Live Conflict War in Afghanistan

[Tonil]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1452125109276217351

 

[Tonil]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1452372873247694850

 

[Gary]

is this true ??
I earlier predicted that the Taliban will eventually break under different faction due to differing interests.

some want sharia,some want int'l jihad, some want this and that. The Taliban leadership clearly could not satisfy all the demands.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1452608076100431879

Isis-K insurgency jeopardises Taliban’s grip on Afghanistan

New rulers accused of betraying Islam by jihadis intent on creating ideologically pure caliphate

www.ft.com

Isis-K’s more hardline stance has proved attractive to disgruntled Taliban fighters. Dismayed at the new regime’s reluctance to impose tougher restrictions on women and its diplomatic overtures to countries such as the US, China and Russia, former Taliban members have switched allegiance to Isis-K.

“The American war is over, but the Afghan wars are not,” said Avinash Paliwal, deputy director of the Soas South Asia Institute, and author of My Enemy’s Enemy, a book about Afghanistan.

 

[Tonil]

Isis-K insurgency jeopardises Taliban’s grip on Afghanistan

New rulers accused of betraying Islam by jihadis intent on creating ideologically pure caliphate

www.ft.com

“The American war is over, but the Afghan wars are not,” said Avinash Paliwal, deputy director of the Soas South Asia Institute, and author of My Enemy’s Enemy, a book about Afghanistan.

They said first ANA would make things stalemate they didn't last in 2 weeks and than said Panjshir is undefeated and even defeated superpowers and guess what happened they didn't lasted in 5 days in other news water is wet

 

[Tonil]

Victorious force

 

[Gary]

They said first ANA would make things stalemate they didn't last in 2 weeks and than said Panjshir is undefeated and even defeated superpowers and guess what happened they didn't lasted in 5 days in other news water is wet

The situation since the last departure of the coalition only solidify my arguments that the war will continue.

seriously I've lost count on how many Isis-k attacks already. The Taliban actually admit that they're incapable of counter insurgency.

 

[Tonil]

https://twitter.com/search?q=panjshir&src=typed_query&f=live

 

[Agha Sher]

https://twitter.com/search?q=panjshir&src=typed_query&f=live

When the source call the Taliban for "punjab militant" you know the source is a liar

 

[Tonil]

The situation since the last departure of the coalition only solidify my arguments that the war will continue.

What is next there will appear some UFO elements to chellenge them. You don't even know what you are saying. You are saying few Individuals I mean literally like 200 guys hiding somewhere will chellenge IEA with approx 900k-1m manpower and armed to the teeth that is battle hardened and ironed out to the core on top of that.. Don't waste your time really bro this is coming from a good place aside from trolling. Example look at Turkey and many other countries they have had low-level insurgency for decades to almost a century even that won't be an hindrance and the same with Indonesia it sees low level insurgency in some Islands but it is at an irrelevant treeshold like few opportuntistic far and between cases

 

[Tonil]

When the source call the Taliban for "punjab militant" you know the source is a liar

What? Why would anyone lie about such petty thing unless you have been living under a rock IEA flys there helicopters in all provinces and if I had to collect all the tweets from them randomly flying it would be considered as spam on this thread

 

[Gary]

like 200 guys hiding somewhere will chellenge IEA with approx 900k-1m

huh, more like 25-30K but ok, I'll leave that to make you happy.

The thing is the Taliban were once itself are in the position of Isis-K today, The Taliban knows they could NEVER challenge the superiority of the coalition in open battles, so they did what Isis-K is doing right now, mainly bombing, targetted killing/ assassination and general economic warfare.

But in the defense of the coalition, they actually had a working and capable CT unit, something that the IEA don't.

 

[Tonil]

huh, more like 25-30K but ok, I'll leave that to make you happy.

The thing is the Taliban were once itself are in the position of Isis-K today, The Taliban knows they could NEVER challenge the superiority of the coalition in open battles, so they did what Isis-K is doing right now, mainly bombing, targetted killing/ assassination and general economic warfare.

But in the defense of the coalition, they actually had a working and capable CT unit, something that the IEA don't.

What? 25-30k lmao. Did They fall from the sky these or just appear from nowhere

You don't understand how this works let me teach you the abc and 123 of this.

Example you can only end up in war when you have 2 elements opposing each other...

1. Syria you got actully 3 elements Rebels(FSA, HTS etc etc) SDF(YPG, Kurdish Militias) and SAA( Syrian armed forces) There is 3 entities facing each other.

Other examples NATO vs Taliban two entities or Libya etc etc. Taliban had overwhelming manpower inside Afghanistan constantly in engagement in every single province and even held for over 100 districts in more than 10 years since 09.

But in Pakistan it is basically 1 entity vs obsecure elements who are far in between because they don't have support, numbers or anything off sort. Than you got Indonesia the same case it is one entity. ISIS is present in every country it is far and in between stuff. They are just an obsecure element. It is no different anywhere in the world.

They don't have even 500 guys in Afghanistan right now ISIS-K guy confirmed it to CNN interview they are an obsecure element and that is the ground reality

 

[Gary]

What? 25-30k lmao. Did They fall from the sky these or just appear from nowhere

You don't understand how this works let me teach you the abc and 123 of this.

Example you can only end up in war when you have 2 elements opposing each other...

1. Syria you got actully 3 elements Rebels(FSA, HTS etc etc) SDF(YPG, Kurdish Militias) and SAA( Syrian armed forces) There is 3 entities facing each other.

Other examples NATO vs Taliban two entities or Libya etc etc.

But in Pakistan it is basically 1 entity vs obsecure elements who are far in between because they don't have support, numbers or anything off sort. Than you got Indonesia the same case it is one entity. ISIS is present in every country it is far and in between stuff.

They don't have even 500 guys in Afghanistan right now as it said an ISIS-K guy confirmed it to CNN interview they are an obsecure element and that is the ground reality

Do YOU have any source citing that Taliban has 1million soldier ??

as I said, in an insurgency you did not have to be as big or powerful as your foes, an insurgency is actually one of the most efficient form of warfare, basically you did more kills when while hiding.

If you think the Taliban are battle hardened, wait until you realized that Isis-K are former Taliban themselves, so they are actually just as battle hardened.

Since Kunar defeat the new cadres of Isis-k is actually recruited directly from the Haqqani network, a very experienced sub group in the Taliban known for urban guerilla and mass casualty attacks, so no wonder that Isis-K recent attacks are mostly urban in nature.

The fact that now Isis-K operate in areas before limited or prohibited to them, should actually cause an alarm for Talib fanboys because frankly am going to keep updating on these attacks and whatever excuse you give here will eventually be debunked by Taliban own CT failure.

 

[Tonil]

If you think the Taliban are battle hardened, wait until you realized that Isis-K are former Taliban themselves, so they are actually just as battle hardened.

ISIS is an organistation that has come to end not only in Afghanistan but allover the islamic world they have zero popularity and seriously all global ISIS could be just 5k and I mean worldwide forget Afghanistan this is how unpopular they are in truth. If you think ISIS will rise from anywhere it would be like believing in god descending on earth in the flesh.

Most people know ISIS has ended years ago and what is left now is just holdouts like these Japanese holdouts in WW2

 

[Gary]

ISIS is a dead entity not only in Afghanistan but allover the Islamic world

umm not really,
Isis beaten up black and blue by the coalition ?? absolutely. Dead entity ??? I don't think so.
In Syria Isis attacks in the Badia desert actually killed more SAA/IRGC soldier than the rebels in Idlib.

but allover the islamic world they have zero popularity and seriously all global ISIS could be just 5k and I mean worldwide forget Afghanistan this is how unpopular they are in truth. If you think ISIS will rise from anywhere it would be like believing in god descending on earth in the flesh.

The things is popularity are deemed redundant when you factor other issues, things like:

1. Social issue
2. Poverty
3. Hatred and the call for vengeance

See my post #8056, how could you explain the influx of Baathist soldiers , which are used to Baath ideology (a nationalist leftist part commie part socialist ideology) into joining the Salafi-Jihadi oriented Al Qaeda Iraq (the previous name of ISIS) ??

the answer is quite simple, after the 2003 collapse of the Baath regime, the US decided to disband the Iraqi army, in just a day 300,000 men in uniforms are suddenly finding themselves jobless, most are seeking vengeance by joining ISIS to hit the coalition back, and am not making this shit up.

The Isis commander leading the capture of Mosul is an ex Iraqi Baath army officer.

Abu Abdulrahman al-Bilawi - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Now, the Taliban are actively alienating and killing a significant part of Afghanistan which is the former ANSDF and the Salafists.

Guess which way this people will turn into protection and revenge ???

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1452133021981757442

This shows just how incompetent the Taliban are managing social issues that could fuel an insurgency.

 

[Gary]

Most people know ISIS has ended years ago and what is left now is just holdouts like these Japanese holdouts in WW2

not really, they're actually the most active Jihadi group currently available

 

[Tonil]

not really, they're actually the most active Jihadi group currently available

What you see is only holdouts that basically it but as an organistation it has ended back in 2017 it just lost popularity everywhere

 

[Gary]

This is seriously none-topic

Iraq in 2003 is actually very relatable to the Afghanistan of 2021.

none of the Talibs fanboys here do research on what they spew and they mostly lack the ability to do critical thinking. Most are here for the 'likes'

They don't even have people what you see of ISIS is only holdouts that is basically it but as an organistation it has ended back in 2017 it just lost popularity

As I said before, the Talibs fanboys here lacks critical thinking and most of the time didn't do any research on what they type.

Isis central (Iraq and Syria) are pretty much active, in Syria Isis killed more Syrian troops than the rebels in Idlib. The highest kills recorded since ISIS no longer having people like you said is actually January this year.

Just because you did not hear much from them doesn't mean they don't exist.

Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?

The central media apparatus of the Islamic State group is mis-reporting on the activities of its cells in central Syria. Rather than exaggerating their capabilities, something that it is conventionally assumed to be doing all the time, its Central Media Diwan appears either to be deliberately...

www.mei.edu

“A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria

Immediately after the Syrian regime and its allies captured central Syria in late 2017, ISIS began waging an effective and deadly insurgency in the area. It first targeted urban centers along the western Euphrates before shifting focus in spring 2018 to the transport lines and mountains running...

www.mei.edu

we are only talking Syria here, I'm not even in the mood to discuss ISIS-WA (West Africa) which is a more deadly force than ISIS central although at this rate, ISIS-K could overtake ISIS-WA because Taliban can't do CT.

 

[Tonil]

Iraq in 2003 is actually very relatable to the Afghanistan of 2021.

none of the Talibs fanboys here do research on what they spew and they mostly lack the ability to do critical thinking. Most are here for the 'likes'



As I said before, the Talibs fanboys here lacks critical thinking and most of the time didn't do any research on what they type.

Isis central (Iraq and Syria) are pretty much active, in Syria Isis killed more Syrian troops than the rebels in Idlib. The highest kills recorded since ISIS no longer having people like you said is actually January this year.

Just because you did not hear much from them doesn't mean they don't exist.

Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?

The central media apparatus of the Islamic State group is mis-reporting on the activities of its cells in central Syria. Rather than exaggerating their capabilities, something that it is conventionally assumed to be doing all the time, its Central Media Diwan appears either to be deliberately...

www.mei.edu

“A Force They Haven’t Seen Before”: Insurgent ISIS in Central Syria

Immediately after the Syrian regime and its allies captured central Syria in late 2017, ISIS began waging an effective and deadly insurgency in the area. It first targeted urban centers along the western Euphrates before shifting focus in spring 2018 to the transport lines and mountains running...

www.mei.edu

we are only talking Syria here, I'm not even in the mood to discuss ISIS-WA (West Africa) which is a more deadly force than ISIS central although at this rate, ISIS-K could overtake ISIS-WA because Taliban can't do CT.

You can quote million things. You can't prove what has not yet happened will happen and the reality is they are an obsecure element almost illusionary. But aside from that lets agree to disagree.

To a conclusion end

 

[Gary]

You can't prove what has not yet happened will happen and the reality is they are an obsecure element almost illusionary. But aside from that lets agree to disagree and end it here

Actually I have floated predictions long before and the Taliban only proven me correct since then.

Bye