I don't think you can predict a country's GDP growth several years in the future with much confidence if it is in a very unstable and unpredictable situation - fighting an economic war. Russia's economic situation looks bad to me at the moment and likely to get worse and stay worse for some...
My guess is that the Russian economy will continue to grow for a short time. After that? The signs do look bad to me.
PS
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/russia-economy-meltdown-looms-as-putin-is-handed-dire-stagflation-warning/ar-AA1u4QI0?ocid=BingNewsSerp
Russia is facing the mounting risk of stagflation, a think tank tied to the Kremlin has said.
TsMAKP said the nation's high interest rates would trigger an economic downturn while inflation remains high.
Russia's tight monetary policy is costing businesses profitability and risks spurring...
It is a shame for the UK that they did not lift restrictions a year or two ago. The UK assembly line could have done with a Typhoon order to keep the assembly line going.
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/production-essentially-stopped-for-british-built-typhoons/
It would be ironical. Russia has said that it would be only be prepared to use nuclear weapons if its existence were threatened. On that basis it must approve of Ukraine only being prepared to use nuclear weapons if its existence is threatened.
Who on earth might threaten Ukraine's existence?
I would expect Russia to push harder to gain ground after Trump's win . The report below tends to confirm the same. Although I have no evidence to support the number given, higher casualty numbers make sense to me...
I do not think that counteroffensive by Ukraine has had much probability of success in retrieving Ukrainian soil since late 2022.
Ukraine has an area or about 900,000 sq km. To my knowledge (please do correct me if wrong) less than 1% of Ukraine territory has changed hands since 2023.
On...
Not sure about that. IMO if one side is advancing, more enemy bodies should fall into their hands. The side retreating should not have so many enemy bodies fall into their hands.
I agree that in crude terms Russian manpower is inexhaustible. If North Korea chooses to continue to supply troops, that supply is inexhaustible. Ukraine does not have a limitless pool of troops in the same way. However, every man Russia sends to Ukraine (prisoners excepted) is a man removed...
A pattern of Russia having losses of 1,000+ a day seems to have been reported for a long time by the UK MOD. I do not think that they simply ask Ukraine for the numbers. Given that Russia is advancing, I can believe that Russian daily losses have risen. From what to what I do not know...
A lot of what I read from posters supporting Russia I dismiss as biased or ridiculous propaganda. The above report I can find credible.
WARNING: VIDEO MAY CONTAINS DISTRESSING IMAGES - but it is my source to support what I write
I can can also find credible the above report of Russia...
I was not suggesting amalgamating the 2 engines. I was curious if Turkiye and ROK might gain something by exploiting each other's R&D and differing know how.
When this war started I wanted to know the breakdown of use of the Russian and Ukrainian languages in Ukraine. Don't remember the source (would have been something academic) but I was surprised to read that most households in the study reportedly used both languages when communicating in the...
In my ignorance: setting politics aside, which could preclude co-developments
(estimated)
1 How long for Turkiye to develop TF35000 alone?
2 How long for ROK to develop an engine for Kf-21 alone?
Could time be saved through the 2 countries sharing technology? I guess that there must be areas...
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-trump-putin-drone-zelensky-b2644430.html
I am inclined to believe him. To me it makes sense for Russia to push hard with high losses at this juncture and to keep pushing until Trump assumes office, the idea being to agree to an...
I'm not sure that outright capitulation will be the case.
I suspect that Trump will want to be seen as the strong man who forced both Russia and Ukraine to accept his proposal to end the war. He may threaten to greatly increase support for Ukraine if Russia does not accept his peace proposal as...