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23 days passed since my post. Russians advanced 13 km further from Popasna towards Yampul. Now encirclement of Severodonetsk and Lysychanks is inevitable. But Russians advance is much slower than i expected - about 0.5 km a day.

I dont expect big changes. In best case scenario Ukrainians will stop Russian advance and will slowly push Russians back. For effective offensive u need air superiority and strong armor divisions. Nothing like this going to happen.

Here a big pic of Russian advance since the beginning of "second phase" from 1st April to 21 May: Very minor advance. Basically WW1 style positional war.

Seizing is totally out of question. Such systems are located in deep rear and Russians are advancing very very slowly.

I very doubt. And I dont think Patriot is something Ukrainians need now. Its very complicated, bulky and poorly mobile system. It will need lots of time to train. It can be destroyed quite easily destroyed with cruise missiles (Russia has plenty of them).

Russian army attacked with full strength since the first day. From 24 February to 1st April their strategy was move swift from all directions to shock the Ukrainians. And virtually all Russian gains were made i first 4 days when Ukrainians were caught off guard. Despite all warnings Ukrainians...

SOFIC NEWS: Rafael Introduces New Air-To-Surface Missile 5/17/2022 By Mikayla Easley TAMPA, Fl. — Rafael Advanced Defense Systems has unveiled a new missile the company believes will be suitable for future lightweight aviation platforms like those...

S-300PMU2 and S-400 have little differences. The problem with S-400 is that it is very expensive and very bulky system which can be easily destroyed with cheap cruise missiles.

Despite heavy losses Russians keep advancing slow but steadily in Severodonetsk region. Situiation change from 20 April to 18 May.

They fired S-300 rockets after Israeli jets left without locking on. IAF destroyed S-300 loading machin and Pantsir in return. 6 Assad air defence members killed.

Another thing about RuAF. On paper its very big - over 1100 combat jets and bombers. But during this war in February and March they made only about 200 combat sorties a day in average. Then it reduced even further. For comparison Israeli air force with about 350 jets made 400 combat sorties a...

As result of Putin's invasion Eastern pro-Russian, Russian speaking Ukraine will be destroyed while Western nationalist Ukraine will remain intact. Then Russian future will be destroyed as well. Russia is entering into deep demographic crisis now. And Putins war will create massive emigration...

No. There are very little resources in Ukraine. Putin's intention was to capture entire Ukraine, install there puppet government and then commit ethnocide of the Ukrainian nation (turn them into Russians).

Translation: Russian invaders miserably failed on battlefield, but managed to destroy Ukrainian infrastructures.

The Urkainuan progress on Kharkiv front. Purple line - the beginning or March Red line - the beginning of May. Russian invaders advance on Severodonetsk-Slovyansk front. From 20 Apr to 6 May:

Too far, I doubt they are designed to do it at all, only 150 kg warhead. To take it out u need a dozen 2000 lb bombs.

Only modern air force can destroy the Crimean bridge. Ukraine cant do it.

Newest Russian tank T-90M destroyed:

Russian progress from 7 april to 3rd May: If there will be no change Russians will take Severodonetsk and Lysychansk in week or two - first major victory for Russians since the beginning of "second phase"

Israeli officials have said Jerusalem can send “plenty of items” to Kyiv that are more defensive, but air-defense systems, advanced weaponry and attack systems would not be sent, Haaretz reported. Report sounds reliable. But nothing really important. Probably armor wests helmets , medical...