TR 2023 Turkish presidential election

Status
Not open for further replies.

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
According AA,
Opened ballot box 65.72 per cent
Difference 8.69 per cent
(There is a difference of around 2.8 million votes)

If the votes from abroad are enough to stabilise the western provinces, RTE can hold on to the 49-50 range.
 
Last edited:

Oublious

Experienced member
The Netherlands Correspondent
Messages
2,219
Reactions
8 4,805
Nation of residence
Nethelands
Nation of origin
Turkey
Looks like Erdogan is going to win if it goes like this, when Ankara, Istanbul and Izmir more then 60% is counted then we can say Erdogan have won the election. If not second round will be played.
 

Oublious

Experienced member
The Netherlands Correspondent
Messages
2,219
Reactions
8 4,805
Nation of residence
Nethelands
Nation of origin
Turkey
I am curious about chp feto candidate sadullah ergun and that journalist from taraf, did they won? :)
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
ddddddddda.PNG
 

Agha Sher

Experienced member
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
2,769
Reactions
11 9,352
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Afghanistan
Breaking! Based on AA's numbers!

at 64% of the votes counted, RTE is currently losing 0.035%-points for every %-point increase in counted votes. RTE has stabilized.

If this rate remains constant (unlikely), RTE will get slightly above 50% of the votes and win in the first round!
 

Agha Sher

Experienced member
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
2,769
Reactions
11 9,352
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Afghanistan
Woah! RTE could take it all in the first round.

Marvelous how KK managed to evaporate his lead (for now)
 

TheInsider

Experienced member
Professional
Messages
4,123
Solutions
1
Reactions
35 14,679
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Tayyip Erdoğan is slightly ahead now. This is the info i have.

RT.Erdoğan. : %48.02 -16.210.913 oy
K.Kılıçdaroğlu : %46.21 -15.600.659 oy
S.Oğan. : %5.33 -1.799.206 oy
 

Mustafa27

Committed member
Messages
215
Reactions
2 588
Nation of residence
United Kingdom
Nation of origin
Turkey

Demirtaş shared prison news agency information.

I am afraid that this man will make a statement that will cause outrage regardless of the result. Their problem is not the CHP or the AKP.
Its is going to be an outrage regardless of who wins. Its too close , if one side won by like 2% it would have been fine but with numbers like this. Whoever loses is going to go crazy.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Sinan Oğan seems to have prevented the election of Kılıçdaroğlu.
Will this observation be valid if RTE stays around 49? Which current momentum indicates that RTE will remain below 50 per cent. It's not only ex-CHP voters who vote for Ogan. In fact, if you ask me, the main vote shift was from the MHP. Of course, this is just my guess, more clear determinations can be made when we compare the party votes in the parliamentary elections with the votes in the presidential elections.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
Both alliances may not achieve an absolute majority in parliament. This, unfortunately, is a situation favoured by tertiary factors.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey

Do we know where Haber is getting their numbers from. They differ from AA
They're showing 50.81 for RTE now. KK 43.37.They're showing the number of ballot boxes opened as 77.
global.PNG


AA data is here (opened ballot box 73.14)

 

Tonyukuk

Well-known member
Messages
435
Reactions
2 1,076
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Kazakhstan
I think Erdoğan will win first round.







But Ragip Soylu and literally every non biased source was saying this would either be neck and neck or a KK win. I don't think this is because of Sinan Oğan. Even as the worst candidate, it's undeniable that KK was supposed to be doing better.
 

dBSPL

Experienced member
Think Tank Analyst
DefenceHub Ambassador
Messages
2,617
Reactions
100 13,448
Nation of residence
Turkey
Nation of origin
Turkey
I think Erdoğan will win first round.

But Ragip Soylu and literally every non biased source was saying this would either be neck and neck neck or a KK win. I don't think this is because of Sinan Oğan.
Meanwhile, YRP's vote share is 2.8. This is an indication that the strategy designed through DEVA, SP and GP did not work at all. I hope that those who blame Ogan will make a self-criticism about their strategy for once.
 

Agha Sher

Experienced member
DefenceHub Diplomat
Messages
2,769
Reactions
11 9,352
Nation of residence
Denmark
Nation of origin
Afghanistan
They're showing 50.81 for RTE now. KK 43.37.They're showing the number of ballot boxes opened as 77.
View attachment 57414

AA data is here (opened ballot box 73.14)


It is very close.

A 2nd round would be pointless. RTE would crush KK. Better to get it over with in this 1st round.
 

Oublious

Experienced member
The Netherlands Correspondent
Messages
2,219
Reactions
8 4,805
Nation of residence
Nethelands
Nation of origin
Turkey
330 parliament members for Cumhur alliance.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom