Live Conflict Military Operations Syria

Kartal1

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Three vehicles belonging to Turkish authorities set out yesterday from the Mastume base in the south of Idlib, where the Turkish Armed Forces are deployed, towards the Russian point overlooking the M5 international highway at the sawmill in the village of Trunba, west of the city of Saraqib.

A meeting was held between Russian intelligence agency FSB and Turkish officials days before the meeting scheduled for November 11 in Astana. Details are unknown.


This morning, Turkish artillery units and SNA forces targeted the border gate, the Dadat junction and two depots belonging to members of the organization in the village of Dadat, north of Manbij.

UCAV strikes were conducted north of Malikiya against targets in the Tepke village including a warehouse located near an oil refinery in the area on the Karacok Mountains, which is under the control of the terrorist organization.


Israel hit Iranian targets on the frontline in Seraqib. An interesting coincidence is that just before that the Regime forces in the area conducted intensive artillery strikes on civilian targets in Atarib and Sarmin. Turkiye didn't hit these targets with an airstrike since 2020...

 

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Israel hit Iranian targets on the frontline in Seraqib. An interesting coincidence is that just before that the Regime forces in the area conducted intensive artillery strikes on civilian targets in Atarib and Sarmin. Turkiye didn't hit these targets with an airstrike since 2020...
Strike was less than 5 kilometers away from multiple Turkish bases in the area. KIAs confirmed IRGC. I wonder who gave the intel.

 

Kartal1

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IED attack on a vehicle carrying PKK/YPG terrorists in Regime controlled area of Hasakah. Three PKK/YPG terrorists were killed in this hit.


Statements from Russia after the end of the 22nd Astana Summit.

Russia's Special Representative for Syria, Alexander Lavrentyev:

"Turkey's military operation will make an already difficult situation even worse."

"There are also great fears that radical Islamist groups based in the Idlib de-escalation zone will take advantage of the difficulties experienced by the Syrian Arab Republic to occupy more territory and launch offensive operations against government forces."

"We hope that Ankara will refrain from these steps. Russia noted the attempts of third parties to take advantage of tensions in the Middle East to destabilize the situation in Syria.

"Moscow will not accept any Turkish operations in Syria.

We do not accept this, we have stated this many times. Despite everything, we hope that the Turkish side will refrain from these steps, because the operation could have negative consequences in Syria.

Turkey's operation will not solve the situation, it will only deepen the problem."

Asked whether Russia would discuss the Syrian issue with the new US administration, Lavrentyev said that they were ready to resume contacts with Washington regarding Syria during the new presidency of Donald Trump: “If there are offers, the Russian side is open. We are ready to continue contacts with the Americans. The main issue is whether there will be offers.”

The Russian diplomat said that Moscow would evaluate the offer if it came from Washington and that the response would most likely be positive, stressing that mutually acceptable solutions could only be reached through negotiations, adding, “We hope this will happen.”


ISR plane taking off from the Russian Hmeymim air base and its escorting fighter jets are carried out intensive flights over the Afrin, Tal Rifat, al-Bab and Manbij areas.


So basically the Russian confirmed that there is an operation in the works. They look mad 😅
 

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According to government party spokesperson Çelik, the Turkish Armed Forces have completed preparations for a ground operation. Waiting for the President's order. Russia's growing discomfort, especially in the recent period, must be related to this. We have to start the operation before the Trump's ultra-bigot zionist team takes office in WH. I think that the MHP has been making statements every night for the last 3 days saying 'the time is now, this is about the homeland.' suggests that there is some hesitation within the government centers.
 

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Pay attention to this article below. Western news outlets are beginning to demonize Türkiye because of the potential operations.

Turkish strikes in Syria cut water to one million people​

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Namak Khoshnaw, Christopher Giles and Saphora Smith
BBC Eye, World Service
BBC A young girl wearing a pink dress carries three empty plastic buckets and a cannister as she walks outdoors in Hassakeh
BBC
People living in Hassakeh now rely on deliveries of water transported by tanker
Turkish air strikes in drought-struck north-east Syria have cut off access to electricity and water for more than a million people, in what experts say may be a violation of international law.

Turkey carried out more than 100 attacks between October 2019 and January 2024 on oil fields, gas facilities and power stations in the Kurdish-held Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), according to data collated by the BBC World Service.
The attacks have added to the humanitarian crisis in a region reeling from a years-long civil war and four years of extreme drought exacerbated by climate change.

Water had already been scarce, but attacks on electricity infrastructure in October last year shut off power to the region’s main water station, in Alouk, and it has not been working since. On two visits there, the BBC witnessed people struggling to get water.
Turkey said it had targeted the “sources of income and capabilities” of Kurdish separatist groups it regards as terrorists.
It said that it was well known there was a drought in the area, adding that poor water management and neglected infrastructure had made things worse.

The AANES has previously accused Turkey of seeking to “destroy our people’s existence”.
A man pumping out water into drums and barrels, with people waiting for water in the background

There is not enough water to meet the needs of everyone in Hassakeh
More than a million people in the Hassakeh province who once got their water from Alouk now rely on deliveries of water pumped from around 12 miles (20km) away.

Hundreds of deliveries are made by tanker each day, with the water board prioritising schools, orphanages, hospitals, and those most in need.

But the deliveries are not enough for everyone.

In Hassakeh city, the BBC saw people waiting for the tankers, pleading for the drivers to give them water. “Water is more precious than gold here,” said Ahmad al-Ahmed, a tanker driver. “People need more water. All they want is for you to give them water.”

Some people admitted they fought over it and one woman threatened: “If he [the tanker driver] doesn’t give me water, I’ll puncture his tyres.”

“Let me tell you frankly, north-east Syria is facing a humanitarian catastrophe,” said Yayha Ahmed, co-director of the city water board.
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People living in the region have been caught up not only in Syria’s ongoing civil war but also in Turkey’s conflict with Kurdish-led forces, who established the AANES in 2018 after they - with support from the US-led coalition - drove the Islamic State (IS) group out of the region. Coalition forces are still stationed there to prevent a resurgence of IS.

Turkey’s President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has described the AANES - which is not officially recognised by the international community - as a “terror state” next to its border.

The Turkish government considers the Kurdish militia that dominates the main military force there to be an extension of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) rebel group, which has fought for Kurdish autonomy in Turkey for decades.

The PKK is designated as a terrorist organisation by Turkey, the EU, the UK and the US.

Between October 2023 and January 2024, electricity transfer stations in three areas of the AANES were struck: Amouda, Qamishli, and Darbasiyah, as well as the region’s main power plant, Swadiyah.

The BBC confirmed the damage by using satellite imagery, eyewitness videos, news reports, and visits to the sites.

Satellite imagery of night-time lights from before and after the January 2024 attacks indicated a widespread power outage. “On January 18th.... a significant power outage is evident in the region,” said Ranjay Shrestha, a scientist at Nasa who reviewed the imagery.
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The UN says Turkish forces carried out the strikes in Swadiyah, Amuda and Qamishli, while humanitarian groups say Turkey was behind the attack in Darbasiyah.

Turkey said it had been targeting the PKK, the People's Protection Units (YPG) and the Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD).
The YPG is the biggest militia in the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces and is the military wing of the PYD, the main political party in the AANES.

“Civilians or civilian infrastructure were not among our targets and have never been,” Turkey said in a statement to the BBC.
But in October last year, the country’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said all “infrastructure, superstructure and energy facilities” that belong to the PKK and the YPG - especially in Iraq and Syria - were “legitimate targets” for its military, security forces and intelligence units.
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An aerial graphic showing damage to infrastructure

The consequences of the conflict have been compounded by climate change.
Since 2020, an extreme and exceptional agricultural drought has gripped north-east Syria and parts of Iraq.

Over the past 70 years the average temperature in the Tigris-Euphrates basin has risen by 2C (36F), according to European climate data.
The Khabour river once supplied Hassakeh with water, but levels became too low and people were forced to turn to the Alouk water station.
But in 2019, Turkey took control of the Ras Al-Ain area, where Alouk is situated, saying it needed to establish a “safe zone” to protect the country from what it described as terrorist attacks.

Two years after this, the UN raised concerns about repeated disruption of the water supply from Alouk to north-east Syria, saying the water supply had been interrupted at least 19 times.

And in February 2024 a report published by an independent UN commission said the October 2023 attacks on electricity infrastructure could amount to war crimes because they deprived civilians of access to water.
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A young boy in a Batman t-shirt carrying an empty metal barrel outside

An extreme and exceptional agricultural drought has gripped north-east Syria and parts of Iraq since 2020
The BBC shared its findings with international lawyers.

“Turkey’s attacks on energy infrastructure have had a devastating impact on civilians,” said Aarif Abraham, a barrister at Doughty Street Chambers, adding: “This could constitute a severe violation of international law.”

Patrick Kroker, an international criminal lawyer at the European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights, said that “the indications that international law was violated here are so strong that they should be investigated by a prosecutorial authority”.

The Turkish government said it “fully respects international law”, adding that the UN’s February 2024 report provided “no substantiating evidence” for its “unfounded allegations”.

It blamed water shortages in the region on climate change and “long-neglected water infrastructure” maintenance there.
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Hassakeh residents told the BBC they feel abandoned.
Osman Gaddo, head of water testing at the water board, said: “We have made so many sacrifices - so many of us died in battle. But nobody comes to rescue us. We are just asking for drinking water.”
Additional reporting by Ahmed Nour and Erwan Rivault

 

Saithan

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I am not sure, tbh. I think the TB2 killing PKK is more accepted than the destruction of infrastructure. I think it would be more beneficial that we hit and kill and at the same time work towards an "agree" peace shield Autumn area under Türkiyes control, and we just keep hitting them harder and harder.

We could also build a long pipeline for water to a destination that we deem strategic good (for us) and usher/relocate people to those areas. In short without water people will not stay in that area.
 

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Local sources: The Turkish army and authorities have begun extensive preparations ahead of a new military operation targeting the remnants of mercenary gangs (i.e. the PKK in Tal Rifat and Manbij).


A large military convoy of the Turkish Armed Forces, including 15+ armored vehicles, 7+ vehicles loaded with logistics equipment, and heavy equipment, passed through the Bab es-Salama/Oncupinar border gate and deployed to bases in the Azez countryside.

I would like to say that this is not the only convoy that passed recently. The preparations are not super intense, but there is for sure a serious fortification compared to the regular regimen. We all remember the times of the other operations and what intense preparation and reinforcement means.

 

Kartal1

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TSK/MIT UCAVs targeted the Kobani industrial facility west of Ayn Issa and YPG/PKK terrorist positions in the village of Kufronol west of Tel Abyad.


Usually such activities happens regularly, but I share it now because this time it is rather intense.

An intense artillery fire was carried out from the Tal Rifat region, which is under joint control of the HRE/PKK terrorist organization and the Syrian regime, towards the al-Nahda neighborhood in the west of al-Bab city.

There are clashes between SNA forces and HRE/PKK-Syrian regime militias in the Hazvan-Zivan axis. At least 3 terrorists are confirmed killed

There are clashes between SNA forces and HRE/PKK-Syrian regime militias in the Mare-Sheikh Issa axis.

There are clashes between SNA forces and HRE/PKK-Syrian regime militias in the Daglibas-Shaale axis.

There are also artillery strikes by the Turkish Armed Forces towards the villages of Yulanli, Seyyade, Dandaniye, Korhuyuk, Kurtviran and Cemusiye in Manbij.

Turkish artillery units are firing at the Shahba dam, Zivan and Shaale regions of Tal Rifat.

 

Kartal1

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It was a very intense day.

Turkish UCAVs were spotted over the areas of Termanin, Ad-Dana, Sarmada, Fua, Keferya, Binnish and Taftanaz.


Two women and a girl from the same family were injured as a result of rocket fire from the Tal Rifat region, which is under the joint control of the Syrian regime and the HRE/PKK terrorist organization, towards the village of Able in the Euphrates Shield region.

The organization also carried out harassing fire in the Tel Abyad region, so the Turkish Armed Forces and the SNA are carrying out strikes against targets in the village of Huriye in the west of Tel Abyad within the scope of the engagement. More points were also struck in this area.


An infiltration attempts at multiple points were carried out by the HRE/PKK terrorists with the heaviest clashed at Hazwan-Ziwan axis. Casualties from both SNA and PKK.


The Syrian regime is also taking actions that will escalate tensions on the Idlib front line. There are strikes aimed at civilians directly in the center of 7 of the 10 villages on the Idlib front line. While the Syrian regime is inflaming the Idlib line, PKK terrorists have inflamed both the Manbij, Tal Rifat and Tel Abyad lines.

 

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MhhJA

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Bad things are happening...

SNA just lost 15 soldiers and some were captured.


YPG captured an outpost.



Im sick of this shit! We are doing nothing again, why do we even produce all these weapons if we aren't going to use them.
Why do we have all these Uacv's ? We are under attack, at least use them defensively !
SNA has recaptured the outpost.

 

Kartal1

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As most of you already know we are going trough very hard times. In the last 3 days HRE, YPG and the Regime attacks intensified on all fronts. Unfortunately SNA sustained heavy casualties including 13 fighters confirmed killed in the last big attack of which the footage was officially broadcasted by the SDF media center. Among the SNA casualties unfortunately we also suffered many civilian casualties including women and children due to the Regime's and PKK's indiscriminate fire on civilian settlements. Due to these developments the label "safe zone" is absolutely not valid for Turkish or Opposition controlled areas.

Internal refugee crisis is imminent in the face of these attacks which will create the basis for the Regime and Iran backed militias to launch a large scale operation on Idlib and possibly areas under TSK/SNA control. We must not allow this to happen. The TSK's passiveness let to the situation where enemy reconnaissance aircrafts freely flying over our areas, scouting and mapping every important point on the front lines and as you probably already know the results of these reconnaissance missions are shared with the Regime and PKK. We can say that the last couple effective attacks that were carried out by the terrorists and the Regime are conducted due to the confidence in the intelligence that is provided by the RuAF.

Lack of determination and deterrence is costing us a lot and I think it is time to give the necessary response by targeting Regime and PKK areas trough a large scale land operation in Tal Rifat, Manbij, Ayn Issa and Tal Tamr. If the necessary measures are not taken timely the situation will turn into another failure which we will be talking about for the next couple of years on top of the already failed Syria policy.

In result of this recent escalation TSK sent giant convoys consisting of heavy artillery, tanks, IFVs and logistic vehicles to the Operation Euphrates Shield area and a convoy was sent to Idlib. Additionally the SNA also started reinforcing the Tal Rifat front by sending heavy equipment.


Syrian National Army Joint Forces:

"May Allah accept all the martyrs of the Syrian revolution, heal the wounded, and release the prisoners.

Our pain is great; a deterrent military operation needs to be carried out against the infidel and atheist organization PKK.

From this point on, as the Joint Forces Command, we call all our elements, including land and air elements, and our reserve command to an urgent meeting at the Joint Forces headquarters to discuss ways to respond to the enemy, to inflame the enemy, and to fight against the enemy.

It is Allah who gives success."


It is time to really look at the whole situation in Syria trough a bit of a strategic point of view and look at the whole picture including the Israeli operation in Gazza, the Israeli incursion into Lebanon and Syria, including the importance of a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel.

Recently we see a very dangerous rhetoric by both Israeli officials and now also we see that Israeli sponsored social media platforms started talking about "Kurdistan". Due to Turkiye's role in harboring Hamas and the fierce opposition to Israel's stance in all international platforms we may see an Israeli response, but this time not only by talking, but we may see something in action. I think this is the main reason why the Turkish government started pushing all the buttons including the Ocalan card and senior Turkish officials sounded concerns about Israel attacking Turkiye. Israel can not directly attack Turkiye, but if Israel decides they can make a very dangerous move which may invalidate all of the current effort of Turkiye in Syria.

What is the biggest disadvantage of the "Kurdistan" project? It is totally isolated from the sea and it is encircled by countries that control what is going in and what is going out. If these countries reach a consensus the region could be basically isolated both by land and by air. This is why "Kurdistan" is at first glance an impossible project. One of the reasons I call the YPG project a baby that is born dead is this fact.

What did YPG/PKK try to do while it was doing its operations against DEASH with US support? They tried to capture all of the Rojava cantons and later they planned to intensify their work on reaching the Mediterranean Sea in order to open a maritime border for the project that would've guaranteed them a future. In result of our actions in Syria with the start of Operation Euphrates Shield this dream died.


Take a look at this map:

1732655345797.png


Now lets see what may happen if Israel and YPG/PKK coordinate efforts and connect the YPG/PKK areas, the Al-Tanf and the desert east of Damascus under the pretext of fighting Iranian backed militias.

1732656437704.png


With this scenario the strategic importance of the control over the Syria-Iraq border can clearly be understood. In such a scenario Turkish, Iranian and Israeli interests can clash in Sinjar. Well, guess what? Iran is again one step ahead of us and just 1-2 days ago we got a report that Iranian backed militias are being currently stationed on the Sinjar Mountain. Every day that Israel continues its operation in Lebanon carries a risk. Every time when Erdogan opens his mouth like he is talking to the local shop keeper is carrying a risk.

What we should do? For the moment we should sort out the situation regarding the Tal Rifat, Manbij and Tal Tamr fronts. In mid to long term I think we should concentrate on Qamishly and Hasakah in Syria. In Iraq TSK is already showing signs of activity in Gara, but if we want to be sure of our success we should surely take on Sinjar or at least have a 24/7 readiness to take on Sinjar.

Clock is ticking and we are sleeping 🕘🕘🕘
 

Kartal1

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Most likely the giant convoys of TSK that entered Operation Euphrates Shield and Idlib (Jabal Az-Zawiyah) is in connection to this.

Currently there is intense activity both by the Iranian militias and according to reports a RuAF activity over many areas in Idlib. Taftanaz and Jabal Az-Zawiyah are targeted. I was just to post about the refugee wave that started from the west of Aleppo, but look at what we got. HTS is reportedly targeting Base 46.


If you ask me, this is where we should capture Tal Rifat. The peace negotiations with Assad failed miserably. Currently our soldiers in Idlib are between the hammer and the anvil.
 

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