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The reason for German defeat was HUGE underestimation of Soviet force. According to Barbarossa plan USSR would use 107 divisions in first line, 77 divisions in second line and 25 divisions in third line. I.e. 209 divisions total. In reality USSR had 186 divisions in first line, 51 divisions...

First official map of the enclave. The main difference is that they keep Agdam region: Unclear if its temporary or not.

Russians deployed in Lachin corridor: The big test of the agreement will be on 15 November, when Armenians are supposed to retreat from the entire Kalbajar dictrict. This would cut the last road for Armenians so will be a strong objection.

* The whole road from Lachin to Xankendi will be under Russian control. * Nakcivan's connection with Azerbaycan will be under Armenian control but they agree to provide free passage and protection. The entrance to this passage will be under Russian customs control. Overall before the war...

Another map I found: Overall there was a deal between Putin and Erdogan and they both made a strong pressure on Aliev. This deal is much much better than anything Azerbaijan could achieve without war, but after taking Shusha it is a large concession. Basically Azerbaijan gets a Russian...

Here i made an approx map of new Karabakh autonomy (in red) based on the agreement:

Russian helicopter which was shot down was escorting a column of Grads:

Although I am not a fun of Russian weapons, I can provide an excuse: 1) Based on angle TB2 was filming Tor from very high distance - about 14-16 km, close to max distance of the Tor and did not approach it while it was operating. 2) Seems Tor was there alone and such system always needs a cover...

477 strikes in 43 days that's 11.1 strikes per day. Very similar figure to previous count. So if TB2 make 8 sorties a day we get around 350 sorties total so far. If we add also some 50 recon/target sorties then 400 sorties total.

My assessment of current situation (I modified an old map): AZ captured mountain overlooking Shusha, town itself is not fully cleared yet. The tactics moving through unpopulated mountains with SOF was very successful. But problem now that Azeri forces around Shusha dont have supply roads. So...

I already answered here: https://defencehub.live/threads/after-uae-deal-israel-asks-u-s-for-f-22-stealth-jets-to-preserve-military-edge.2369/#post-19401 https://defencehub.live/threads/after-uae-deal-israel-asks-u-s-for-f-22-stealth-jets-to-preserve-military-edge.2369/#post-20028 This report...

I guess mostly were hit by land mines and then ambushed. There are very few roads in mountain areas where vehicles can pass that's why quite easy to prepare such ambush. And the area close to Armenian border is most problematic.

Currently Israel has only one ship equipped with MF STAR radar and Barak 8 missiles. Thats Saar 5 class INS Lahav: With the arrival of 4 Saar 6 class ships we will have 5 Barak-8 ships total.

Based on this @ryanmofarrell map from 30 Oct: https://twitter.com/ryanmofarrell I made this map: Now the situation is something like this: Surprisingly Armenians did not have any defence positions in this mountain area so for two weeks there was a fight between Azeri and Armenian mobile...

Armenian strike with help of Orlan-10 drone confirms that Azeri recon forces reached the main road (Lachin-Shusha) linking Karabakh to Armenia. Exact geolocation: https://www.google.com/maps/@39.7383231,46.7172819,240m/data=!3m1!1e3

Location very close to Shusha. I marked it on my map: Based on this video we can see there is no clear frontline. Armenian and Azeri groups are wondering in that area.

So now it is cleared what happened at night between Oct 29- Oct 30. Azeri SF penetrated into Signax village and blew up lare ammo stocks there. The sound of these explosions was heard well in Stepanakert (here Russian reported from there): This caused panic among Armenians and reports that...

Not at all. Putin can't do more than he is doing already anyway. But while Pashinyan is at power he has a good excuse why he is not acting. Similarly in Armenia no one wants to take Pashinyan's place before the war is over. But soon after war ends Putin will do everything to boot Paninyan and...

Russian polls mean nothing at all. In summer 2015 90% of Russians knew nothing about Syria and how it is different from Pakistan or Morocco and in autumn 2015 they overwhelmingly supported operation in Syria to save Assad. Simply now in Karabakh Russia can't do very little so their diplomacy...