Vietnam economy to grow almost five times by 2035
By Nguyen Quy January 4, 2021 | 01:57 pm GMT+7
Vietnam economy to grow almost five times by 2035 - VnExpress International
Vietnam's economy is expected to grow five times, becoming the 19th largest economy in the world in 2035, a report says.e.vnexpress.net
Vietnam's economy is expected to grow five times, becoming the 19th largest economy in the world in 2035, a report says.
Steady and consistent growth is set to help it go past major Asian economies like Taiwan and Thailand by 2035, U.K consultancy the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said in its annual league table on the growth prospects of 193 economies released last week. The country now is the 37th largest economy.
Its GDP growth is forecast at 7 percent a year over the next five years, and 6.6 percent in the subsequent decade.
The report estimated Vietnam’s nominal GDP by 2035 to be $1.59 trillion from the current $341 billion, a nearly five-fold increase in 15 years.
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the Vietnamese economy, unlike most others, was able to escape a contraction in 2020 thanks to competent handling of the crisis, the report said. It grew at 2.91 percent.
The government has set a GDP growth target of 6.5 percent for 2021.
China will overtake the U.S. as the world’s biggest economy in 2035 after outperforming its rival during the global Covid-19 pandemic, according to CEBR.
I find it intriguing the communist government in Vietnam with its miraculous statistical methods - unknown to mere mortals in most of the world - calculated the GDP of Vietnam for the year 2020 within a span of mere three days.
Report for Selected Countries and Subjects
www.imf.org
I also find it intriguing how the estimated GDP, at market exchange rates, for Vietnam went from $284 billion (acc to IMF) in 2020 to $341 billion (acc to Vietnamese government) for the same year.
A jump in GDP of over 20% within the space of zero years is a puzzling issue.
I suppose this technique can also be applied by Vietnam's neighbours every decade to give their economies a much needed boost, at least in official statistical annexes.
I think we have discussed this before somewhere. GDP is overrated especially for some countries (that use a lax data dissemination standard) on top. Vietnam is one of them. Hopefully it will join the SDDS standard at some point in near future...to help with the reliability here....so we don't have wild swings (with who knows how much inflation within it).
They are definitely doing very well when I look at the base numbers though (stuff that is verified by multiple parties, rather than reliant on govt bureaucrats/statisticians under whatever operating pressure) ...stuff like trade, investment, energy, macro consumption etc.
I am not sure I have had such a discussion with you.
My best wishes to the peoples of Vietnam. Their country is expected to enjoy some more decades of economic growth. It is mostly a function of their currently low economic base and the tried and tested path taken by their East Asian predecessors.
One limitation to the East Asian authoritarian model championed by China and also Vietnam is that once they have exhausted all the gains from imitative activities, it becomes increasingly harder to make further gains.
With all due respect to the peoples of East Asia, they are often characterized as deficient in creativity and originality. No truly novel ideas are said to have emerged from such populations in multiple centuries, whether correctly or otherwise.
Their contributions are said to be mostly incremental, or marginal. Improving on existing knowledge, on existing technology and optimizing their performance in light of new developments. For example, internal combustion engine, cathode ray tubes, tungsten filament bulbs or integrated circuits may not have been invented in East Asia but many major improvements to these inventions have originated from East Asia.
In view of these precedents and the current regime ruling over Vietnam, Vietnam might be expected to enjoy commendable growth rates for a few more decades. What comes after that opportunity has been exhausted, after the low hanging fruits have been harvested, might be interesting to watch.
However, as you have also agreed, statistics presented by officials from such repressive regimes need to be taken with a pinch of salt. Not that I am saying Indian statistics are more credible. Not in the slightest.
Just that in this specific case, statistics presented by the communist regime in Vietnam need to be taken with a pinch of salt.
Love to see you again Nilgiri after long time bro, thanks for taking care about VN's threadsI just tend to ignore the govt statistics past a very rough reference mark (mostly to compare with the country itself over time), theres all kind of other noise that goes on in general there even with more "credible" countries....but the well integrated/connected countries w.r.t today's economy (i.e developed countries and increasingly PRC) can also be broadly compared too since the GDP (USD nominal) number has more inherent basis.
But in general I tend to look at certain things like energy consumption, electricity production, trade, investment, savings rate, GCF, forex and specific industry output numbers and such....rather than trust a developing country govt to add these up with whatever pinch or handful of salt needed at the end of it.
Love to see you again Nilgiri after long time bro, thanks for taking care about VN's threads
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Goolge trans:
Panasonic inaugurated a new factory in Vietnam
Panasonic's factory located in Binh Duong, manufacturing indoor air quality equipment, is the group's first factory in this field in Vietnam. Panasonic said that the factory will start producing ceiling fans and ventilation fans from October 13. In the future, a research and development (R&D) department will continue to be established to make this factory a place to integrate development, production and sales processes. The new factory has a surface area of 49,995 m2, a total floor area of 24,066 m2 and can be expanded in the future. With an investment of approximately $45 million, the plant is expected to meet the growing demand for IAQ related equipment. In particular, the factory will start with ceiling fans for the Vietnamese market and expand the production of ventilation fans in 2022.
It is expected that the factory will have a capacity of about 3 million products by 2025. As a representative of Panasonic, the ventilation equipment that has been manufactured is not only traded in the Vietnamese market but also exported to Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. Accordingly, this new factory is expected to become the main base of ventilation equipment in the same area.
Panasonic factory in Binh Duong has an area of 49,995 m2, total floor area 24,066 m2.
Panasonic khánh thành nhà máy mới tại Việt Nam
Nhà máy Panasonic đặt tại Bình Dương, sản xuất thiết bị chất lượng không khí trong nhà, là nhà máy đầu tiên của tập đoàn trong lĩnh vực này tại Việt Nam.vnexpress.net
Bro, welcome.
Thank you to @Indos and @Lonewolf for making it happen.
Brother @Viva_vietnamm lets hear all about vietnam in this section.
Chinese always live in delusion and having short vision, they just to forgot that they can make money thanks to the support from JP and US in 1978. Just like I said, Evergrande and Energy Crisis is just the first domino to fall. CN's biggest problem is that 60% of CN factories are Zombie factories (earning no profit when the bosses have to pay 800 to 1000 USD per month to the workers).@Viva_vietnamm welcome bro to the club
Look like Viva Viet prediction on the fall of China in 2023 is somewhat having some truth
Look their Evergrande and Energy Crisis !!!!!!
Công ty TNHH Sunny Opotech Việt Nam |
More Samsung phones,made in VN, are coming, bro@Viva_vietnamm
Vietnamese jasmine rice I bought and used for last cpl months:
View attachment 33106
It was quite tasty (and I will look for again)....just thought I would share a vietnamese product I use.
Also my (samsung) smartphone earphones are made in Vietnam
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A Samsung factory in Vietnam |
Samsung increases production capacity in Vietnam - photo 1 Galaxy Z Flip3 receives the attention of young people thanks to its good price, stylish style In June, market research firm Display Supply Chain Consultants (DSCC) expected the display industry to produce about 8.9 million foldable displays this year. However, in August, DSCC increased its forecast to 10.4 million screens due to growing demand for Samsung devices. The company also predicts the number for 2022 to be 16.4 million foldable screens. Kim Ji-san, head of research at Kiwoom Securities, said, "Samsung will lead the smartphone industry as the new foldable design becomes more familiar and popular with global consumers." Consumer experts highlight design as the key success factor of Samsung's third-generation foldable devices compared to its predecessors. They note the design of products like the Galaxy Z Flip3 is actually better than Apple's iPhone rival. Samsung currently has 6 factories and is planning to build an R&D center in Vietnam. The company has invested more than 17.7 billion USD in Vietnam and currently has 110,000 employees. It is expected that by the end of 2022, Samsung's R&D center in Hanoi will come into operation with about 3,000 Vietnamese engineers expected to work here. Samsung tăng năng lực sản xuất tại Việt NamSamsung Electronics sẽ mở rộng năng lực sản xuất thiết bị gập lại trong bối cảnh cơn sốt tăng lên đối với các mẫu Galaxy Z Fold3 và Z Flip3 trên phạm vi toàn cầu.
thanhnien.vn
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