That’s your opinion…
I am a little bit surprised, as I could think that you sleeped the last two years. What we see right now, is the beginning of WW-3. Last week, France talked about to use a nuclear weapon to scare off Russia.
A modern state can only wage war seriously if it possesses a deep and sustainable defense-industrial base. What matters is not a handful of high-tech systems, but the ability to produce ammunition, spare parts, and weapon systems in large quantities and over the long term. This is precisely what Greece and Cyprus completely lack.
Both countries have virtually no domestic arms production. Everything essential is imported. Whatever is fired or destroyed is simply gone – there is no industrial replacement capacity. Without continuous external supply chains, their militaries would become operationally ineffective within a very short time. This is not warfighting capability; it is structural dependence.
Israel, while technologically advanced – producing drones, precision-guided munitions, missiles, electronic warfare systems, and cyber capabilities – faces a similar limitation. It lacks the industrial depth for a prolonged conventional war. Large-caliber ammunition, aircraft spare parts, bombs, and major systems still come predominantly from the United States. This is exactly why the concept of “Qualitative Military Edge” (QME) exists: Israel is qualitatively strong, but not self-sufficient. Without U.S. resupply, its operational capability would be severely constrained.
A look at economic weight alone shows how unrealistic such a war scenario would be. Turkey’s economy is larger than those of Greece, Israel, and Cyprus combined. And it is precisely this economic mass that decides wars: industry, energy, logistics, steel production, chemical manufacturing – not social media narratives or political rhetoric.
Equally important: Turkey is not isolated. It is deeply integrated economically with Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, is a NATO member, and embedded in global supply chains. Without complete isolation – meaning embargoes, blockades, and economic severance – a war against an industrial state is strategically impossible. These conditions simply do not exist.
And finally, a fundamental military principle:
Those who truly intend to attack do not announce it.
Instead, they rely on secrecy, deception, and quiet operational preparation. Loud threats, media theatrics, and constant public warnings are classic signs of deterrence born of weakness, not real offensive capability.
