Possible TNI ORBAT 2030s
#Scenario 1, All Su-27/30 and Hawk successfully modernized and retained
12x Mirage 2000 Skadron 1
29x Hawk 100/200 Skadron 12
16x F-16 Skadron 16
17x F-16 Skadron 3
16x Su-27/30 Skadron 11
36 F-15 ID could be divided into 2 squadron (18 each)
18x F-15ID Skadron 14 (IWD)
18x F-15ID Skadron tbd
The Rafale could be divided into 3 squadron (14 each)
14x Rafale Skadron tbd (new undetermined location, possibly in Eastern Indonesia)
14x Rafale Skadron tbd
14x Rafale Skadron tbd
#Scenario 1.1 All Su-27/30 and Hawk successfully modernized and retained , different number of F-15 squadron
12x Mirage 2000 Skadron 1
29x Hawk 100/200 Skadron 12
16x F-16 Skadron 16
17x F-16 Skadron 3
16x Su-27/30 Skadron 11
36 F-15 ID could be divided into 3 squadron (12 each)
12x F-15ID Skadron 14
12x F-15ID Skadron tbd (new undetermined location, possibly in Eastern Indonesia)
12x Rafale Skadron tbd (new undetermined location, possibly in IKN)
The Rafale could be divided into 3 squadron (14 each)
14x Rafale Skadron tbd (new undetermined location, possibly in Eastern Indonesia)
14x Rafale Skadron tbd
14x Rafale Skadron tbd
Scenario #2
Hawk, Su-27/30 and M2K-5 retired
16x F-16 Skadron 16
17x F-16 Skadron 3
18x F-15ID Skadron 14
18x F-15ID Skadron 12
14x Rafale Skadron 1
14x Rafale Skadron 11
14x Rafale Skadron tbd
Scenario #3, Same with Scenario#2 but the air force decide that COIN airplane is useless and Skadron 21 coverted to fast jets
16x F-16 Skadron 16
17x F-16 Skadron 3
18x F-15ID Skadron 14
18x F-15ID Skadron 12
14x Rafale Skadron 1
14x Rafale Skadron 11
14x Rafale Skadron 21
#Scenario #4, Same with Scenario #3 and Indonesia finally received its first batch of 12-16 KF-21, total 48 KF-21 divided into 3 squadron (16 each)
16x F-16 Skadron 16
17x F-16 Skadron 3
18x F-15ID Skadron 14
18x F-15ID Skadron 12
14x Rafale Skadron 1
14x Rafale Skadron 11
14x Rafale Skadron 21
16x KF-21 Skadron tbd
16x KF-21 Skadron tbd
16x KF-21 Skadron tbd
I think we need new squadron >>
- Interceptor squadron for IKN
- Aceh, facing Indian Ocean
- Halim, facing South
- Manado, facing Philippines
- Papua, which has no fighter squadron based on the island