Live Conflict Israel-Palestine War|Regional Escalations

contricusc

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The Iranian response will most likely be symbolic, just like last time. They don’t want to inflict any serious damage to Israel, because this is exactly what Netanyahu is looking for, as a reason to escalate.

Haniyeh’s killing shows just how potent Israel is compared to Iran, and Iranian leaders will not want to put their lives on the line just to avange a Palestinian. They did almost nothing after their own Soleimani was killed, and they will do just another show in honor of Haniyeh.

At this point, it is obvious that Hezbollah and Iran are afraid of any escalation, while Netanyahu is looking for a pretext to escalate the war. Israel is aggressively targeting leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah tring to force an answer from Iran/Hezbollah, but that answer is just not coming.

Nethanyahu needs the war to continue and to be perceived as justified by the Israeli public, because when the war ends, his days in power end too. He wants a larger and more significant war. Iranians on the other hand want to mantain the status quo while saving face, because they have nothing to win from a war, and a lot to lose.
 

Kartal1

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Israel was able to assassinate 2 more members of Hamas political bureau and 3 military commanders in a tunnel in Gaza City, Arab media reports claim.

— Rawhi Mushtaha: Described as the de facto prime minister of Gaza and in charge of Hamas' financial affairs. Mushtaha was described as very close to Yahya Sinwar, Hamas leader in Gaza. The one in the photo.

— Sameh al-Siraj: A member of the Hamas politburo since 2021, responsible for internal security in Gaza.

Military Commanders (from the Izz a-Din al-Qassam Brigades):

— Abdul Hadi Siam (intelligence chief in Gaza division)
— Sami Odeh (leader in the general security apparatus)
— Muhammad Hadid (leader of the rocket unit in Gaza division)

— Initial rescue attempts by Hamas fighters were unsuccessful due to toxic fumes from Israeli missiles.

Source: London-based Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper, which quoted Hamas sources.


 

Afif

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The Iranian response will most likely be symbolic, just like last time. They don’t want to inflict any serious damage to Israel, because this is exactly what Netanyahu is looking for, as a reason to escalate.

Haniyeh’s killing shows just how potent Israel is compared to Iran, and Iranian leaders will not want to put their lives on the line just to avange a Palestinian. They did almost nothing after their own Soleimani was killed, and they will do just another show in honor of Haniyeh.

At this point, it is obvious that Hezbollah and Iran are afraid of any escalation, while Netanyahu is looking for a pretext to escalate the war. Israel is aggressively targeting leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah tring to force an answer from Iran/Hezbollah, but that answer is just not coming.

Nethanyahu needs the war to continue and to be perceived as justified by the Israeli public, because when the war ends, his days in power end too. He wants a larger and more significant war. Iranians on the other hand want to mantain the status quo while saving face, because they have nothing to win from a war, and a lot to lose.

Israel won't assassinate Iranian top political leaders (like president or foreign minister) even if there is an escalation. No one has done anything like for a longtime. Of course Iranians have shown incompetence. They can't protect their leaders. Even US couldn't if Israel really wanted to assassinate the POTUS. But the reason no one does that, is because you can't protect your leaders either against decent sized state actors once you go down that rabit hole. People think world leaders are safe because of crazy secret service stuff. It's actually MAD that ensure their safety.
 

contricusc

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Israel won't assassinate Iranian top political leaders (like president or foreign minister) even if there is an escalation. No one has done anything like for a longtime. Of course Iranians have shown incompetence. They can't protect their leaders. Even US couldn't if Israel really wanted to assassinate the POTUS. But the reason no one does that, is because you can't protect your leaders either against decent sized state actors once you go down that rabit hole. People think world leaders are safe because of crazy secret service stuff. It's actually MAD that ensure their safety.

By assasinating leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah, Israel is sending a strong message to Iran. It shows that Israel is willing to assasinate leaders if it has to, unlike other countries who are fearful to cross this line.

Netanyahu is power hungry, and for him losing power is the equivalent of losing his life, so he is not afraid o escalate at any level if he has no alternative when it comes to staying in power.

Israel has always been bolder in crossing red lines than other countries, and this is why everyone in the region fears them.

The combination of a highly advanced military backed by the US and a psychopathic leader like Netanyahu makes Israel extremely unpredictable and dangerous. This is why all other regional leaders will only bark but will not bite.
 

Afif

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By assasinating leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah, Israel is sending a strong message to Iran. It shows that Israel is willing to assasinate leaders if it has to, unlike other countries who are fearful to cross this line.

Netanyahu is power hungry, and for him losing power is the equivalent of losing his life, so he is not afraid o escalate at any level if he has no alternative when it comes to staying in power.

Israel has always been bolder in crossing red lines than other countries, and this is why everyone in the region fears them.

The combination of a highly advanced military backed by the US and a psychopathic leader like Netanyahu makes Israel extremely unpredictable and dangerous. This is why all other regional leaders will only bark but will not bite.

Killing leaders of non state entities is quite different than killing a state actor's leadership. The problem is if Israel escalate and does that, Netanyahu won't be around much longer as he will be killed also sooner or later.
 

Gary

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Netanyahu as seen from an Iranian agent trailing him

GT61wIGWMAAUSn7
 

contricusc

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Killing leaders of non state entities is quite different than killing a state actor's leadership. The problem is if Israel escalate and does that, Netanyahu won't be around much longer as he will be killed also sooner or later.
Of course it is a lower level escalation, but Israel is showing that it is willing to raise the stakes if necessary, and this will make other leaders show restraint.

So far, the only entity that dared to hit Israel hard was Hamas on October 7, and many of their leaders are already dead. The question is, why would others want to follow thier example when doing this means you put your own life at stake.

My opinion is that all regional leaders will continue to bark to save face, while Israel will continue its murder campaign unabated in Gaza. Netanyahu hopes he will get a pretext to do the same in Lebanon, but Hezbollah already knows the consequences of war with Israel, and I doubt they will be willing to share the same fate with Hamas.
 

mehmed beg

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I don't think that the thing like Natanyahu staying in power is the main objective
He has been working on this for decades and he has the full support . Saying anything else is doing a favour to this creatures. There is nothing that indicates that in Israeli society, that there is enough people to make it any different.
About 95% supports everything.
I believe that in some way Palestinians were led into a trap.
As of the people who think that something can be done with these demons , let me remind them, the last week in the Congress all those American charlatans kneeled down and suck off this Polak.
When these on a first look charlatans has to bend the knees , what do you expect then?
This is the cult, the political idea if there's such thing is just a necessity.
 

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