Russian Navy Seen Escorting Iranian Tankers Bound for Syria

Test7

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Last week, the Iranian-flagged oil tanker Samah entered the Mediterranean Sea via the Suez Canal. After a few miles, the 900-foot-long ship stopped reporting its position and destination. Evidence suggests the ship sailed to Syria, escorted by two Russian Navy ships, including a destroyer.

Russia’s role in protecting the shipment may change the dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean. In the past, Iranian tankers sailing to Syria have been intercepted by the U.K. Royal Navy. The Russian Navy escort could be viewed as a precautionary step, raising the political and military risks of any intervention by the Royal Navy or others.

Last July, an Iranian tanker destined for Syria, Adrian Darya-1, was seized by U.K. Royal Marines off Gibraltar. The British accused Iran of supplying Syria with oil in contravention of European Union sanctions. Iran quickly seized a British-flagged tanker in a likely retaliatory move. Eventually, in September, Adrian Darya-1 was released by a local court with the assurance that it would not deliver its oil to Syria – but days later, it transshipped its oil in Syrian waters.

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Samah has taken the shorter Suez Canal route, avoiding the Strait of Gibraltar. According to data provided by MarineTraffic.com, after exiting the Suez Canal Samah disappeared from automated identification system tracking. AIS is a system used to alert ships of each other’s presence and is required to be used by ships of this size. Other ships in the vicinity remained visible on AIS, which implies that Samah deliberately stopped broadcasting. This is termed going “dark.”

At the same time, the Russian Navy ship Akademik Pashin was heading south from the Syrian Coast toward the Suez. The two ships likely met on Oct. 14, since the next day they were seen together by a passing commercial satellite, heading north towards Syria.

Accompanying them was a warship, believed to be the Udaloy-class destroyer Vice Admiral Kulakov. They were seen traveling in loose formation, with the destroyer leading the way and Akademik Pashin in rear guard, according to open-source intelligence analyst Frank Bottema.

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By the morning of Oct. 17, a tanker resembling Samah was anchored off the Baniyas oil terminal in Syria. Meanwhile, Akademik Pashin was sailing west toward Greece.

The Russian Navy has hinted it would be more active in escorting merchant ships in the region. After the Iranian delivery, the Russian Navy has publicized an exercise off Syria, meant to protect “smooth passage of civilian ships.” A simulated attack by a submarine was dealt with by Vice Admiral Kulakov, which may be intended to send a message to allies and potential adversaries alike that Russia will actively prevent any interference with the Iranian shipments.

Russia now maintains a permanent squadron in the Mediterranean, based in Tartus, Syria. This includes submarines and large warships. If Moscow decides the Iran-Syria oil run is now a regular mission for the Russian Navy, it’s set to complicate enforcement of international sanctions which could otherwise shut down one of the Syrian regime’s vital lifelines.

 
E

ekemenirtu

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I like how the article tells us how hard at work US intelligence agents have been without ever mentioning their identities.

Another point of note may be that slow moving surface vessels or combatants, such as bulky aircraft carriers, can be easily detected by 'commercial satellites'. A constellation of small satellites in Low Earth Orbit might be adequate for providing targeting data against surface vessels in the open oceans.

This is useful because a number of arguments has been presented in popular media about the supposed difficulty of detecting slow moving, bulky, surface vessels such as aircraft carriers in the open oceans. Such detection and tracking are required for any anti ship ballistic missiles or a salvo of anti ship missiles to hit and disable or sink an aircraft carrier out at sea.


I would also like to mention that the token Russian Air Force contingent in Syria or the token Russian naval escort for this Iranian tanker can be easily dealt with by a number of countries. The number would be probably greater than 5.

It is the fact that the Air Force contingent in Syria or the naval escort for the Iranian tanker flies the Russian flag that acts as the deterrent. Russia is of course a de facto nuclear power with an adequate arsenal of thermonuclear weapons and the requisite delivery systems to reach any country on Earth.

This is a fact that is ignored too often as well.
 

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