Indonesia Indonesian Economy News and Updates

Gundala

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Talking about debts, our SOE total debt actually quite worrysome to me, but at least they are using it as funds for infrastructure Development and can be used as colateral bargaining chip.
The plan was to take the loan to build jalan tol then sell it to investor. Im not sure how it goes today, but when RS was BUMN minister we somehow questioned how she structured the sales. The "good one" sold seperatly while "the not so good one" being marketed seperatly as well. It should be the combination between those two to keep the cash flow going. Now facing with pandemic all the not so good one become worst but the show must go on so the loan will keep coming.

But like you said it become an asset so all good as long as the cost being closely watched, honest report from SOE about the current financial condition, etc. Some of them have tendency to cover things up buat jaga nama but eventually blow up big at the end, that shouldnt be happening if those BoD maintain their profesionalism
 

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Chinese firms to purchase Indonesian products worth $505 mln​

10th Dec 2020 21:13
Chinese firms to purchase Indonesian products worth $505 mln


Beijing (ANTARA) - Three Chinese companies have signed a letter of intent (LoI) for the purchase of products worth US$505 million, or about Rp7.1 trillion, from Indonesia.



Beijing Huiyu Import-Export Co Ltd, Hebei Jinyezi Pharmaceutical Co Ltd, and Prestige International Trading Company Ltd signed the LoI on the sidelines of a business forum organized by the Indonesian Embassy in Beijing on Wednesday.



This is a special achievement considering this was the first time the embassy organized a hybrid offline-online event amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Indonesian Ambassador to China, Djauhari Oratmangun, said on Thursday.



Chinese investment in Indonesia rose 6 percent in the January-September period this year compared to the same period last year, he said, without elaborating on the value of investment.



"China continues to make Indonesia one of the priority investment destinations for its companies wishing to go global and expand their investment in Indonesia," he remarked.



The forum featured chief of the Indonesian Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), Bahlil Lahadalia, chief representative of Bank Indonesia in Beijing, Arief Hartawan, and Secretary General of China Top 500, Huang Jun.



On Wednesday night, the embassy hosted a diplomatic reception to mark the 75th anniversary of Indonesian independence, which was attended by Assistant to Chinese Foreign Minister, Wu Jianghua, and representatives from friendly countries. (INE)


Related news: Indonesian investment board ready to facilitate relocation of Chinese firms

Related news: PM Li urges Chinese firms to prioritize Indonesian workers




EDITED BY INE

Translated by: M. Irfan Ilmie/Suharto
Editor: Fardah Assegaf

 

Var Dracon

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Indonesian company PT Terang Dunia Internusa (United Bike) reveals new electric motorcycle, called T1800 electric motor

Sepeda-Motor-Listrik-United-E-Motor-Tampak-Kanan.jpg

Tampak-depan-Motor-Listrik-United-E-Motor.jpg

speedometer-Motor-Listrik-United-E-Motor.jpg

It is currently on sale, the original price is Rp.27.000.000, for limited unit this is reduced to Rp.24.500.000
This electric motorcycle could produce racing motorcycle-like sounds, unlike other electric motorcycles which are silent. (in China electric motorcycle is called "silent killer" because they go without people noticing, resulting in many accidents)

e-catalogue_002.jpg


e-catalogue_003.jpg


This electric motorcycle would compete with other Indonesian electric motor such as Viar Q1, ECGO 2, Selis Agats and Gesits.
Website:
 
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Indos

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Malaysian economic growth means opportunity for our labor force as well like construction workers, shopkeeper,etc. Kudos for Malaysian, their economic growth will provide employment for our blue color job workers :cool:
 

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Nilgiri

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Projection from Japanese think thank

View attachment 8551


Fairly meaningless without PPP and/or price level.

These projections also dont realise the ceiling coming into view hard for Chinese model in that it saddles itself to USD (and reserve) for a reason...and uses undervaluing on top.

Smaller countries like Japan and South Korea could do this lot more sustainably to get to high income given US and West are larger population than them...and the fact they are major allies of the US and West (and paid into the western global system in various ways).

Thus there is no automatic breakout from it that just progresses without major reform (that China is very wary of still).

This is exactly why IMF doesnt project anything past 2025....5 year chunk basically. Stretch more than that is kind of dumb.
 

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Fairly meaningless without PPP and/or price level.

These projections also dont realise the ceiling coming into view hard for Chinese model in that it saddles itself to USD (and reserve) for a reason...and uses undervaluing on top.

Smaller countries like Japan and South Korea could do this lot more sustainably to get to high income given US and West are larger population than them...and the fact they are major allies of the US and West (and paid into the western global system in various ways).

Thus there is no automatic breakout from it that just progresses without major reform (that China is very wary of still).

This is exactly why IMF doesnt project anything past 2025....5 year chunk basically. Stretch more than that is kind of dumb.

I also agree that 15 years projection is too long and I think it is too soon to predict of what will be the long growth after this pandemic is inshaAllah over. At this situation, better not making any long growth prediction until pandemic is really over inshaAllah. I would say even for the year 2021 many things hasnt been clear yet. I would better wait this fourth quarter growth data to come out and next year first quarter as well to really see what will happen in 2021 in term of economic growth.

Some thing that I really want to see is that whether Indonesia trade balance is still positive for 2021 when trade and investment figure are supposed to be more like pre-Covid period level. If the trend keep continuing than we should expect more stable Rupiah to come as our currency was weakening during 2012-2018 period and this is the reason of why Indonesia needs five more years to reach 1 trillion USD nominal GDP after it gets so close to 1 trillion already in 2012.
 

Indos

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Batang Industrial Complex progress as of 3 December (Central Java). State owned construction company, Waskita Karya, is currently building the infrastructure. For first phase they just develop 300 hectare first out of 4300 hectare land.


Many industrial complex in Sumatra only has about 20-30 percent utility rate (latest data from CNBC Indonesia). Businesses still prefer investing in Java for some reasons.
 

Nilgiri

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Some thing that I really want to see is that whether Indonesia trade balance is still positive for 2021 when trade and investment figure are supposed to be more like pre-Covid period level. If the trend keep continuing than we should expect more stable Rupiah to come as our currency was weakening during 2012-2018 period and this is the reason of why Indonesia needs five more years to reach 1 trillion USD nominal GDP after it gets so close to 1 trillion already in 2012.

Yes there is a larger stabilisation trend that was at play in Indonesia. The 08 recession in western world did not help matters.

This set back India a whole bunch too for similar reasons (if you look at growth up to 08/09 and how it was compounding very well)....and it combined with such things as ease of doing business not being good enough for more broad investment stream (in both IND and INA) to replace it in the time period of note.

Now if we look at both IND and INA, the reforms and FDI scaling has been coming into relevant sectors in just the recent timeframe mostly....these will take a while to unlock more GDP (esp nominal GDP in USD which generally needs competitive export performance).

Generally some of these can take as short as 2 years (to fully operationalise and deploy in taxable trackable GDP that has good export presence/supply chain etc), but sometimes up to 5 years or even 8-10 years depending on the nature of the investment plan and capex involved etc.

I am quite optimistic about both countries, lets look at INA snapshot:


As you can see the FDI is looking fairly stable since 2010 and the recent trend is promising too.

What Indonesia this decade should also look at is making its own FDI investments into other countries in strategic industries and sectors there to unlock knowhow and new investment flows.

If you go deeper ito FDI (USD billions) stock level (external/internal deployed ratio) as of 2019:

VN has about 11/161= 7%

INA has about 79/232 = 34%

IND has about 179/427 = 42%

CHN has about 2100/1770 = 119%

China is bit prone/inflated on this given roundtripping with HK and Taiwan....but still it give an overall idea of what developing countries generally need to do to unlock more quality investment/trade over time.

Hopefully further business reforms allow INA to develop a more wieldy corporate sector and capital market to aid in this.
 

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Toyota to Make 10 Types of EV in Indonesia as Part of Its $2b Investment Push Until 2025​

1607443047.jpg

BY :FAISAL MALIKI BASKORO
DECEMBER 08, 2020
Jakarta. Japanese automotive giant Toyota plans to introduce 10 electric vehicles to the Indonesian market over the next five years, as part of its $2 billion investment pledge to support the Southeast Asian country's push to develop a world-class electric vehicle industry and reduce fossil fuel consumption and greenhouse emissions.
"Toyota is fully committed to supporting the Indonesian government's efforts to reduce emissions, and also reduce fuel imports for motor vehicles," Yoichi Miyazaki, Toyota's chief executive officer for Asia Region, said in a virtual meeting with the Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto on Tuesday.
Last year, Toyota announced its commitment to invest at least $2 billion in Indonesia's automobile industry over the next five years. Miyazaki reaffirmed the company's commitment, saying that electric vehicles' development and production were on the way until 2025.

"At least, in the next five years, Toyota has prepared 10 types of electric vehicles for Indonesian consumers," Miyazaki said.
"In our business development plan, Toyota prepares Indonesia to become an export hub for Toyota products, not only for the Asean region but also for other destination countries, so we really prepare the supply chain and human resources," he said.
Marking its 50th anniversary of operation in Indonesia, Toyota also reiterated its commitment to a sustainable automobile industry that reduces emissions and fossil fuel consumption.
"Toyota's vehicle technology is also ready to support the implementation of the B30 in Indonesia," Miyazaki said, referring to the government's program to replace 30 percent of diesel fuel with palm-oil based biofuel.

Toyota estimated its electric vehicle and B30 technology could help Indonesia reduce its fuel consumption by up to 126 million liters by 2025.
The company also set to carry out the EV Smart Mobility project in Bali to promote electric vehicles in Nusa Dua, Bali's eco-tourism ecosystem. Toyota will collaborate with the Indonesia Tourism Development Corporation (ITDC) Nusa Dua in the project.
Airlangga welcomed Toyota's investment plan, which is in line with the government's effort to create more job opportunities.
"The government welcomes the investment plan that will be carried out by Toyota, with the hope of creating job opportunities and also increasing the skills or expertise of the Indonesian workforce," Airlangga said.
Airlangga also hoped that Toyota would consider investing in electric vehicle batteries, taking advantage of Indonesia's ample nickel supplies.
President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo has set the electric vehicle industry as the government focus for the next several years, intending to make 20 percent of cars in Indonesia electric by 2025. The country also seeks to become the global hub for battery and electric vehicle production.
Besides Toyota, South Korea’s Hyundai Motor has also made an inroad to developing electric vehicles in Indonesia, committing about $1.55 billion in investment. Hyundai expected its manufacturing plant in Wst Java to start production next year.

 

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At least 322 Fintech Firms are Now Based in Indonesia including Digital Payments, Online Lending Platforms: Report​


December 6, 2020 @ 11:03 pm By Omar Faridi

1607808951702.png


Indonesia has the 16th largest economy in the world with a GDP of over $1 trillion. It’s also the world’s fourth most populous nation with around 275 million residents, out of which about 85% are below the age of 54.
The Southeast Asian country has a 67% Internet penetration rate but financial inclusion remains a major challenge, which is being addressed by a rapidly evolving Fintech sector.
As reported recently, Fintech Unicorn TransferWise will now let customers in Indonesia send remittance payments to 80 different countries. Fintech platforms in the country are also getting ready to support an expected rise in investments from young investors following the COVID-19 outbreak.
The nation’s fast-growing Fintech sector is being supported by a proactive government that has introduced progressive rules and policies for peer to peer lending platforms, digital payments, and Open Banking. As covered, Indonesian President Joko Widodo has said that local Fintechs must adopt good governance practices to support rapid tech development. These regulations aim to promote innovative projects and enable greater financial inclusion.
This progressive business environment has attracted investments from local and global Fintech investors, many of which are quite confident about the potential of digital financial services in the Southeast Asian country.
Global investors such as billionaire Jack Ma’s Ant Group (subsidiary of Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA)) are now involved in various initiatives based in Indonesia. Tencent Holdings, which owns widely-adopted messaging service WeChat, has made strategic investments in GoJek, which is described as a “super app” that runs Indonesia’s popular digital wallet GoPay.
As confirmed by Fintech News, US-based private equity company Warburg Pincus led tax compliance provider OnlinePajak’s $25 million Series B investment round back in 2018. More recently, Indonesian digital credit platform Kredivo closed up to a $100 million warehouse financing facility with Victory Park Capital.
Clear regulatory guidelines along with investors interest have resulted in the steady growth of a vibrant Fintech sector in Indonesia that’s quickly become one of the world’s most competitive. The country is now home to Fintech Unicorn OVO, which provides a mobile wallet. OVO is valued at around $2.9 billion (as of September 2019). Meanwhile, GoJek is valued at approximately $12.5 billion.
As first reported by Fintech News, there are at least 322 Fintech firms operating in Indonesia, along with 125 registered but unlicensed digital lending platforms.
Indonesia’s Fintech startups sector mainly includes online lending solution providers, which represent around half of all Fintechs in the Asian nation, according to the latest Indonesia Fintech Report 2020.
Online lending platforms are followed by digital payments with 73 Fintechs (or 23%) providing these types of services. Meanwhile, the blockchain and crypto-assets space is supported by 26 (or 8%) local Fintechs while 24 firms (or 7%) specialize in investment/personal finance.
Other key Indonesian Fintech segments include Insurtech (15 firms), crowdfunding (9 firms), point-of-sale services (7 firms), and financial comparison (7 firms).
As covered recently, ride-hailing firm Grab, a diversified business that includes financial services, led a $100 million round for Indonesia’s LinkAja.
Southeast Asia, which includes Indonesia, has emerged as a Fintech hotspot with a CAGR of 55% in equity funding, according to a recent report.
 

Indos

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If you go deeper ito FDI (USD billions) stock level (external/internal deployed ratio) as of 2019:

VN has about 11/161= 7%

INA has about 79/232 = 34%

IND has about 179/427 = 42%

CHN has about 2100/1770 = 119%

China is bit prone/inflated on this given roundtripping with HK and Taiwan....but still it give an overall idea of what developing countries generally need to do to unlock more quality investment/trade over time.

Hopefully further business reforms allow INA to develop a more wieldy corporate sector and capital market to aid in this.
Could you please explain more about this external/internal deployed ratio ?? I really dont understand the meaning of that figure and dont know where the figure comes from either ( VN= 11/161, INA= 79/232, etc)
 

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Could you please explain more about this external/internal deployed ratio ?? I really dont understand the meaning of that figure and dont know where the figure comes from either ( VN= 11/161, INA= 79/232, etc)

It means how much FDI everyone else put into you up to this point in total (so INA total is 232 billion USD as of 2019)

versus

how much FDI Indonesia put into everyone else (79 billion USD as of 2019)

Then look at that for each country (I quoted few for overall reference in region) to get idea of their ratio and what stage/tier they are roughly at in FDI absorption vs FDI deployment to others.

The full figures are available in the excel/browser spreadsheet there for every country.

i.e overall you cannot look at only how much FDI you received so far, but also look at how much FDI you are putting out too (especially in relevant new sectors in relevant countries that you want to invest in resources and know how on etc).

Like if say Indonesian company acquires a German company (say in some specific industry part maker) this is an external FDI investment that Indonesia is making that it will quite likely learn much faster and specifically on certain things compared to waiting for such German company (or conglomerate) to invest into Indonesia on its own more production terms (that may or may not be exported etc).

External FDI (what you deploy into other countries) kind of show the aggression needed basically, because you (Indonesian corporates) can steer how you do things lot more as you do it on your terms...i.e pitching the ball and letting the other catch it...rather than getting to used to only catching the ball.
 

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@Nilgiri

Bro, do you have statistic data about modern service sector export figure on each country like IT, Business Consulting, Public Relation service, design service, architect, etc ?
 

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@Nilgiri

Bro, do you have statistic data about modern service sector export figure on each country like IT, Business Consulting, Public Relation service, design service, architect, etc ?

Best place (up to date and without too much clicking involved) is probably ITC:


You can do by either goods (commodities as they call them) or services....and split those by either country or item....export or import etc.

There is also menu to play around to get more details (like say specific bilateral etc) at top you can experiment with.

So for example, here is services export breakdown and total for Indonesia for last few years:

INA1.jpg


Here is the goods export breakdown similarly:

INA2.jpg


If you do it by country, it ranks the categories. If you do it by category, it ranks the countries etc. You can pick how many rows you want to see per page too etc...or click the additional pages as they appear.

Source data of each table given at bottom etc.

There are other sites like WITS, COMTRADE, World Bank site, OEC...but they are not so convenient and fast, and sometimes they are out of date (in time or definition).
 

Indos

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Best place (up to date and without too much clicking involved) is probably ITC:


You can do by either goods (commodities as they call them) or services....and split those by either country or item....export or import etc.

There is also menu to play around to get more details (like say specific bilateral etc) at top you can experiment with.

So for example, here is services export breakdown and total for Indonesia for last few years:

View attachment 8595

Here is the goods export breakdown similarly:

View attachment 8596

If you do it by country, it ranks the categories. If you do it by category, it ranks the countries etc. You can pick how many rows you want to see per page too etc...or click the additional pages as they appear.

Source data of each table given at bottom etc.

There are other sites like WITS, COMTRADE, World Bank site, OEC...but they are not so convenient and fast, and sometimes they are out of date (in time or definition).

Thank you bro, really appreciate it
 

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