Breaking News China-US War?

Bogeyman 

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GOPDgvnXEAArXW1





Context:
- Big news but doesn’t mean an invasion or blockade is likely or imminent
- Scheduled for 2 days but “A” implies a “B” may follow
- Big drills like this are not uncommon & have happened before around major political events
- Analysts anticipated a response like this to Taiwan’s presidential inauguration, & the weather is better this time of year
- Too early to understand the size & scope compared to previous operations
- Lots of bad info so be careful who & what you trust


New from Chinese media:
- Designed to surround Taiwan from both the east & the west, the exercises display the PLA's strike capability across all directions without any blind spots, forming a situation where the island is pinned down from both sides
- To the east, joint forces organized to carry out sea & land assault drills
-First time that Chinese Coast Guard vessels have entered the waters around Wuqiu & Dongyin
- Designed to serve as strong deterrence & warning, destroying the notion of so-called restricted waters imposed by Taiwan
- Feature an integrated plan covering the main & outlying islands, & employing the acts of destroying, trapping & blocking in one move
- Combat alert patrols surround the island, with warships & warplanes closing in on multiple locations only steps away from its coastlines, effectively pressuring the island's space for military defense

https://x.com/ianellisjones/status/1793521345026044314

https://x.com/ianellisjones/status/1793530053860405726

New from the PLA: “Today, the air force in the Eastern Theater Command dispatched dozens of fighters to systematically patrol around the island & cruise around the outer islands. After arriving in the mission airspace, all types of fighters rely on joint intelligence support & flexibly take various tactical actions to reach the patrol around Taiwan Island.”
 

Bogeyman 

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GOPDgvnXEAArXW1





Context:
- Big news but doesn’t mean an invasion or blockade is likely or imminent
- Scheduled for 2 days but “A” implies a “B” may follow
- Big drills like this are not uncommon & have happened before around major political events
- Analysts anticipated a response like this to Taiwan’s presidential inauguration, & the weather is better this time of year
- Too early to understand the size & scope compared to previous operations
- Lots of bad info so be careful who & what you trust


New from Chinese media:
- Designed to surround Taiwan from both the east & the west, the exercises display the PLA's strike capability across all directions without any blind spots, forming a situation where the island is pinned down from both sides
- To the east, joint forces organized to carry out sea & land assault drills
-First time that Chinese Coast Guard vessels have entered the waters around Wuqiu & Dongyin
- Designed to serve as strong deterrence & warning, destroying the notion of so-called restricted waters imposed by Taiwan
- Feature an integrated plan covering the main & outlying islands, & employing the acts of destroying, trapping & blocking in one move
- Combat alert patrols surround the island, with warships & warplanes closing in on multiple locations only steps away from its coastlines, effectively pressuring the island's space for military defense

https://x.com/ianellisjones/status/1793521345026044314

https://x.com/ianellisjones/status/1793530053860405726

New from the PLA: “Today, the air force in the Eastern Theater Command dispatched dozens of fighters to systematically patrol around the island & cruise around the outer islands. After arriving in the mission airspace, all types of fighters rely on joint intelligence support & flexibly take various tactical actions to reach the patrol around Taiwan Island.”
@Anmdt @Kartal1 @what @Yasar_TR @NEKO @Gary @MADDOG @Rodeo @Mis_TR_Like @Ryder @Heartbang @OPTIMUS @TR_123456
 
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NEKO

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Gary

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Before Russia invaded Ukraine didn't Russia also use exercise as an excuse to mobilize their military close to Ukraine border?

Even if its just an exercise Taiwan should enter combat ready status, just in case, if nothing happens then its good. But if not?

The preparation needed for something as big as an invasion of Taiwan would take years. The first sign will be felt in stock market, then Chinese govt will start the necessary psychological warfare to undermine Taiwan, Chinese TV will start broadcasting patriotic ads, civilian ships will be taken over by the military, etc etc.

We haven't seen anything close to that.

My bet is somewhere early to mid 2030s for China to be absolutely sure that they could came out on top and launch the awaited invasion.
 

Bogeyman 

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Very rare photos from Taiwan's underground fighter jet caves connected to Chiashan Air Force Base. (July 2022) This airbase is known for its extensive underground hangars. Photos show F-16V Viper fighters being armed with Harpoon anti-ship missiles, AMRAAMs and Sidewinders inside Chiashan tunnels.
 

Huelague

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US should vacate the whole Semiconductor industry from Taiwan. After this, it’s just an Insignificant island.
 

Gary

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US should vacate the whole Semiconductor industry from Taiwan. After this, it’s just an Insignificant island.

Capture taiwan, PLAN has the base to sortie to the open sea (Pacific), outflank U.S forces in the Philippines or even support new bases in the Oceania.

Taiwan is more important as a military base than those TSMC fans.
 

Huelague

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Capture taiwan, PLAN has the base to sortie to the open sea (Pacific), outflank U.S forces in the Philippines or even support new bases in the Oceania.

Taiwan is more important as a military base than those TSMC fans.
Doesnt make sense to me. TSMC makes more sense. Who lead the semiconductor technology, will lead economy growth.
 

Huelague

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Türkiye should clarify his stand and position in this possible conflict.
 

Gary

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Iskander

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No matter how the situation develops, avoiding war should be the most important thing!
If the United States defends Taiwan separatism, China's only recourse will be war.
Look at the map, what is America looking for in that region? Peace?
It doesn't look like it at all.
America supports separatism in strategically important regions of the world, if there are no problems, it creates problems. Of course, only for the sake of strengthening his power,
and not with the goal of making unhappy peoples happy.
Such is the character of America. Everywhere he is looking for war, not peace.
 
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