Whats your choice of LACM for TNi AL?long range land attack capability
Whats your choice of LACM for TNi AL?long range land attack capability
well, if we could say our submarines aren't combat ready and terguncang when it nyelem, ya i could say those are broken )
Tell us more please?well, if we could say our submarines aren't combat ready and terguncang when it nyelem, ya i could say those are broken )
All 3 subs? Even the korean mainland made ones?terguncang when it nyelem
Just as predictedA Maritime Striker - Could Indonesia End Up Operating The Bayraktar TB3?
Oryx Monday, January 31, 2022
By Stijn Mitzer
Indonesia's stated desire to acquire drones from Turkey could one day also see an interest in the Bayraktar TB3, which was designed as a heavier version of the TB2 that can also operate from aircraft carriers and landing helicopter docks (LHDs). The Indonesian Navy has already experimented with using fixed-wing UAVs from the helicopter deck of one of its Dutch-built Diponegoro-class corvettes. Although the UAV could only take-off from the vessel and had to land at an air base, the effort clearly indicates that Indonesia is interested in operating shipborne fixed-wing UAVs.
The Indonesian Navy currently operates a fleet of seven landing platform docks (LPDs), three of which are outfitted as hospital ships. Most of the LPDs were constructed by state-owned shipbuilder PT PAL Indonesia, which acquired the license to construct the Makassar class from Dae Sun Shipyard in South Korea. In June 2014 PT PAL signed a $92 million contract for the delivery of two LPDs to the Philippine Navy. Although delivered without many of the systems considered standard on contemporary ships in Western nations, the low unit price of some $45m means that these ships are now actually financially attainable for countries like Indonesia and the Philippines.
It is currently believed that the Indonesian Navy intends to procure several landing platform helicopter vessels (LPHs) in the coming decade. In 2018 PT PAL unveiled a 244-metres long LPH design that will likely form the basis of the design that will be offered to the Indonesian Navy. Similar to the Turkish TCG Anadolu LHD, the LPH design features a large aft elevator that can move helicopters and large U(C)AVs to the flight deck or hangar. Designed to be deployed from LHDs and LPHs from the onset, the Bayraktar TB3 could be deployed from Indonesia's LPHs without any design modifications required. Due to their small size and foldable wings, numerous TB3s could be deployed on the ships along with ASW helicopters and other drones to provide Indonesia with its first (unmanned-) aircraft carrier.
The TCG Anadolu LHD (and the follow-up vessel the TCG Trakya) are reportedly capable of carrying several dozen Bayraktar TB3s, a number that is only set to increase on Indonesia's larger LPH design. The TB3 can stay in the air for up to 24 hours while boasting a 280kg payload capacity. This could either consist of up to six MAM munitions, including the MAM-T with a 30+km range, a maritime surveillance radar or a combination of both. This enables the TB3 to engage enemy naval vessels, support amphibious landings and carry out maritime surveillance. The expected low unit price of Indonesia's LPHs (similar to its LPDs) in combination with the acquisition of TB3s could open up up entirely new possibilities for the Indonesian Navy.
The Carrier Candidate: Bayraktar TB3s For Indonesia?
www.oryxspioenkop.com
Let's do a discussionOperating flat decks are a big deal, not only the operating cost are very high, we must take into account on ways to effectively employ the flat decks which we have no experience btw. It will take years or even decade to effectively train a carrier aviation crew even under the most favorable circumstances. Just merely having the tools without the political will, constant funds or worst, the proficiency to operate one would cost a lot of taxpayers money. Just look at what happened to the Thai navy carrier.
If amphibious operation is our real need here, then LPD not LPH is the solution. consider our coast are very near from each other. For me the concept of carrier based naval aviation are still a remote yet distinct possibility this time.
We could shorten training time by actively engaging in high end naval exercise like RIMPAC or develop mechanism for other more PRO operator of naval aviation to train ours. China did this back in the 2010s by inviting the Brazilian navy to train their (then) nascent crew. I think due to our close relationship with the Aussies, this is possible especially Australia has operate flat decks for quite some time now.
and oh I don't think COIN should be handled by carriers, technically it can but that one hell of expensive ways to do COIN, the naval aviation wing OTOH could increase the fleet eyes and ears. Extending the situational awareness for hundreds of miles further. Or even guide the navy long range over the horizon missile with OTHT capability.
First of all, politics precede the military. A military are expected to do what the political aim of a country is. Indonesia has grown economically for quite some time now, yet the biggest perceived threat by Jakarta is still internal by nature. I don't see this is going to change even if we put China-US rivalry in the Indo-Pacific. Deck based aviation and power projection that comes with it are not the capability that inward looking government seems attracted to.Let's do a discussion
Well, first of all, plans are supposed to be done in the future, in a projected future context. So of course by the time a concept is realized, which may take years and even decades, things could change by then, probably for the better economically because the current trend is stable. So that could also mean a bigger economy, meaning more funds, and realized reforms, meaning better military organization. So I think if we keep the current pace of development, I guess by then pulling out something like this is manageable, perfectly possible.
We cannot really compare ourselves to Thailand, they have a totally different national security challenge. They are a continental power, of course, so they will certainly focus on the Army and land warfare in general, while their Navy is somewhat of a sideshow.
Again politics precede the military. The foremost operator of the LHA are the US (and in a smaller scale the French and UK). Why do they need that LHA ? Because they are a GLOBAL power, they need their force ready at moments notice if contingency exist that require the US to land troops. Hence those LHA are part of the Amphibious Ready Group (ARG), the LHA provided the ARG with moving bases for the expeditionary forces (marines and helo).Take note that I said that it is going to boost our "amphibious capability AND naval aviation capability". Let's assume that's the cost isn't that ridiculous to the point that ANYTHING is inoperable. If everything we do not own currently, is assumed can't be operated by us because of "operating costs", then we won't have anything of us in our inventory basically, and Bakamla is useless because they have problems with operating costs. That's a problem in assuming we will not be able to operate it, well using the same logic I can also assume we CAN operate it, That's a problem in assuming we will not be able to operate it, well using the same logic I can also assume we CAN operate it,
As I've posted above, mission requirements (usually backed by political aim) dictates why a ship are designed as such. the LHA are designed as such because the US need its expeditionary marines as well as its aviation to be packed into one moving objects capable to project power everywhere in the world. Why ? because they are a world power and Washington need to exercise those power.Tbh I think it isn't a really convincing argument that LPH is a bad idea "because our coasts are very near to each other". Like, first, they're not near each other, Aceh to Sorong is as far as Aceh to Shanghai. What the heck, who would have thought 4000 km is "very near".
Without a capable naval aviation capability in the fleet, these aircraft are basically locked to their islands, and their airport's risk of being captured, or damaged, renders them unserviceable.
I think I also need to clarify that we might have different ideas of what COIN we imagine. As you can see, imagine Aceh or Timor scenario, Marines need to land, and there's a need for amphibious landing capability AND air cover for troops on the ground (also aerial recon). We have LPH 244 m class in the fleet, filled with helis and drones such as bayraktar. Heck not even need a Nimitz or even Liaoning class (they carry fighter jets vs smaller aircraft for LPH), so just stick to the purpose of LPH design above. What we have is something that fulfills all of the above requirements, you can land troops, as usual, you can carry air cavalry, and you can also provide them with air support from the drones. I am convinced that this arrangement will be useful in the event of something of a large-scale COIN operation (maybe somewhat of an invasion) like in Timor Timur especially, as a lesson learned from the problems we experienced during the landing at Dili.
Also, if it's about crew trainings, I would argue that the level of crew training needed to be able to operate such type of vessels effectively will be considerably "easier" compared to conventional modern flattops such as Liaoning and Nimitz.
Design or built by means of imports or built domestically doesn't solve the underlying problem. an LHA is a tool, and for a tool to work perfectly it need to find the right balance on how all the parts fit together. For an LHA that means the right balance on where to put the engine, ammo storage, the aviation garage, the well deck, lifts etc etc. In which Indonesia doesn't even have the industrial capacity, know how or even user feedback as the navy never operate one.Let's put it this way: an Indonesian Navy's LPH, especially if it's designed and built domestically, does not necessarily has to follow similar design philosopy as Izumo or other navies' LPH.
It will be enough if it's mainly projected to be deployed as a "tactical" helicopter/drone carrier to support amphibious landing and ground operation within 200-250 km radius from it
That would be great tho, we will need a lot of combatantsbas escortIt will be great if each of our three naval fleets is equipped with two LPHs, four LPDs and one hospital ship as their "core"
We're talking about operating (mostly) helicopters on deck here right? Yes, it's not exactly the same but at least in this regard our navy has been operating helicopters on and off the deck for quite some time. As for operating ship-based fixed wing unmanned combat drones, if we look from another perspective this is also the reason why we could build one LHD first for a pilot project so that the ship's crews can learn how to operate and manage them onboard.Our experience in operating and managing deck based aircraft ? how about zero. So how are we going to develop the correct tactics to effectively employ deck based aircraft ?
Indeed, this is true for now and for the foreseeable future. But what we're discussing here is not something that we urgently need to acquire in the next 5 years. However, given the potential that a LHD can provide to our navy to expand its presence in our own waters (as well as in our surrounding and immediate regions), it's just proper for us to also think of ways for our navy to utilize this platform so that it can suit its needs and purposes.For a country who struggles to fuel its 5 strong navy ship in the Natuna this is a big questions that need answers and commitments.
Isn't it a bit unfair to compare Indonesia with US in regards to military budget and priorities?The US navy carriers in contrast doesn't cease to exist as an effective fighting platform even when the US got hit by the 2008 meltdown.
Again, this is not something we must acquire in the next 5 years, or even in the next decade for that matters. I don't want to comment much on Thailand's trouble here, but at least compared to them, we have a much better case to have an aircraft carrier - geographically speaking. Of course, a conventional aircraft carrier even the smallest one like Chakri Naruebet is already overkill for our needs but that's not the case with LHAs/LHDs.I'm afraid our planned mini carrier could face the fate of the Thai navy Chakri Naruebet consider on how low the govt commitment on defense here. especially once economic crisis suddenly appears.
At the risk of getting this discussion sidetracked, those difficulties are not without remedies. However, it will take an unprecedented amount of reforms - one of which, that I strongly believe - is to give a lot more breathing room for our private companies to have their say rather than being placed as mere suppliers for our defense SoEs.Most of the new LHA user uses an already proven design like the Juan Carlos I or Mistral, even navies with strong ties to modern western institutions like Turkey and Australia. Judging from our difficulties with the relatively simple KCR-60 I think we need to hold our breath on the LHA.
And how long will it takes to equip nearer land-base airfield with a command, comunication and control center, sufficient weapons (when necessary), fuel and all other supporting equipments necessary for the operation? Of course, if it happens to be a medium-sized or large airfield, we can assume that it won't take long but what if it's not? In the case of natural disaster, there will always be a risk that even the nearest airfield not directly affected by the disaster can not be immediately prepared somehow.This kinda defeat, the purpose of an LHA, if 250km is the goal, our nearer land based airfield spread across the country could satisfy the requirements. This could be a potential for another white elephants projects like the Chakri Naruebet.
> So how are we going to have the experience if we don't start to operate them? This is a circular logic "we should not operate X because we don't have the experience, but we do not want to operate x so we won't ever acquire the experience". So what is the point? At some point in the past we never even operate any submarine, and submarines are a very difficult asset to handle. But then we acquire submarines, and start operating them anyway, what is the problem? The problem is by assuming we will not be able to learn, and assuming we should not try anything new because we don't have experience.Easy here is relative, easier than operating supercarriers off course, but is the navy up to the job for that level of 'easy' ? You have to remember that the Indonesian military have not contributed anything in importance to the science of a modern military, let alone carrier deck operations (which is considered one of the most complex military op btw). Our experience in operating and managing deck based aircraft ? how about zero. So how are we going to develop the correct tactics to effectively employ deck based aircraft ?
Most of the modern warfare tactics and theory came from the west and the TNI compared to lets say the neighboring Thai's, Singapore and Malaysian armed forces are the less exposed to the western military institutions. So unless we could secure those western powers training our men to operate and employ them in effective manner this is a waste of money and time.
Securing western institutions help is one thing, the other thing is the men operating the assets, either the ships and/or the aircraft it carries must have proficient crew and it will need a lot of money, because they'll need to deploy as often as possible to increase their exercise logs. For a country who struggles to fuel its 5 strong navy ship in the Natuna this is a big questions that need answers and commitments.
And talking about commitments, the Chakri Naruebet ceased to be an effective fighting platform once the 1997 financial crisis swoop the country. The US navy carriers in contrast doesn't cease to exist as an effective fighting platform even when the US got hit by the 2008 meltdown.
I'm afraid our planned mini carrier could face the fate of the Thai navy Chakri Naruebet consider on how low the govt commitment on defense here. especially once economic crisis suddenly appears.
Design or built by means of imports or built domestically doesn't solve the underlying problem. an LHA is a tool, and for a tool to work perfectly it need to find the right balance on how all the parts fit together. For an LHA that means the right balance on where to put the engine, ammo storage, the aviation garage, the well deck, lifts etc etc. In which Indonesia doesn't even have the industrial capacity, know how or even user feedback as the navy never operate one.
Most of the new LHA user uses an already proven design like the Juan Carlos I or Mistral, even navies with strong ties to modern western institutions like Turkey and Australia. Judging from our difficulties with the relatively simple KCR-60 I think we need to hold our breath on the LHA.
This kinda defeat, the purpose of an LHA, if 250km is the goal, our nearer land based airfield spread across the country could satisfy the requirements. This could be a potential for another white elephants projects like the Chakri Naruebet.
You are talking to a politics guy about politics. This is another case of framing assumption. Assuming one actor "the government", is always looking inward, with no possibility of changing orientation. Didn't Wowo already say that they are going away from the old paradigm? to not assume peer-to-peer conflict and that hot war wouldn't happen? Wowo is also part of the "government" and apparently, he currently didn't quite fit into your broad assumption. "Government" consists of many actors, not just one monolith of actors that somehow all agree towards inward-looking policy, and that means no flat deck vessels EVER. What the heck, just how many logic and heuristics we have skipped over thus far? Do all of the Government, that is the President, the DPR, the Kemhan, the TNI, ALL literally agree on an inward-looking military in the 21st century with no possibility of a strong navy? Let's use your logic, if we indeed are inward-looking THEN WHY THE HECK WE EVEN OWN A SUBMARINE? WHAT USE IS SUBMARINE AGAINST RAGTAG GUERILLA??First of all, politics precede the military. A military are expected to do what the political aim of a country is. Indonesia has grown economically for quite some time now, yet the biggest perceived threat by Jakarta is still internal by nature. I don't see this is going to change even if we put China-US rivalry in the Indo-Pacific. Deck based aviation and power projection that comes with it are not the capability that inward looking government seems attracted to.
- Umm no, while airbase are static, the aircrafts are MOBILE and I could assure you they're not fasten to the host island. It's up to the operator on how to employ them
It's because a LHA/LHD is basically a self-contained package of helicopters (plus UAV/UCAV in our case), equipments, weapons and crews ready to go at moment's notice.
That doesn't happen during the Timor invasion. Land-based airfields were used relatively late into the war, while early on it wasn't used for such COIN operation, only to send off the Hercules. So who provided fire support for the landing force? Inaccurate naval cannon. Early in the war, we were not able to deploy the military in a proper combined arms operation, especially the air assets, because it takes time to set up the airfields and the aircraft, while at the same time we must deploy them "at a moment's notice". You see that it is not a "99.999% permissive environment", that doesn't happen before in Timor, doesn't happen in Permesta, so how can you even assume any number higher than 80%? I think we all should read history and theory to understand that all of our assumptions can be challenged, and history could easily disprove said strategic assumptions.A COIN operation meant that we're 99.9999999% operating in a permissive environment and 99.999999% operating in Indonesia's territory where the local land based airfield could pretty much do the job done. No need for fancy deck based aviation. And if deck based aviation are needed that bad. LPD could do the job just OK.
> So how are we going to have the experience if we don't start to operate them? This is a circular logic "we should not operate X because we don't have the experience, but we do not want to operate x so we won't ever acquire the experience". So what is the point? At some point in the past we never even operate any submarine, and submarines are a very difficult asset to handle. But then we acquire submarines, and start operating them anyway, what is the problem? The problem is by assuming we will not be able to learn, and assuming we should not try anything new because we don't have experience.
read again, I said compared to the neighboring countries we are the least engaged. Do you know that Hun Sen son, Hun Manet were also enrolled in the US military academy @ West Point ?> I think is nonsense to say that we are not engaged with western institutions enough when the vast majority of our senior officers were trained and educated in western countries. This is very easy to disprove, because of just how many of our officers enrolled in the USCGC, USMC CSC, and NDU, and many more trained in service schools in the US.
You are talking to a politics guy about politics. This is another case of framing assumption. Assuming one actor "the government", is always looking inward, with no possibility of changing orientation. Didn't Wowo already say that they are going away from the old paradigm? to not assume peer-to-peer conflict and that hot war wouldn't happen? Wowo is also part of the "government" and apparently, he currently didn't quite fit into your broad assumption. "Government" consists of many actors, not just one monolith of actors that somehow all agree towards inward-looking policy, and that means no flat deck vessels EVER. What the heck, just how many logic and heuristics we have skipped over thus far?
A submarine is a defensive weapons, do not be fooled by the name "hunter killer"/ "attack", for most of the time a submarine is a an ambush predator which wait for an enemy fleet to come by and ambush. A submarine suits our geography and geopolitical goal just fine.Let's use your logic, if we indeed are inward-looking THEN WHY THE HECK WE EVEN OWN A SUBMARINE? WHAT USE IS SUBMARINE AGAINST RAGTAG GUERILLA??
whatever LHA we will buy it will not came with a fixed naval air wing, US aint selling us F-35Bs what's the point ? At the end of the day, the navy will likely depend on the air cover the air force provided from its land based aircraft. As we always do.In the event of a hot war, moving an entire squadron across the sea is not that easy, unless you have power projection capability. What the heck, it's not just the planes and the pilots that move, it includes all of the ground crew, the guards, the airport operators, how can you move that from island to island if the seas and airspace are challenged by the enemy navy? If you say "up to the operator on how to employ them", then employ them on flat deck vessels. As this guy said:
The air force.So who provided fire support for the landing force? Inaccurate naval cannon.
Early in the war, we were not able to deploy the military in a proper combined arms operation, especially the air assets, because it takes time to set up the airfields and the aircraft, while at the same time we must deploy them "at a moment's notice". You see that it is not a "99.999% permissive environment", that doesn't happen before in Timor, doesn't happen in Permesta, so how can you even assume any number higher than 80%? I think we all should read history and theory to understand that all of our assumptions can be challenged, and history could easily disprove said strategic assumptions.
You saying Indonesia is "least engaged with western institutions compared to other ASEAN countries" is an unfounded assumption, even contradicting a concrete reality. How the heck we are "least engaged"? Idk but you seem to not quite get the education and promotion system of TNI, hence assuming we are not "western enough". Idk but why are you always looking for weak examples such as Cambodia or Thailand, even when they have very different geopolitical situations than us. You said yourself it's Hun Sen's son, so he is a special case, not a general case. A General case is when a career soldier, rose up through the ranks via his assignment history, and education. That education is what determines what the military of said country values, you can see from the Panglima CV that we are engaged with the West more. I mean look at this:read again, I said compared to the neighboring countries we are the least engaged. Do you know that Hun Sen son, Hun Manet were also enrolled in the US military academy @ West Point ?
Does that make the Cambodian military exposed to Western military institution and ways they conduct warfare?
But who said "no money no money"? who decided that? I mean that's your imagination only, assuming there WILL NOT BE ENOUGH MONEY FOR SOME REASON. "Somehow there will be no money, somehow, idk but as long as it makes HFI is incorrect, it must be true". You know, many people think in such a way that sees countries are stagnant, static, they are what they are since forever. So there is a permanent great power, there is a permanent small power, THERE IS NO SUCH THING. Who decided which one is the big boys and which ones are not? the countries themselves. Austria was a great power in 1914, now they are not. The US was only a middle power in the 1800s, now they are a superpower. So who cares about the current temporary situation that could easily change? money can increase and decrease, and commitment may become greater or smaller. The British used to hold very big commitments globally, but now not so much, so what? We are not allowed to pursue our interests because of the labels of big boys and small boys? Who cares! Besides, do you seriously think Italy is a big boy? Well, they own flat deck vessels, South Korea too? or even Egypt? Omg, the classification of "big boys" becomes confusing!The role of the military, defensive or offensive are dictated by the geopolitical need of a country and the weapons supplied to follow that particular political goal. It is very possible for Indonesia to acquire LHA . But what happens then ? No money to properly train the crew ? deploy only once a month because the navy got no money to buy fuel, because their budget share are smaller than the army ?
I say again, deck based aviation are big boys stuff and comes with big boys money and commitment.
As I said, they provide help late into the war, not early, because of the obvious reasons. Heck those helis and broncos were supposed to help early, not late, but they were late anyway. Why not take pride aside and admits that we should learn from past lessons? Instead, some become a hardheaded pessimists saying "we are not supposed to use big boys stuff", quit that a loser mentality, who cares about labels?The air force.
During Vietnam and Afghan wars, things didn't exactly go as planned, wasn't it. It's easy to overlook things, assuming the enemy will be far greater, or far inferior to ours, without considering other possibilities. For example, the Soviet invasion was bogged down simply because the Americans supplied Stinger missiles to Afghan mujahidin, and that fact alone completely messed up their calculations. During PRRI/ Permesta rebellion the US-backed rebels were supported by American planes, who would have predicted that? Probably somewhere out there, back then, a guy in US DoD probably predicted that Taliban armament wouldn't work against US forces and coalition victory is inevitable. But what the heck 20 years campaign didn't go well and the Taliban somehow won. So do not overlook things, and not assume there WILL be, or there WILL NOT be problems, just balanced look at it.in a COIN op, we are operating in an air supremacy mode. No one will challenge our planes and if mishaps happens such as one or two getting luckily shot down by the enemy (maybe by manpads assuming Indonesian guerilla are tech savvy enough to have one) it will not even dent the ability of the military to conduct warfare.
One more thing, you have not explained on how carrier based aviation are >>>>>>than airfield based aviation in COIN. When Seroja op is launched our air cover come mainly from bases outside East Timor and they do just fine. Its just the Indonesian lack of combined arms experience that screw up the initial phase of the landings.
I personally have no problem. This is after all a forum.......I have no grudge against difference in opinion. I'd rather discuss than spamming the forum with feel good pictures like some members do.Though remember Mike, this isn't personal, after all the forum is for discussion, and we may argue things as long as we exhibit proper behavior.
Yes, I said that...while in your post #6829 you said:You saying Indonesia is "least engaged with western institutions compared to other ASEAN countries"
I think is nonsense to say that we are not engaged with western institutions
How the heck we are "least engaged"? Idk but you seem to not quite get the education and promotion system of TNI, hence assuming we are not "western enough". Idk but why are you always looking for weak examples such as Cambodia or Thailand, even when they have very different geopolitical situations than us. You said yourself it's Hun Sen's son, so he is a special case, not a general case. A General case is when a career soldier, rose up through the ranks via his assignment history, and education. That education is what determines what the military of said country values, you can see from the Panglima CV that we are engaged with the West more. I mean look at this:
As I said, they provide help late into the war, not early, because of the obvious reasons. Heck those helis and broncos were supposed to help early, not late, but they were late anyway. Why not take pride aside and admits that we should learn from past lessons? Instead, some become a hardheaded pessimists saying "we are not supposed to use big boys stuff", quit that a loser mentality, who cares about labels?
During Vietnam and Afghan wars, things didn't exactly go as planned, wasn't it. It's easy to overlook things, assuming the enemy will be far greater, or far inferior to ours, without considering other possibilities. For example, the Soviet invasion was bogged down simply because the Americans supplied Stinger missiles to Afghan mujahidin, and that fact alone completely messed up their calculations. During PRRI/ Permesta rebellion the US-backed rebels were supported by American planes, who would have predicted that? Probably somewhere out there, back then, a guy in US DoD probably predicted that Taliban armament wouldn't work against US forces and coalition victory is inevitable. But what the heck 20 years campaign didn't go well and the Taliban somehow won. So do not overlook things, and not assume there WILL be, or there WILL NOT be problems, just balanced look at it.