Live Conflict Syria Civil War

Shtr

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HTS seems officially accepted help from Ukraine for training. It is impossible without US approve such a training. It is very hard to understand big picture but I started to feel that Biden makes pay Israel for their actions.

 

Barry

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I don't know. Kick assad out and leave the ypg Marxists alone in the North East, whilst they take a huge swathe of Syrian land in the south-east going west. Open up a corridor towards the Mediterranean via Israel through the other useless Arab states who sit and watch their ummah eat each other.

I don't really see a win here for turkiye in the long term.
 

Kitra

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HTS seems officially accepted help from Ukraine for training. It is impossible without US approve such a training. It is very hard to understand big picture but I started to feel that Biden makes pay Israel for their actions.

Uktain is irrelevant. What could they possible bring to the table that Turkey could not? Ukrania is just diversion. Simply put, a few Ukranians will have absolutely zero influence on the outcome. Any lessons learned in Ukrain were already know to Turkey and several other countries. Use of small drones have been ongoing since 10 years in syria, it is even not that decisive in current war. Electronic warfare by Turkey to disrupt all Syrian communication have much larger influence in the coordination and morale of the isolated Syrian troops.

People seem to miss the much bigger picture, even when it is in plain sight.

China have become a real danger to American military power in the last 20 years. America have about 10 years left until Chinese reach economic and military parity. After that, there is a point of no return to the free money they have as the reserve currency.

However, american have been bogged down in Middle East for the last 20-25 years to a point that their population and leaders were completely unaware of all the development in china and the world. Western leaders have realized that they really need to do something drastic. Europeans are also in panic now as they will soon lose their automotive industry, among other industries to the Chinese. The next 10 years will be very though on them.

Hence, people behind leaders like trump, biden or europeans are pushing much harder to take drastic actions against China. For this, they need middle east to be quiet so that their media can be used to brainwash their population for the upcoming wars with China.

So, Americans want to disengage from middle east but they cant do that before giving Israel everything they want, a completely destroyed Syria, Iran, Lebanon and Palistine. However, they simply cant "give" Syria and Lebanon to Israel as that would just ensure the never ending war.
So, the next best thing is to "give" those to Turkey and groups they can control as they wish.

So, the Chinese were growing their powers while westerners were busy destroying middle east (and europe as well due to unintentionally creating the refugee flows)

West needs the propaganda machine to be ramping up on China before we will have a large war that will lead to alot of dead western soldiers. A proxie war with some guerillas or some other asian country (except India) will have no effect on Chinese technological development. They really need the high tech war with their own soldiers. Expect sunken aircraft carriers. The population would not accept that without a long brainwashing.

Alot of thing have changed in the last 3-5 years in front of our eyes.
 

blackjack

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Can anyone confirm any of this is true?
1733360817426.png

This means that my prediction was correct, but Turkey targeting US assets was not on my Bingo card if this is correct. The reason the US assist the Kurds is the oil fields and now their military is in danger (they gave aerial assistance to the SDF against the SAA).

I don't think a clash will happen with Russia and Turkey.
1733361679426.png

1733361079161.png
 

Anmdt

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Can anyone confirm any of this is true?
View attachment 72495
This means that my prediction was correct, but Turkey targeting US assets was not on my Bingo card if this is correct. The reason the US assist the Kurds is the oil fields and now their military is in danger (they gave aerial assistance to the SDF against the SAA).

I don't think a clash will happen with Russia and Turkey.
View attachment 72497
View attachment 72496
"Turkish backed terrorist groups"
Nice and much credible, and neutral source indeed.
 

Kitra

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Can anyone confirm any of this is true?
View attachment 72495
This means that my prediction was correct, but Turkey targeting US assets was not on my Bingo card if this is correct. The reason the US assist the Kurds is the oil fields and now their military is in danger (they gave aerial assistance to the SDF against the SAA).

I don't think a clash will happen with Russia and Turkey.
View attachment 72497
View attachment 72496
There has already been Turkish shelling of Northern Syria today. However after Mambic, Raqqa will most likely be the next target along the southern border of the river. So it is most likely true that Russians are emptied northern Syria in order not to be encircled there.
 

dBSPL

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Rocket assisted take-off and precision strike capability. Anti-personnel bomb attacks with FPV drones are also effective, but these vehicles can directly neutralise armoured vehicles or attack structures such as pillboxes. The important question here is how many racks they have, and it seems that there is no stock problem.

I think one of the most important invention for opposition forces that changed the course of the war was the opposition's ability to achieve BLOS precision strike capability with these UAVs. Moreover, as far as it is explained, their assembly is carried out by a unit within themselves. The other important one is signal intelligence and electronic attack, but I think that issue will remain unclear for a long time. These have created disadvantages that the regime and its affiliated militant/terrorist groups cannot quickly adapt to on the battlefield and will bleed for a long time.
 

dBSPL

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Omg 😱

389 military equipment seized between November 27 and December 4

Tanks: 145
Radar: 3
IFV/APC: 96
Engineering Vehicle: 5
Artillery: 87
Aircraft: 35
ADS: 18

A typical East-Block Tank Regiment had 3 battalions of T-72s, 4 ZSU-23 SPAAG, 4 SA-9 Strela SAMs, 14–18 BMPs, 6 BRDM recon vehicles and some Engineer Platoon.


Air vehicles are a completely separate discussion, but if they can return even 50-60 per cent of the other captured vehicles to the battlefield, the impact on the balance would be very significant. Assad militants left enough armoured vehicles to equip a regiment. Moreover, I think the main event is not these vehicles, the real fiasco is that they left behind tens of tonnes of ammunition, weapons and missiles. Some of these have already been carried to the front line.
 

dBSPL

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Finally, the Hama operation begins.

Critical days that will shape the future of Syria. If Hama and Zine al-Abidin Mountain fall into the hands of the opposition forces, there is a danger that the regime-controlled area will be divided into two and they will be in danger of complete collapse.

An anecdote: Iran, Turkiye, Qatar and Russia will meet at the Astana Summit in Doha on 7-8 December. When the talks start, I think it will be an important detail whether Hama will be in the hands of the regime and Iranian militias or the Syrian opposition forces.
 
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Asena_great

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__-syria-2024-jpg.72465


guys why americans blow up the shia militia moving from iraq to syria ?? they are behaving suspiciously what is their end game ?? i hate to be taken advantage of. if we end up fighting with russia/iran/assad i will be very angry erdogan should do everything he can to talk to assad then directly focuse on YPG as soon as possible before its too late. YPG also moved from south of raqqa to maskanah jirah and if they take khafsah from the rebels they will have land connection to manbij if rebels and assad bleed each other it will strengthen iranians russians as well as YPG. we must prevent assad's counter offensive via diplomacy
 

dBSPL

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Militants of the opposition forces started to move into Hama city centre.

*

Mount Zine al-Abidin is also about to be cleared, despite all Russian air support. I think, Hama city centre is likely to be done today and tomorrow. Ahead of the quadrilateral summit in Doha on 7-8 December, the regime is about to lose everything that can be lost. It was the Russian air force and special units in the field that sustained such an incompetent and incapable military organisation.
 
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