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  1. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Iran-Israel Conflict (2025)

    They won't win, will they? Israel has a strong air defence system. Israel has access to a more or less indefinite number of weapons from the US. I will not be surprised if Israel keeps attacking until it has destroyed Iran's air defence system.
  2. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    I said it here yesterday or the day before and I say it again: beware dealing with Indonesia. Indonesia cannot be trusted. https://www.flightglobal.com/fixed-wing/seoul-jakarta-in-kf-21-compromise-kaan-commitment-downplayed/163346.article Sad for the KAAN programme.
  3. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    If you are making a contract with a known bad payer or dishonest customer you take care to protect yourself against non-payment. I guess that insurance against non-payment for its Rafales by Indonesia was quite expensive after Indonesia had shown how little importance honouring its contracts was...
  4. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    I followed the long saga of Indonesia failing to meet its agreements, promising to observe its agreements and to make good the development money outstanding then failing to do that again, then asking for a reduction in its share of development costs and (I believe) failing to build facilities in...
  5. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    Congratulations to TAI on securing an agreement from Indonesia to buy 48 KAAN! Cautionary footnote: Indonesia did not honour its agreements with KAI
  6. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Su-35 gone, reportedly falling victim to an AIM-120 carried by an F-16. Cheap exchange for Ukraine (missile cost <500,000 USD v fighter cost 50,000,000+ USD). Never mind, Russia still has a bit of money left to buy another one. Better be quick, though, before the money is all gone.
  7. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

    Agreed, UK should not support a country systematically practising war crimes. About F-35, UK does not supply Israel with F-35 parts. UK cannot stop the US supplying countries with F-35 fighters or F-35 parts except by stopping supply of UK parts to LM. Sure, form a group of LM component...
  8. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Why would China want to help Russia? A weak Russia gives China - cheap energy - increased consumer good exports - a large share of the Russian car market etc It is not really a case of hoping things work out. All the data and stats I see indicate the non-MIC part of the Russian economy is...
  9. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Yes but I think that Biden was too timid to offer Ukraine the full support it had been promised, thinking that was less risky and a stalemate over time would benefit the US more than a short, decisive, defensive campaign would. What happened to Ukraine and its people became irrelevant to the US...
  10. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Europe looks determined to continue the support started when intel indicated that Russia intended to attack Ukraine. Europe can easily outlast Russia in financing the war. EU + UK + Norway GDP is more than 10 times that of Russia. Russia has been burning through its large but limited war chest...
  11. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    I rate democracy above dictatorship. I live in a society that holds democracy including the many freedoms it incorporates - among which freedom of expression - above dictatorship. Do you find that to be 'supremacist'?
  12. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    Exactly right.
  13. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    Of course I am speculating. Realistically is my intention. I don't think the KAAN programme will fail. Exactly how long it will take to supply TuAF with a decent number of viable fighters, I cannot know. In contrast, I think that EF reached FOC years ago. If you don't want Eurofighter, stop...
  14. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    Sure. Apart from the US, who else is likely to want a supersonic trainer in the next 10 years and how many? Boeing, KIA and TIA look like the possible suppliers. Let us remember that Spain's desire to offload its excess A400M is an important factor in buying Hurjet. Apart from the US, who else...
  15. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I think that the US will welcome a continuation of the war now ($$$ for US). Putin the same (but on a reduced scale involving less cost). The economists and analysts I read foresee 'turning off the wartime economy' as something that could precipitate a collapse of the Russian economy...
  16. Spitfire9

    TR Air-Force TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    Who is going to buy 500 Hurkus, Hurjet, KAAN combined by 2034? I don't know anything about Hurkus but Hurjet is up against T7-A, a formidable competitor. KAAN is up against ITAR/CAATSA, although a preference for Muslim countries to buy from Turkiye gives it a unique advantage over other 5G...
  17. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Russian financial position continues to deteriorate - gold reserves down from 600 tons at war start to around 200 tons now - payment on maturing bonds (a government promise to pay a certain amount on a certain date in the future) cannot be covered by selling new bonds to international investors...
  18. Spitfire9

    TR Air Forces|News & Discussion

    Turkiye is developing KAAN with a Turkish engine. I think that is the 'solution'.
  19. Spitfire9

    TR Air Forces|News & Discussion

    Aren't you getting A400M? I believe that production share was linked to numbers ordered by the partners. Is that why Spain ordered more than it needed? Looks like a Hurjet/A400M deal benefits both parties, so I guess Turkiye will be getting some A400M.
  20. Spitfire9

    TR HÜRJET-Advanced Jet Trainer/ Light attack aircraft

    Big difference in thrust between the F404, M-88 and EJ200. While I see the interest in a non-US engine, would EJ200 (60kN dry, 90kN wet) not be much more powerful than necessary? The F404 used produces 53kN dry, 78kN wet. I think that M-88 thrust (around 50kN dry, 75kN wet) makes it a better...

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