Ukraine territories captured by Russia:

It says that Israel attacked weapons which are still in Assad territories. Israel also attacks bridges connecting Lebanon and Syria, which hinders Hezbollah to send reinforcements to Assad:

I think HTS taking Syria is lesser evil for Israel. Past year Israel was fighting the entire Shia axis: * Hamas, although are Sunnis, openly joined the Shia axis (they were getting weapons from Iran, money, their leaders constantly visited Iran). * Hezbollah, which launched tens of thousands...

Latakia is mountain Alawite area. Very hard to take it. Rastan-Hula-Talbise are hard core rebel areas whos population was forced to sign "reconciliation". Homs was also a rebel area but rebel population was cleansed there.

After fall of Hama rebels will easily take Rastan-Talbise-Houla area I marked on map. Then only Homs remains connecting Alawite coast to Damascus and Daraa. Losing Homs means losing everything for Assad.

3 T-90A tanks + other tanks lefts by Assadists behind in Khaasser area. I saw two more T-90A in other areas. Overall more than 50 tanks