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  1. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    To form a parliamentary group, 20 deputies are required. There are around 30 DEVA, GP, SP deputies who won from CHP lists. There are also 7 MPs from IYIP. So CHP will lose around 40 seats. Tragicomic. Let's say IYIP voters voted, the other 3 parties won 30 deputies with almost zero election...
  2. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Like it or not, HDP supported KK with all its might. But IYIP lost a lot of blood. The parties that entered from CHP lists and will probably win around 30 MPs did almost no work in the field, and YRP got all their votes.
  3. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    I think CHP members should start a petition and ask the YSK to allow the CHP to run with another candidate. lol. RTE needs only 1-2 per cent for the second round. This motivation will be effective on voters who do not go to the polls or vote for Ogan for various reasons. It was the CHP brain...
  4. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    In Ankara, 97 per cent of the ballot boxes were opened, while in Istanbul and Izmir it was close to 90 per cent. I think KK's vote share is more or less finalised. 44-45%. Big fiasco, really big fiasco. When you remove the HDP, he got even less votes than Ince in 2018. By the way, the provinces...
  5. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Overseas votes are still at 19. This is RTE's trump card. The number of votes in these ballot boxes is 3 times bigger than the normal ballot boxes. The 60% that will come from here can keep RTE at 49.
  6. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    This does not reflect the entire nationalist segments in country; when the parliamentary lists are analysed, there are fractions whose vote rate is not visible. Once this election process is over, we will have an exciting motivation and struggle for next. To reconcile them.
  7. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    I haven't checked, but I don't think it'll be 70. Still, it looks like they'll be able to form a group comfortably. It's really unbelievable. There is no other example of this in the history of the Republic. They will have tens of deputies with 0.5 votes, and these deputies were elected by the...
  8. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Meanwhile, YRP's vote share is 2.8. This is an indication that the strategy designed through DEVA, SP and GP did not work at all. I hope that those who blame Ogan will make a self-criticism about their strategy for once.
  9. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    They're showing 50.81 for RTE now. KK 43.37.They're showing the number of ballot boxes opened as 77. AA data is here (opened ballot box 73.14) https://secim.ntv.com.tr/
  10. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Both alliances may not achieve an absolute majority in parliament. This, unfortunately, is a situation favoured by tertiary factors.
  11. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Will this observation be valid if RTE stays around 49? Which current momentum indicates that RTE will remain below 50 per cent. It's not only ex-CHP voters who vote for Ogan. In fact, if you ask me, the main vote shift was from the MHP. Of course, this is just my guess, more clear determinations...
  12. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Demirtaş shared prison news agency information. I am afraid that this man will make a statement that will cause outrage regardless of the result. Their problem is not the CHP or the AKP.
  13. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    According AA, Opened ballot box 65.72 per cent Difference 8.69 per cent (There is a difference of around 2.8 million votes) If the votes from abroad are enough to stabilise the western provinces, RTE can hold on to the 49-50 range.
  14. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Just for presidency.
  15. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    I think MHP overtook IYIP in this election as well. They pushed the party with a potential of 20 per cent back to the 10 per cent band. The confusion within the party played a big role in this. This was the key to the CHP's comfortable victory. At the moment it looks like it's going to come down...
  16. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Certainly, only wars of rhetoric. It's what we go through in every election.
  17. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Votes from abroad are counted at a common centre and there is another important detail: since almost every ballot box is not subject to regional effect, votes are usually spread homogeneously across the ballot boxes. Therefore, a few thousand votes can give some indication of our diaspora/abroad...
  18. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    AKP spokesman Celik: We respect any result. We come with the nation and go with the nation. However, we do not declare an election result while the ballot boxes are still being counted. We respect the counting process. While nothing is clear yet, the mayor of Istanbul makes a statement that the...
  19. dBSPL

    TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

    Ballot boxes abroad, (the number of ballot boxes opened yet is very few, but it will give an idea) https://secim2023.cnnturk.com/14-mayis-2023-secimleri/cumhurbaskanligi-yurtdisi-secim-sonuclari/

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