Article from October from a think tank headed by Bill Burns before he became Director of CIA right now. Also have important person from Pritzker family (Illinois governor and Hyatt) like CSIS, as usual lol, pipe dream of
Homo politicus.
Prabowo
“Entering the fray for the fourth time in 2024 is Subianto (who is seventy-two years old). For a man who has wanted to be in power for this long, we know very little about what he intends to do with it. He appeared as a patriotic soldier in his 2009 bid for the vice presidency as Megawati’s running mate, then as a rabble-rousing nationalist in the 2014 presidential race, before polarising the public as an aggrieved Islamist in 2019 to challenge Widodo’s reelection.*
In his latest avatar, Subianto is steering clear of hard policy messages. Instead, he is trying to woo Widodo’s numerous young supporters by mimicking his
relaxed stylethrough curated social media posts. This appears to be working. He has achieved a
sizeable lead with voters between seventeen and thirty-nine years of age who comprise more than 60 percent of eligible voters but are too young to remember his violent past.
Subianto has long faced credible allegations of human rights abuses during his father-in-law’s rule, and he was
banned from entering the United States until recently. He was dismissed from his army post after storming the presidential palace to threaten Suharto’s successor in 1998. Subianto has long denied these claims, but even today, stories about his temper tantrums
are raising concernsabout his fitness for high office.”
Anies
“Subianto is competing against two younger rivals, both of whom are being fielded by his Suharto-era contemporaries. One is Anies Baswedan (fifty-four), the former governor of Jakarta. He is running on the promise of “change” but has been nominated by the National Democrat Party, an influential member of Widodo’s governing coalition for the past ten years. It is owned by the media mogul and former Golkar leader, Surya Paloh.
In his relatively short career, Baswedan has demonstrated a singular talent for being anyone he needs to be to win power. A U.S.-educated political scientist, he first rose to national prominence as the rector of a liberal Islamic university and served briefly as Widodo’s education minister. In 2016, Subianto nominated him for the highly charged Jakarta gubernatorial race, during which he
openly courted hard-line Islamist groups. Now, he wants to shed his conservative image and woo mainstream Muslims in Java, without whose support he cannot win.”
Ganjar
“Subianto’s second rival is Ganjar Pranowo (fifty-four), the former governor of Central Java. He is well-liked for his youthful charm, but his most remarkable achievement so far is getting a presidential nomination from PDIP’s Megawati, who was wary of backing another popular governor after her experience with Widodo. This, however, is also turning out to be his biggest liability.
Burned by Widodo’s independent streak, PDIP is aggressively asserting its ownership over Pranowo by making him toe the party line on divisive issues. This public display of fidelity to the party is costing him support from key voting blocs. In March, Megawati ordered Pranowo, along with other PDIP governors, to refuse to host Israel’s national team in FIFA Under-20 World Cup matches. FIFA responded by stripping Indonesia of its hosting rights and shifting the tournament to Argentina. This disappointed millions of young football fans and
led to a significant drop in Pranowo’s support.
With six months to the election,
opinion polls are predicting a neck-and-neck contest between Subianto and Pranowo. But in a runoff between the two, which would be held if no candidate is able to shore up more than 50 percent of the votes in the first race, Subianto is likely to draw Baswedan’s Islamist supporters and win the presidency.”
read more here