Scientific Turkey drought: Istanbul could run out of water in 45 days

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Water at critically low levels across Turkey after lack of rainfall leads to most severe drought in a decade.
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Major cities across Turkey face running out of water in the next few months, with warnings Istanbul has less than 45 days of water left.
Poor rainfall has led to the country’s most severe drought in a decade and left the megacity of 17 million people with critically low levels of water, according to Turkey’s chamber of chemical engineers. The Ankara mayor, Mansur Yavaş, said earlier this month the capital had another 110 days’ worth in dams and reservoirs.
İzmir and Bursa, Turkey’s next two biggest cities, are also struggling, with dams that are about 36% and 24% full respectively, and farmers in wheat-producing areas such as the Konya plain and Edirne province on the border with Greece and Bulgaria are warning of crop failure.
The acute lack of rainfall in the second half of 2020 – approaching 50% year on year for November – led the religious affairs directorate to instruct imams and their congregations to pray for rain last month.

Turkey is a “water stressed” country, with just 1,346 cubic metres of water per capita per year, and has faced several droughts since the 1980s due to a combination of population growth, industrialisation, urban sprawl and climate change.
Instead of focusing on measures to keep water demand under control, Turkey insists on expanding its water supply through building more dams … Turkey has built hundreds of dams in the last two decades,” said Dr Akgün İlhan, a water management expert at the Istanbul Policy Center.
“The warning signs have been there for decades but not much has been done in practice.”
Turkey has long prioritised economic growth over environmental concerns and remains the only G20 country apart from the US yet to ratify the 2015 Paris agreement.

“Everybody knows that water basins must be preserved, especially for these drought episodes which are becoming more severe and long term,” said Dr Ümit Şahin, who teaches global climate change and environmental politics at Istanbul’s Sabancı University.
“Yet in Istanbul, for instance, the most vital water basins, the last forests and agricultural land, [have been opened] to urban development projects … the new airport, the new Bosphorus bridge, its connection roads and highways, and the Istanbul canal project. These policies cannot solve Turkey’s drought problem.

Ekrem İmamoğlu, elected in 2019 as Istanbul’s opposition party mayor despite fierce resistance from Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development party (AKP), told the Guardian that Istanbullus had been reassured by previous AKP mayors that the huge Melen dam system would supply the city’s water needs without issue until 2070.
On entering office, however, his administration realised that construction problems would delay the project for several years.

The municipality has for now urged residents to think carefully about how to save water, including turning off the tap while brushing teeth or shaving, turning down valves feeding into sinks and installing lower usage taps.
“Water would not be a problem today if the dam was active. But we also have to think about wide climate change issues … If it does not rain in Melen, you cannot get water from there either,” İmamoğlu said.

In İzmir, local authorities are preparing against water shortages by digging 103 new boreholes, recycling wastewater and minimising loss and leakage by repairing ageing pipes, according to the city’s mayor, Tunç Soyer.
Ultimately, Turkey’s cities need lots of rain, immediately, to avoid having to ration water in the next few months – and even sustained rainfall for the rest of the winter might not be enough for farming communities to rescue this year’s crops.

Drought creates a vicious cycle, says İlhan: decreased agricultural production and increased food prices could lead to a rise in poverty and rural to urban migration, exacerbating existing pressures on city water infrastructure.
“Turkey does have the economic and technological means to fix its damaged water cycle,” she added. “The missing element is the political will to take these steps.”

 
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TR_123456

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We need underground canals leading from the big rivers like Kizil irmak to these lakes.
We had this discussion almost a decade ago when there was another drought i believe.
 
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Anmdt

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Water at critically low levels across Turkey after lack of rainfall leads to most severe drought in a decade.
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Major cities across Turkey face running out of water in the next few months, with warnings Istanbul has less than 45 days of water left.
Poor rainfall has led to the country’s most severe drought in a decade and left the megacity of 17 million people with critically low levels of water, according to Turkey’s chamber of chemical engineers. The Ankara mayor, Mansur Yavaş, said earlier this month the capital had another 110 days’ worth in dams and reservoirs.
İzmir and Bursa, Turkey’s next two biggest cities, are also struggling, with dams that are about 36% and 24% full respectively, and farmers in wheat-producing areas such as the Konya plain and Edirne province on the border with Greece and Bulgaria are warning of crop failure.
The acute lack of rainfall in the second half of 2020 – approaching 50% year on year for November – led the religious affairs directorate to instruct imams and their congregations to pray for rain last month.

Turkey is a “water stressed” country, with just 1,346 cubic metres of water per capita per year, and has faced several droughts since the 1980s due to a combination of population growth, industrialisation, urban sprawl and climate change.
Instead of focusing on measures to keep water demand under control, Turkey insists on expanding its water supply through building more dams … Turkey has built hundreds of dams in the last two decades,” said Dr Akgün İlhan, a water management expert at the Istanbul Policy Center.
“The warning signs have been there for decades but not much has been done in practice.”
Turkey has long prioritised economic growth over environmental concerns and remains the only G20 country apart from the US yet to ratify the 2015 Paris agreement.

“Everybody knows that water basins must be preserved, especially for these drought episodes which are becoming more severe and long term,” said Dr Ümit Şahin, who teaches global climate change and environmental politics at Istanbul’s Sabancı University.
“Yet in Istanbul, for instance, the most vital water basins, the last forests and agricultural land, [have been opened] to urban development projects … the new airport, the new Bosphorus bridge, its connection roads and highways, and the Istanbul canal project. These policies cannot solve Turkey’s drought problem.

Ekrem İmamoğlu, elected in 2019 as Istanbul’s opposition party mayor despite fierce resistance from Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development party (AKP), told the Guardian that Istanbullus had been reassured by previous AKP mayors that the huge Melen dam system would supply the city’s water needs without issue until 2070.
On entering office, however, his administration realised that construction problems would delay the project for several years.

The municipality has for now urged residents to think carefully about how to save water, including turning off the tap while brushing teeth or shaving, turning down valves feeding into sinks and installing lower usage taps.
“Water would not be a problem today if the dam was active. But we also have to think about wide climate change issues … If it does not rain in Melen, you cannot get water from there either,” İmamoğlu said.

In İzmir, local authorities are preparing against water shortages by digging 103 new boreholes, recycling wastewater and minimising loss and leakage by repairing ageing pipes, according to the city’s mayor, Tunç Soyer.
Ultimately, Turkey’s cities need lots of rain, immediately, to avoid having to ration water in the next few months – and even sustained rainfall for the rest of the winter might not be enough for farming communities to rescue this year’s crops.

Drought creates a vicious cycle, says İlhan: decreased agricultural production and increased food prices could lead to a rise in poverty and rural to urban migration, exacerbating existing pressures on city water infrastructure.
“Turkey does have the economic and technological means to fix its damaged water cycle,” she added. “The missing element is the political will to take these steps.”

Update : It has rained and it is going to snow :)
 

Deliorman

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Update : It has rained and it is going to snow :)


I wonder what is the situation in the different parts of Turkey and it will be good if members here give any updates on the situation in their regions. Let’s hope that it rains and snows all around Turkey for a few days. 😁

I live in Southeastern Bulgaria/Northern Thrace and last year was very dry for us too. As a result sunflower, wheat and barley crops were very bad and dams just until a week ago were almost empty. Then it rained slowly for 3 days straight and dams went to 50% capacity in an instant and is growing. Exactly the same thing apparently happened in Edirne too.
 
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trishna_amrta

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Question. I'm not familiar with the region geographic condition. Which sector need the most fresh water there? If its just water for the city populace why not just took water from the sea (industrial scale reverse osmosis)?
 

Timur

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If we have more and more natural energy like dams, solar and wind we could let it work on full power all day along to get some osmosis water..

Here in Germany they shut down windenergy mills because the power is sometimes not needed that's a waste of time for me.. it could be used for charging batteries (electric or heat) for water generation ()not needed in Germany or hydrogen generation..

So I hope to have more dams for energy generation and windenergy that could also solve a future water problem
 

Deliorman

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Problem solved ;)

You must be joking right? One pathetic snowfall wouldn’t solve anything especially in a city like Istanbul that is ever expanding in population and consumption of water.

Turkey needs a completely new strategy in managing it’s water resources- from rebuilding the old water supply pipes in the cities, to new methods used in agriculture the way Israelis do it, to launching huge nation wide campaigns to save water, to expanding the water storage and delivery systems all around the country.
 
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