Mil Intelligence The Importance of Frontline Fuel Logistics

Bogeyman 

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The importance of the US Air Force's Transoceanic fuel logistics

Fun theoretical exercise I'm currently working on for the @fortisanalysis side of things: US refineries (total) only store about 40 million gallons of military-grade jet fuel at any given time, or about 36,400 flight hours for an F/A-18E/F Super Hornet launched from an aircraft carrier.

For 40 x -18's per carrier, this is about 910 flight hours. A carrier holds roughly 3 million gallons of fuel for its wing, about 68 flight hours per bird. Now consider that a notional mixed complement of 20 x F-35's and 20 X F-15EX's operating out of Kadena AFB would consume about 62,400 gallons per hour combined. Thus, just a single carrier wing and a single AFB wing's complement of fighters (80 combined) theoretically all operating at once would drink 106,400 gal/hr. So... The net stores of military jet fuel immediately available from US refiners above the global contingency supplies managed by the Defense Logistics Agency at any time represents about 375 net flight hours for one carrier and one air wing...less than 16 days of high intensity air operations by far fewer assets than the US would throw into an all-out theater conflict in the Pacific Rim.

DLA Energy ended FY2022 with 1.68 billion gallons of on hand inventory of jet fuel to serve the entire DOD combined inventory of 14,000+ aviation assets - cargo, fighter, rotary wing, bombers, drones, tankers, and recon. Which begs the question: How fast would two theaters of conflict burn through all contingency supplies of fuel? And what does DOD do when the well runs dry?


The scale of magical thinking in some of these comments rivals QAnon levels of credulity, or a total lack of strategic analytical rigor. Further, the belief that the DOD has this figured out ignores *checks notes* the DOD's own assessments of fuel and energy sustainment in contested logistics environments. In short, obvious bait post was obvious only to folks who actually know the real geostrategic state of play.

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Due to the importance of the subject, I am re-sharing the message I sent under a different title here.
 

Bogeyman 

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Forbidden Russian oil flows into Pentagon supply chain


After multiple changes of ownership, the fuel is sold to a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military, a Post examination finds


After Western nations announced bans on Russian oil last year in response to the invasion of Ukraine, a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military moved quickly to adapt. Within months, it told investors it had stopped accepting the forbidden oil and had found other sources instead.
But there was a reason Russian petroleum, on paper at least, could so easily be removed from the supply chain.

Petroleum products that originated in Russia kept flowing to the Motor Oil Hellas refinery on the Aegean Sea in Greece, a Washington Post examination of shipping and trade data found. They just took a new route, hundreds of miles out of the way through an oil storage facility in Turkey, a journey that obscured Russia’s imprint as ownership of the products changed hands multiple times before they reached Greece.

1.png


On the surface, the refinery’s sourcing of fuel oil from the Dortyol shipping terminal in Turkey seemed to affirm pronouncements by the White House and European leaders that embargoes on Russian oil were working as planned, depriving President Vladimir Putin of crucial revenue to fund his military aggression in Ukraine. The fact that those shipments contained material that originated in Russia underscores the porousness of the sanctions and the failure to aggressively enforce them.
The quantities of fuel oil shipped from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas, and the industry practice of mixing products of different origins as they are stored, ensure a large amount of product from Russia in the mix, according to industry experts with deep knowledge of oil flows and sanctions rules who reviewed the shipping and trade data at the request of The Post.
“I don’t see any other possible conclusion than Russian fuel is going to Motor Oil Hellas,” said Robert Auers, a refinery modeler and refined fuels market analyst at the research firm RBN Energy, who examined the Post findings.
The Post used shipping and other records to track the flow of fuel oil, a category of materials used to make products the Pentagon buys for ships and planes. The Project on Government Oversight, a nonprofit watchdog group based in Washington, surfaced some of those shipping records while preparing a report with information from Data Desk, a consulting firm that investigates fossil fuel companies.
Over the past two years, Dortyol received 5.4 million barrels of fuel oil by sea, all but 1.9 million from Russia, according to shipping records and trade data from Refinitiv, a financial-data firm that specializes in commodities markets. Since the European Union sanctions took effect in February, Russian shipments to Dortyol totaled 2.7 million barrels, or more than 69 percent of the fuel oil shipped by sea to Dortyol during that period.
Also since February, The Post found, Dortyol has shipped 7 million barrels of fuel oil overall, of which 4.2 million barrels went to Motor Oil Hellas. Those shipments accounted for at least 56 percent of all the fuel oil the Greek refinery received by ship.


The precise amount of Russian-origin fuel oil in the products the Pentagon purchases could not be determined. Those products are refined using multiple ingredients that cannot all be tracked through production.
It also could not be determined whether, at some point during its journey, the fuel oil from Russia was relabeled as having come from another country. The documents that describe the provenance of an oil shipment, known as certificates of origin, are not public records.

2.png


The Pentagon has inked nearly $1 billion worth of new contracts with the Greek refinery since the U.S. ban took effect in March of last year, federal contracting data show.
Since February, more than 1 million barrels of jet fuel from Motor Oil Hellas have also gone to government and corporate buyers in Italy, France, Spain and Britain, according to shipping records.

3.png


Joe Yoswa, a spokesman for the Pentagon’s Defense Logistics Agency, which handles fuel purchases for the U.S. military, said in an email that the agency has “no knowledge” of fuel from Russia being routed to its Greek supplier. The agency said its contractors, including Motor Oil Hellas, “are responsible for ensuring compliance with applicable laws and regulations concerning business with Russia and Russian companies” and “must certify their compliance with such laws and regulations as part of the acquisition process.”
There is only so much the Pentagon can do to police suppliers, Yoswa wrote. The products going into the fuels it purchases from Motor Oil Hellas are “subject to change on a constant basis and could be different from one delivery to the next,” he wrote. Tracing its origins “for a specific delivery of refined product would be difficult or impossible,” he wrote.
Motor Oil Hellas said in a statement that the company “does not buy, process or trade Russian oil or products. All its imports are certified of non sanctioned origin.” The company did not respond to specific questions about the nature of that certification, or whether it is taking any steps to ensure it is accurate.
Turkish state officials and representatives of the Turkish Petroleum Corporation, which took ownership of several of the fuel oil shipments to Dortyol, did not respond to questions regarding the fuel’s origin.
Officials at Global Terminal Services, which owns the Dortyol facility, said in an email they are merely an “intermediary” to store products and at no point own the products they store. They said they do not accept shipments from Russian-flagged vessels and “fully comply with applicable local and international rules and regulation,” including maintaining a “robust compliance process” regarding sanctions regimes.

1.jpg

The Sheskharis transshipment complex in Novorossiysk, Russia, one of the largest oil loading complexes for the transshipment of oil and petroleum products in southern Russia. The facility has been in operation since 1964. (Vitaly Timkiv/Sputnik/AP)


Under sanctions rules, Turkish facilities are permitted to accept Russian fuel. The Greek refinery cannot.

‘A very light regulatory approach’​

In at least five shipments this year from Russia to Dortyol, the fuel oil was initially owned by the Russian oil giant Rosneft, trade records show. After it was loaded onto a tanker on the Black Sea, the cargo was purchased in each case by a firm based in the United Arab Emirates. Ownership of the fuel oil was later transferred to entities controlled by the Turkish state oil company, and the product was delivered to Dortyol.
In an email to The Post, a Rosneft spokesperson said the company does not track the destination of the fuel it sells but is in “strict compliance with generally accepted international standards.” The UAE firm, Fossil Trading FZC, did not respond to requests for comment.
Under the guidelines for the E.U. embargo, purchasers “should exercise appropriate due diligence in assessing the origin of the oil and should rely on documentation at their disposal to determine the origin of the oil, which may include certificates of origin.”
U.S. and E.U. regulators have repeatedly warned companies that certificates of origin may be fraudulent. Numerous authorities and companies have the power to draw them up, and there is no centralized system to confirm their authenticity.
In the oil industry, Turkey has become known as a place where such certificates are unlikely to be challenged, said George Voloshin, a financial crime expert with the Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists.
“They are not actively trying to stop this,” Voloshin said. “They have no incentive. It is a very profitable trade that brings money to Turkey, which is on good terms with Russia. … So they take a very light regulatory approach, preferring to trust the documents given to them without questioning.”
Western sanctions were designed to strike a severe economic blow against Russia, where oil and gas revenue make up nearly half of the federal budget and help fund the war effort.
But the Russian economy has proved unexpectedly resilient, in no small part because of widespread sanctions evasion. Western leaders have taken a cautious approach to cracking down on violators, even as Russia’s oil revenue surged over the summer, climbing to levels not seen since before the ban was fully implemented. The cost of its oil has broken through a price cap imposed by the West, leaving the Biden administration grasping for strategies to stop sanctions evasion.
The Treasury Department, which administers and enforces economic sanctions, declined to respond to specific questions about the origin of products the U.S. government buys from Motor Oil Hellas, but issued a statement through spokeswoman Megan Apper. “We are focused on coordinating with our allies and partners to decrease Russia’s revenue from its oil sales and to limit the Kremlin’s ability to fund its barbaric war against Ukraine, including through our price cap on the maritime export of Russian energy exports,” she said.

Beyond penalties imposed on two shippers earlier this month, enforcement has been scant.

“This is clearly something you would think the administration would not want to have happen,” said Brian O’Toole, an Atlantic Council fellow and former senior adviser to the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), which oversees U.S. sanctions. “I would like to be able to say at least the part about the Department of Defense buying this fuel surprises me, but it doesn’t … Treasury has only just started to wade into enforcement of these sanctions.”
O’Toole and other sanctions experts said buying fuel that had simply been rebranded is off-limits for European refiners and their customers. And purchasers may be deemed liable even if they were not aware of the origin of a potentially sanctioned good, they said.
“OFAC has a long history of sanctioning people that should have known,” O’Toole said.
Motor Oil Hellas, a publicly traded firm, has been a key Pentagon supplier for years. Since the 2019 fiscal year, the Defense Logistics Agency has paid the company more than $1.1 billion, making it one of the top 10 contractors with the agency among providers of fuel and oil products, according to the firm Deltek, which tracks U.S.-government procurement data. A $479 million purchase order was finalized in May.
The Project on Government Oversight (POGO), which advocates for government transparency and whistleblower protections, shared its initial findings with The Post after tracking several months of commodities data. As this story was published, the group posted its own findings in a report titled “The Pentagon is Buying Fuel Made With Russian Oil,” written by investigator Jason Paladino.
Most of the additional records The Post used for this reporting were sourced from Refinitiv and Kpler, a platform that tracks global energy commodities. Together, the records show when products left a particular terminal, who owned the goods, which vessels they were shipped on and where they were unloaded. The Post also reviewed satellite imagery and ship-tracking data from MarineTraffic to confirm port visits by vessels.

The journey of vacuum gas oil​

One type of fuel oil that appears to take this circuitous journey from Russia to Greece is vacuum gas oil, which an analysis of the Motor Oil Hellas refinery by the research firm Wood Mackenzie shows is an ingredient in the types of jet fuel the refinery sells to the U.S. military.

2.jpg

3.jpg

4.jpg


Since February, all the vacuum gas oil that has gone to Dortyol, or at least 1.7 million barrels, has come from Russia, according to shipping data.
Shipping and trade records show 198,000 barrels of Russian vacuum gas oil arrived in Dortyol in July, having changed owners several times along the way. A shipment of a similar size moved from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas several weeks later. The same shipping pattern has played out many times since the U.S. and E.U. bans took effect, The Post found.
“There’s a stream of VGO going to Turkey and miraculously, the same VGO happens to end up in Greece,” said Viktor Katona, head of crude analysis at Kpler.
Once at Motor Oil Hellas, that vacuum gas oil is mixed in with much larger amounts of crude oil from other countries in a unit specially designed to make jet fuel with those ingredients.
Other Russian-origin fuel oil products that have been shipped to Dortyol in large quantities can be used to make naval diesel. Vessels from the Turkish terminal have then delivered such products to Motor Oil Hellas, which sells naval diesel to the U.S. military.
Under the sanctions, Motor Oil Hellas and other Western purchasers cannot import Russian petroleum products. They can import products made with Russian oil if that oil was extensively refined and turned into a different fuel after leaving Russia. In such circumstances, the new product can be labeled as having come from the country where the refining occurred, experts said.
Analysts said Dortyol does no such refining, and the owners of the terminal said in their statement that they “do not have any direct relationship with either refinery or producer.” Because of the infrastructure needed, the products could not be extensively refined while transiting the Black Sea.
“The sanctions are quite explicit on that,” said Alan Gelder, a vice president of refining, chemicals and oil markets research at Wood Mackenzie. “You need to put it through a refinery and a transformation process. That is not happening here.”

The U.S. military is picking up products from Motor Oil Hellas on tankers with names such as Overseas Sun Coast, Stena Polaris and Valtellina. The tankers are then depositing the fuel in such places as the Rota naval base in Spain, home to several U.S. warships, a U.S. Air Force base called Lajes Field located in the Azores Islands and NATO’s Souda base on the Greek island of Crete.
In early September, $38 million worth of jet fuel refined at Motor Oil Hellas using vacuum gas oil was loaded onto a U.S.-flagged tanker and delivered weeks later to Navy Support Facility Diego Garcia, a U.S. Navy base in the Indian Ocean.

5.jpg

MT Stena Polaris (T-AOT 5563), a tanker that delivers petroleum products to U.S. Department of Defense distribution facilities worldwide, departs Rota, Spain on June 23. (Hugo Polanco/MSC Marine Transport Specialist/U.S. Navy)


Jet fuel and naval diesel from Motor Oil Hellas is flowing through Europe and beyond at a time Western leaders are growing increasingly anxious about the effectiveness of the sanctions, and Ukrainian officials are warning the lax approach to enforcement is directly undermining its effort to expel Russian forces.
“No country in the world will be safe if we impose sanctions and do not enforce them,” Oleksandr Novikov, head of Ukraine’s National Agency on Corruption Prevention, said in a statement provided to The Post. “If Russia, despite the restrictions, is able to supply oil above the price cap and sell it to the countries that have imposed sanctions, will the threat of such sanctions deter other aggressors from starting a war? The answer is obvious: no.”
Turkey is hardly unique in helping facilitate robust sales of Russian fuel products. Refineries in India have been thirsty for Russian oil since the United States and the E.U. moved to impose the price cap. The cap enabled India to get a lucrative deal on Russian crude, which industry data show now accounts for 40 percent of the oil flowing into that country, where it is refined and can often then be exported elsewhere.
In theory, the sanctions were designed to allow the continued flow of such oil, so long as Russia is forced to sell it at a very deep discount. But lax enforcement is also leading to violations of the price cap, with widespread cheating allowing Russia to sell its oil for significantly more money than the sanctions allow.
The Biden administration’s threats of a crackdown are belied by the contracts of its own military, which experts say is complicit in sanctions evasion if it is using petroleum products that originated in Russia.
“The U.S. military has not done its due diligence on the origin of this oil,” said Isaac Levi, an analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a European nonprofit that tracks the flow of Russian oil. “It is not hard to see where it is coming from.”

 

Bogeyman 

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Forbidden Russian oil flows into Pentagon supply chain


After multiple changes of ownership, the fuel is sold to a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military, a Post examination finds


After Western nations announced bans on Russian oil last year in response to the invasion of Ukraine, a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military moved quickly to adapt. Within months, it told investors it had stopped accepting the forbidden oil and had found other sources instead.
But there was a reason Russian petroleum, on paper at least, could so easily be removed from the supply chain.

Petroleum products that originated in Russia kept flowing to the Motor Oil Hellas refinery on the Aegean Sea in Greece, a Washington Post examination of shipping and trade data found. They just took a new route, hundreds of miles out of the way through an oil storage facility in Turkey, a journey that obscured Russia’s imprint as ownership of the products changed hands multiple times before they reached Greece.

View attachment 62939

On the surface, the refinery’s sourcing of fuel oil from the Dortyol shipping terminal in Turkey seemed to affirm pronouncements by the White House and European leaders that embargoes on Russian oil were working as planned, depriving President Vladimir Putin of crucial revenue to fund his military aggression in Ukraine. The fact that those shipments contained material that originated in Russia underscores the porousness of the sanctions and the failure to aggressively enforce them.
The quantities of fuel oil shipped from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas, and the industry practice of mixing products of different origins as they are stored, ensure a large amount of product from Russia in the mix, according to industry experts with deep knowledge of oil flows and sanctions rules who reviewed the shipping and trade data at the request of The Post.
“I don’t see any other possible conclusion than Russian fuel is going to Motor Oil Hellas,” said Robert Auers, a refinery modeler and refined fuels market analyst at the research firm RBN Energy, who examined the Post findings.
The Post used shipping and other records to track the flow of fuel oil, a category of materials used to make products the Pentagon buys for ships and planes. The Project on Government Oversight, a nonprofit watchdog group based in Washington, surfaced some of those shipping records while preparing a report with information from Data Desk, a consulting firm that investigates fossil fuel companies.
Over the past two years, Dortyol received 5.4 million barrels of fuel oil by sea, all but 1.9 million from Russia, according to shipping records and trade data from Refinitiv, a financial-data firm that specializes in commodities markets. Since the European Union sanctions took effect in February, Russian shipments to Dortyol totaled 2.7 million barrels, or more than 69 percent of the fuel oil shipped by sea to Dortyol during that period.
Also since February, The Post found, Dortyol has shipped 7 million barrels of fuel oil overall, of which 4.2 million barrels went to Motor Oil Hellas. Those shipments accounted for at least 56 percent of all the fuel oil the Greek refinery received by ship.


The precise amount of Russian-origin fuel oil in the products the Pentagon purchases could not be determined. Those products are refined using multiple ingredients that cannot all be tracked through production.
It also could not be determined whether, at some point during its journey, the fuel oil from Russia was relabeled as having come from another country. The documents that describe the provenance of an oil shipment, known as certificates of origin, are not public records.

View attachment 62940

The Pentagon has inked nearly $1 billion worth of new contracts with the Greek refinery since the U.S. ban took effect in March of last year, federal contracting data show.
Since February, more than 1 million barrels of jet fuel from Motor Oil Hellas have also gone to government and corporate buyers in Italy, France, Spain and Britain, according to shipping records.

View attachment 62941

Joe Yoswa, a spokesman for the Pentagon’s Defense Logistics Agency, which handles fuel purchases for the U.S. military, said in an email that the agency has “no knowledge” of fuel from Russia being routed to its Greek supplier. The agency said its contractors, including Motor Oil Hellas, “are responsible for ensuring compliance with applicable laws and regulations concerning business with Russia and Russian companies” and “must certify their compliance with such laws and regulations as part of the acquisition process.”
There is only so much the Pentagon can do to police suppliers, Yoswa wrote. The products going into the fuels it purchases from Motor Oil Hellas are “subject to change on a constant basis and could be different from one delivery to the next,” he wrote. Tracing its origins “for a specific delivery of refined product would be difficult or impossible,” he wrote.
Motor Oil Hellas said in a statement that the company “does not buy, process or trade Russian oil or products. All its imports are certified of non sanctioned origin.” The company did not respond to specific questions about the nature of that certification, or whether it is taking any steps to ensure it is accurate.
Turkish state officials and representatives of the Turkish Petroleum Corporation, which took ownership of several of the fuel oil shipments to Dortyol, did not respond to questions regarding the fuel’s origin.
Officials at Global Terminal Services, which owns the Dortyol facility, said in an email they are merely an “intermediary” to store products and at no point own the products they store. They said they do not accept shipments from Russian-flagged vessels and “fully comply with applicable local and international rules and regulation,” including maintaining a “robust compliance process” regarding sanctions regimes.

View attachment 62942
The Sheskharis transshipment complex in Novorossiysk, Russia, one of the largest oil loading complexes for the transshipment of oil and petroleum products in southern Russia. The facility has been in operation since 1964. (Vitaly Timkiv/Sputnik/AP)


Under sanctions rules, Turkish facilities are permitted to accept Russian fuel. The Greek refinery cannot.

‘A very light regulatory approach’​

In at least five shipments this year from Russia to Dortyol, the fuel oil was initially owned by the Russian oil giant Rosneft, trade records show. After it was loaded onto a tanker on the Black Sea, the cargo was purchased in each case by a firm based in the United Arab Emirates. Ownership of the fuel oil was later transferred to entities controlled by the Turkish state oil company, and the product was delivered to Dortyol.
In an email to The Post, a Rosneft spokesperson said the company does not track the destination of the fuel it sells but is in “strict compliance with generally accepted international standards.” The UAE firm, Fossil Trading FZC, did not respond to requests for comment.
Under the guidelines for the E.U. embargo, purchasers “should exercise appropriate due diligence in assessing the origin of the oil and should rely on documentation at their disposal to determine the origin of the oil, which may include certificates of origin.”
U.S. and E.U. regulators have repeatedly warned companies that certificates of origin may be fraudulent. Numerous authorities and companies have the power to draw them up, and there is no centralized system to confirm their authenticity.
In the oil industry, Turkey has become known as a place where such certificates are unlikely to be challenged, said George Voloshin, a financial crime expert with the Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists.
“They are not actively trying to stop this,” Voloshin said. “They have no incentive. It is a very profitable trade that brings money to Turkey, which is on good terms with Russia. … So they take a very light regulatory approach, preferring to trust the documents given to them without questioning.”
Western sanctions were designed to strike a severe economic blow against Russia, where oil and gas revenue make up nearly half of the federal budget and help fund the war effort.
But the Russian economy has proved unexpectedly resilient, in no small part because of widespread sanctions evasion. Western leaders have taken a cautious approach to cracking down on violators, even as Russia’s oil revenue surged over the summer, climbing to levels not seen since before the ban was fully implemented. The cost of its oil has broken through a price cap imposed by the West, leaving the Biden administration grasping for strategies to stop sanctions evasion.
The Treasury Department, which administers and enforces economic sanctions, declined to respond to specific questions about the origin of products the U.S. government buys from Motor Oil Hellas, but issued a statement through spokeswoman Megan Apper. “We are focused on coordinating with our allies and partners to decrease Russia’s revenue from its oil sales and to limit the Kremlin’s ability to fund its barbaric war against Ukraine, including through our price cap on the maritime export of Russian energy exports,” she said.

Beyond penalties imposed on two shippers earlier this month, enforcement has been scant.

“This is clearly something you would think the administration would not want to have happen,” said Brian O’Toole, an Atlantic Council fellow and former senior adviser to the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), which oversees U.S. sanctions. “I would like to be able to say at least the part about the Department of Defense buying this fuel surprises me, but it doesn’t … Treasury has only just started to wade into enforcement of these sanctions.”
O’Toole and other sanctions experts said buying fuel that had simply been rebranded is off-limits for European refiners and their customers. And purchasers may be deemed liable even if they were not aware of the origin of a potentially sanctioned good, they said.
“OFAC has a long history of sanctioning people that should have known,” O’Toole said.
Motor Oil Hellas, a publicly traded firm, has been a key Pentagon supplier for years. Since the 2019 fiscal year, the Defense Logistics Agency has paid the company more than $1.1 billion, making it one of the top 10 contractors with the agency among providers of fuel and oil products, according to the firm Deltek, which tracks U.S.-government procurement data. A $479 million purchase order was finalized in May.
The Project on Government Oversight (POGO), which advocates for government transparency and whistleblower protections, shared its initial findings with The Post after tracking several months of commodities data. As this story was published, the group posted its own findings in a report titled “The Pentagon is Buying Fuel Made With Russian Oil,” written by investigator Jason Paladino.
Most of the additional records The Post used for this reporting were sourced from Refinitiv and Kpler, a platform that tracks global energy commodities. Together, the records show when products left a particular terminal, who owned the goods, which vessels they were shipped on and where they were unloaded. The Post also reviewed satellite imagery and ship-tracking data from MarineTraffic to confirm port visits by vessels.

The journey of vacuum gas oil​

One type of fuel oil that appears to take this circuitous journey from Russia to Greece is vacuum gas oil, which an analysis of the Motor Oil Hellas refinery by the research firm Wood Mackenzie shows is an ingredient in the types of jet fuel the refinery sells to the U.S. military.

View attachment 62943
View attachment 62944
View attachment 62945

Since February, all the vacuum gas oil that has gone to Dortyol, or at least 1.7 million barrels, has come from Russia, according to shipping data.
Shipping and trade records show 198,000 barrels of Russian vacuum gas oil arrived in Dortyol in July, having changed owners several times along the way. A shipment of a similar size moved from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas several weeks later. The same shipping pattern has played out many times since the U.S. and E.U. bans took effect, The Post found.
“There’s a stream of VGO going to Turkey and miraculously, the same VGO happens to end up in Greece,” said Viktor Katona, head of crude analysis at Kpler.
Once at Motor Oil Hellas, that vacuum gas oil is mixed in with much larger amounts of crude oil from other countries in a unit specially designed to make jet fuel with those ingredients.
Other Russian-origin fuel oil products that have been shipped to Dortyol in large quantities can be used to make naval diesel. Vessels from the Turkish terminal have then delivered such products to Motor Oil Hellas, which sells naval diesel to the U.S. military.
Under the sanctions, Motor Oil Hellas and other Western purchasers cannot import Russian petroleum products. They can import products made with Russian oil if that oil was extensively refined and turned into a different fuel after leaving Russia. In such circumstances, the new product can be labeled as having come from the country where the refining occurred, experts said.
Analysts said Dortyol does no such refining, and the owners of the terminal said in their statement that they “do not have any direct relationship with either refinery or producer.” Because of the infrastructure needed, the products could not be extensively refined while transiting the Black Sea.
“The sanctions are quite explicit on that,” said Alan Gelder, a vice president of refining, chemicals and oil markets research at Wood Mackenzie. “You need to put it through a refinery and a transformation process. That is not happening here.”

The U.S. military is picking up products from Motor Oil Hellas on tankers with names such as Overseas Sun Coast, Stena Polaris and Valtellina. The tankers are then depositing the fuel in such places as the Rota naval base in Spain, home to several U.S. warships, a U.S. Air Force base called Lajes Field located in the Azores Islands and NATO’s Souda base on the Greek island of Crete.
In early September, $38 million worth of jet fuel refined at Motor Oil Hellas using vacuum gas oil was loaded onto a U.S.-flagged tanker and delivered weeks later to Navy Support Facility Diego Garcia, a U.S. Navy base in the Indian Ocean.

View attachment 62946
MT Stena Polaris (T-AOT 5563), a tanker that delivers petroleum products to U.S. Department of Defense distribution facilities worldwide, departs Rota, Spain on June 23. (Hugo Polanco/MSC Marine Transport Specialist/U.S. Navy)


Jet fuel and naval diesel from Motor Oil Hellas is flowing through Europe and beyond at a time Western leaders are growing increasingly anxious about the effectiveness of the sanctions, and Ukrainian officials are warning the lax approach to enforcement is directly undermining its effort to expel Russian forces.
“No country in the world will be safe if we impose sanctions and do not enforce them,” Oleksandr Novikov, head of Ukraine’s National Agency on Corruption Prevention, said in a statement provided to The Post. “If Russia, despite the restrictions, is able to supply oil above the price cap and sell it to the countries that have imposed sanctions, will the threat of such sanctions deter other aggressors from starting a war? The answer is obvious: no.”
Turkey is hardly unique in helping facilitate robust sales of Russian fuel products. Refineries in India have been thirsty for Russian oil since the United States and the E.U. moved to impose the price cap. The cap enabled India to get a lucrative deal on Russian crude, which industry data show now accounts for 40 percent of the oil flowing into that country, where it is refined and can often then be exported elsewhere.
In theory, the sanctions were designed to allow the continued flow of such oil, so long as Russia is forced to sell it at a very deep discount. But lax enforcement is also leading to violations of the price cap, with widespread cheating allowing Russia to sell its oil for significantly more money than the sanctions allow.
The Biden administration’s threats of a crackdown are belied by the contracts of its own military, which experts say is complicit in sanctions evasion if it is using petroleum products that originated in Russia.
“The U.S. military has not done its due diligence on the origin of this oil,” said Isaac Levi, an analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a European nonprofit that tracks the flow of Russian oil. “It is not hard to see where it is coming from.”

@Cabatli_TR @MADDOG @Ryder @TR_123456 @Yasar @Anmdt @Mis_TR_Like @Test7 @Nilgiri @Kaan Azman
@dBSPL

Don't miss this movie, guys.
Russian companies sold oil to a UAE-based company (probably a front company).
The UAE-based company transferred oil to the Turks.
The Turks sold the oil to Greek refineries for processing.
The Greeks also processed and gave the oil to the Pentagon.

In short, on paper there is an embargo on Russian oil. But the US military buys Russian oil and loads it into bombers in the Indian Ocean.
 

TR_123456

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Forbidden Russian oil flows into Pentagon supply chain


After multiple changes of ownership, the fuel is sold to a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military, a Post examination finds


After Western nations announced bans on Russian oil last year in response to the invasion of Ukraine, a Greek refinery that serves the U.S. military moved quickly to adapt. Within months, it told investors it had stopped accepting the forbidden oil and had found other sources instead.
But there was a reason Russian petroleum, on paper at least, could so easily be removed from the supply chain.

Petroleum products that originated in Russia kept flowing to the Motor Oil Hellas refinery on the Aegean Sea in Greece, a Washington Post examination of shipping and trade data found. They just took a new route, hundreds of miles out of the way through an oil storage facility in Turkey, a journey that obscured Russia’s imprint as ownership of the products changed hands multiple times before they reached Greece.

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On the surface, the refinery’s sourcing of fuel oil from the Dortyol shipping terminal in Turkey seemed to affirm pronouncements by the White House and European leaders that embargoes on Russian oil were working as planned, depriving President Vladimir Putin of crucial revenue to fund his military aggression in Ukraine. The fact that those shipments contained material that originated in Russia underscores the porousness of the sanctions and the failure to aggressively enforce them.
The quantities of fuel oil shipped from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas, and the industry practice of mixing products of different origins as they are stored, ensure a large amount of product from Russia in the mix, according to industry experts with deep knowledge of oil flows and sanctions rules who reviewed the shipping and trade data at the request of The Post.
“I don’t see any other possible conclusion than Russian fuel is going to Motor Oil Hellas,” said Robert Auers, a refinery modeler and refined fuels market analyst at the research firm RBN Energy, who examined the Post findings.
The Post used shipping and other records to track the flow of fuel oil, a category of materials used to make products the Pentagon buys for ships and planes. The Project on Government Oversight, a nonprofit watchdog group based in Washington, surfaced some of those shipping records while preparing a report with information from Data Desk, a consulting firm that investigates fossil fuel companies.
Over the past two years, Dortyol received 5.4 million barrels of fuel oil by sea, all but 1.9 million from Russia, according to shipping records and trade data from Refinitiv, a financial-data firm that specializes in commodities markets. Since the European Union sanctions took effect in February, Russian shipments to Dortyol totaled 2.7 million barrels, or more than 69 percent of the fuel oil shipped by sea to Dortyol during that period.
Also since February, The Post found, Dortyol has shipped 7 million barrels of fuel oil overall, of which 4.2 million barrels went to Motor Oil Hellas. Those shipments accounted for at least 56 percent of all the fuel oil the Greek refinery received by ship.


The precise amount of Russian-origin fuel oil in the products the Pentagon purchases could not be determined. Those products are refined using multiple ingredients that cannot all be tracked through production.
It also could not be determined whether, at some point during its journey, the fuel oil from Russia was relabeled as having come from another country. The documents that describe the provenance of an oil shipment, known as certificates of origin, are not public records.

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The Pentagon has inked nearly $1 billion worth of new contracts with the Greek refinery since the U.S. ban took effect in March of last year, federal contracting data show.
Since February, more than 1 million barrels of jet fuel from Motor Oil Hellas have also gone to government and corporate buyers in Italy, France, Spain and Britain, according to shipping records.

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Joe Yoswa, a spokesman for the Pentagon’s Defense Logistics Agency, which handles fuel purchases for the U.S. military, said in an email that the agency has “no knowledge” of fuel from Russia being routed to its Greek supplier. The agency said its contractors, including Motor Oil Hellas, “are responsible for ensuring compliance with applicable laws and regulations concerning business with Russia and Russian companies” and “must certify their compliance with such laws and regulations as part of the acquisition process.”
There is only so much the Pentagon can do to police suppliers, Yoswa wrote. The products going into the fuels it purchases from Motor Oil Hellas are “subject to change on a constant basis and could be different from one delivery to the next,” he wrote. Tracing its origins “for a specific delivery of refined product would be difficult or impossible,” he wrote.
Motor Oil Hellas said in a statement that the company “does not buy, process or trade Russian oil or products. All its imports are certified of non sanctioned origin.” The company did not respond to specific questions about the nature of that certification, or whether it is taking any steps to ensure it is accurate.
Turkish state officials and representatives of the Turkish Petroleum Corporation, which took ownership of several of the fuel oil shipments to Dortyol, did not respond to questions regarding the fuel’s origin.
Officials at Global Terminal Services, which owns the Dortyol facility, said in an email they are merely an “intermediary” to store products and at no point own the products they store. They said they do not accept shipments from Russian-flagged vessels and “fully comply with applicable local and international rules and regulation,” including maintaining a “robust compliance process” regarding sanctions regimes.

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The Sheskharis transshipment complex in Novorossiysk, Russia, one of the largest oil loading complexes for the transshipment of oil and petroleum products in southern Russia. The facility has been in operation since 1964. (Vitaly Timkiv/Sputnik/AP)


Under sanctions rules, Turkish facilities are permitted to accept Russian fuel. The Greek refinery cannot.

‘A very light regulatory approach’​

In at least five shipments this year from Russia to Dortyol, the fuel oil was initially owned by the Russian oil giant Rosneft, trade records show. After it was loaded onto a tanker on the Black Sea, the cargo was purchased in each case by a firm based in the United Arab Emirates. Ownership of the fuel oil was later transferred to entities controlled by the Turkish state oil company, and the product was delivered to Dortyol.
In an email to The Post, a Rosneft spokesperson said the company does not track the destination of the fuel it sells but is in “strict compliance with generally accepted international standards.” The UAE firm, Fossil Trading FZC, did not respond to requests for comment.
Under the guidelines for the E.U. embargo, purchasers “should exercise appropriate due diligence in assessing the origin of the oil and should rely on documentation at their disposal to determine the origin of the oil, which may include certificates of origin.”
U.S. and E.U. regulators have repeatedly warned companies that certificates of origin may be fraudulent. Numerous authorities and companies have the power to draw them up, and there is no centralized system to confirm their authenticity.
In the oil industry, Turkey has become known as a place where such certificates are unlikely to be challenged, said George Voloshin, a financial crime expert with the Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists.
“They are not actively trying to stop this,” Voloshin said. “They have no incentive. It is a very profitable trade that brings money to Turkey, which is on good terms with Russia. … So they take a very light regulatory approach, preferring to trust the documents given to them without questioning.”
Western sanctions were designed to strike a severe economic blow against Russia, where oil and gas revenue make up nearly half of the federal budget and help fund the war effort.
But the Russian economy has proved unexpectedly resilient, in no small part because of widespread sanctions evasion. Western leaders have taken a cautious approach to cracking down on violators, even as Russia’s oil revenue surged over the summer, climbing to levels not seen since before the ban was fully implemented. The cost of its oil has broken through a price cap imposed by the West, leaving the Biden administration grasping for strategies to stop sanctions evasion.
The Treasury Department, which administers and enforces economic sanctions, declined to respond to specific questions about the origin of products the U.S. government buys from Motor Oil Hellas, but issued a statement through spokeswoman Megan Apper. “We are focused on coordinating with our allies and partners to decrease Russia’s revenue from its oil sales and to limit the Kremlin’s ability to fund its barbaric war against Ukraine, including through our price cap on the maritime export of Russian energy exports,” she said.

Beyond penalties imposed on two shippers earlier this month, enforcement has been scant.

“This is clearly something you would think the administration would not want to have happen,” said Brian O’Toole, an Atlantic Council fellow and former senior adviser to the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), which oversees U.S. sanctions. “I would like to be able to say at least the part about the Department of Defense buying this fuel surprises me, but it doesn’t … Treasury has only just started to wade into enforcement of these sanctions.”
O’Toole and other sanctions experts said buying fuel that had simply been rebranded is off-limits for European refiners and their customers. And purchasers may be deemed liable even if they were not aware of the origin of a potentially sanctioned good, they said.
“OFAC has a long history of sanctioning people that should have known,” O’Toole said.
Motor Oil Hellas, a publicly traded firm, has been a key Pentagon supplier for years. Since the 2019 fiscal year, the Defense Logistics Agency has paid the company more than $1.1 billion, making it one of the top 10 contractors with the agency among providers of fuel and oil products, according to the firm Deltek, which tracks U.S.-government procurement data. A $479 million purchase order was finalized in May.
The Project on Government Oversight (POGO), which advocates for government transparency and whistleblower protections, shared its initial findings with The Post after tracking several months of commodities data. As this story was published, the group posted its own findings in a report titled “The Pentagon is Buying Fuel Made With Russian Oil,” written by investigator Jason Paladino.
Most of the additional records The Post used for this reporting were sourced from Refinitiv and Kpler, a platform that tracks global energy commodities. Together, the records show when products left a particular terminal, who owned the goods, which vessels they were shipped on and where they were unloaded. The Post also reviewed satellite imagery and ship-tracking data from MarineTraffic to confirm port visits by vessels.

The journey of vacuum gas oil​

One type of fuel oil that appears to take this circuitous journey from Russia to Greece is vacuum gas oil, which an analysis of the Motor Oil Hellas refinery by the research firm Wood Mackenzie shows is an ingredient in the types of jet fuel the refinery sells to the U.S. military.

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Since February, all the vacuum gas oil that has gone to Dortyol, or at least 1.7 million barrels, has come from Russia, according to shipping data.
Shipping and trade records show 198,000 barrels of Russian vacuum gas oil arrived in Dortyol in July, having changed owners several times along the way. A shipment of a similar size moved from Dortyol to Motor Oil Hellas several weeks later. The same shipping pattern has played out many times since the U.S. and E.U. bans took effect, The Post found.
“There’s a stream of VGO going to Turkey and miraculously, the same VGO happens to end up in Greece,” said Viktor Katona, head of crude analysis at Kpler.
Once at Motor Oil Hellas, that vacuum gas oil is mixed in with much larger amounts of crude oil from other countries in a unit specially designed to make jet fuel with those ingredients.
Other Russian-origin fuel oil products that have been shipped to Dortyol in large quantities can be used to make naval diesel. Vessels from the Turkish terminal have then delivered such products to Motor Oil Hellas, which sells naval diesel to the U.S. military.
Under the sanctions, Motor Oil Hellas and other Western purchasers cannot import Russian petroleum products. They can import products made with Russian oil if that oil was extensively refined and turned into a different fuel after leaving Russia. In such circumstances, the new product can be labeled as having come from the country where the refining occurred, experts said.
Analysts said Dortyol does no such refining, and the owners of the terminal said in their statement that they “do not have any direct relationship with either refinery or producer.” Because of the infrastructure needed, the products could not be extensively refined while transiting the Black Sea.
“The sanctions are quite explicit on that,” said Alan Gelder, a vice president of refining, chemicals and oil markets research at Wood Mackenzie. “You need to put it through a refinery and a transformation process. That is not happening here.”

The U.S. military is picking up products from Motor Oil Hellas on tankers with names such as Overseas Sun Coast, Stena Polaris and Valtellina. The tankers are then depositing the fuel in such places as the Rota naval base in Spain, home to several U.S. warships, a U.S. Air Force base called Lajes Field located in the Azores Islands and NATO’s Souda base on the Greek island of Crete.
In early September, $38 million worth of jet fuel refined at Motor Oil Hellas using vacuum gas oil was loaded onto a U.S.-flagged tanker and delivered weeks later to Navy Support Facility Diego Garcia, a U.S. Navy base in the Indian Ocean.

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MT Stena Polaris (T-AOT 5563), a tanker that delivers petroleum products to U.S. Department of Defense distribution facilities worldwide, departs Rota, Spain on June 23. (Hugo Polanco/MSC Marine Transport Specialist/U.S. Navy)


Jet fuel and naval diesel from Motor Oil Hellas is flowing through Europe and beyond at a time Western leaders are growing increasingly anxious about the effectiveness of the sanctions, and Ukrainian officials are warning the lax approach to enforcement is directly undermining its effort to expel Russian forces.
“No country in the world will be safe if we impose sanctions and do not enforce them,” Oleksandr Novikov, head of Ukraine’s National Agency on Corruption Prevention, said in a statement provided to The Post. “If Russia, despite the restrictions, is able to supply oil above the price cap and sell it to the countries that have imposed sanctions, will the threat of such sanctions deter other aggressors from starting a war? The answer is obvious: no.”
Turkey is hardly unique in helping facilitate robust sales of Russian fuel products. Refineries in India have been thirsty for Russian oil since the United States and the E.U. moved to impose the price cap. The cap enabled India to get a lucrative deal on Russian crude, which industry data show now accounts for 40 percent of the oil flowing into that country, where it is refined and can often then be exported elsewhere.
In theory, the sanctions were designed to allow the continued flow of such oil, so long as Russia is forced to sell it at a very deep discount. But lax enforcement is also leading to violations of the price cap, with widespread cheating allowing Russia to sell its oil for significantly more money than the sanctions allow.
The Biden administration’s threats of a crackdown are belied by the contracts of its own military, which experts say is complicit in sanctions evasion if it is using petroleum products that originated in Russia.
“The U.S. military has not done its due diligence on the origin of this oil,” said Isaac Levi, an analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a European nonprofit that tracks the flow of Russian oil. “It is not hard to see where it is coming from.”

Nothing new,iran is frontrunner in these dealings for decades now.
 

Bogeyman 

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Iran also used and still uses Turkish companies and banks(remember Halkbank).

Check this out,
My friend, here we are talking about the US embargo on Russian oil in the middle of the Ukraine war, but how Russian oil is turned into jet fuel and loaded onto US B-52H bombers. And maybe these planes will take off for Taiwan one day. And again, there is a possibility that those Russians will also intervene in the Taiwan crisis. (well, they frequently conduct exercises with China in the South China Sea). However, they will be unaware that the US bombers coming to bomb them are using the processed version of Russian oil.

The Halkbank issue is nothing more than a neighborhood fight compared to this chaos.
 

TR_123456

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However, they will be unaware that the US bombers coming to bomb them are using the processed version of Russian oil.
Maybe cause that scenario is never going to happen?
 

Bogeyman 

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Maybe cause that scenario is never going to happen?

JUST IN: JAPAN CONCERNED OVER CHINA AND NORTH KOREA Due to Beijing's heightened military activities near Taiwan, there is an elevated apprehension of Japan becoming entangled in a potential conflict Japan is conducting a nationwide military drill involving around 40,000 members of the Japan Self-Defense Forces and the US military, starting today The exercise recognizes the vulnerability of Japanese military bases, which could be targeted in potential conflicts, particularly by Chinese missile strikes Source: Eurasian Time
In the latest news, China is building a military buildup for Taiwan and the Japanese are also conducting 10-day exercises across the country.
The Philippines-US China tension already seems to be saying something.
Even if China is only showing teeth for now, they will not remain silent when the US responds in the Philippines. It's looking at a US warship being "accidentally" bombed as escalation escalates to insane levels.

After that, there will be a full military buildup.
 

Kartal1

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In the end no matter how big you are everything comes to your natural resources reserves, how secure are your natural resources supply chains, the ability to refine these resources, the ability to respond to the demand of your fighting force and industry, the strategic planning of your logistics routes, the capability to secure the safe deliveries of these resources in order to continue operations.

For example if the US has difficulties to supply itself with oil without buying oil from Russia in relatively peace time what would happen when the demands rise if the US enters a hypothetically global conflict? What is the real reason of US buying oil from Russia while Russia is being sanctioned on paper? What is the problem with diversification of supplies for the US? While this problem is also noted in DoD reports why the US is not taking the needed steps to ensure the supplies for its demands both in terms of quantities but also in security of delivery?
 

Ryder

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Lmaoo Turks and Greeks were accusing each other of doing the very same thing both are doing hahahahaha

Geopolitics is full of hypocrises and lies. Its also cruel.

USA should be sanctioning itself. Resmen lies upon lies against the Ukrainian people. When the USA uses Russian oil to fuel its military.
 

Kartal1

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Lmaoo Turks and Greeks were accusing each other of doing the very same thing both are doing hahahahaha

Geopolitics is full of hypocrises and lies. Its also cruel.

USA should be sanctioning itself. Resmen lies upon lies against the Ukrainian people. When the USA uses Russian oil to fuel its military.
Politics is a dirty word for the pure human being. There are interests and nothing more.
 

Nilgiri

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@Cabatli_TR @MADDOG @Ryder @TR_123456 @Yasar @Anmdt @Mis_TR_Like @Test7 @Nilgiri @Kaan Azman
@dBSPL

Don't miss this movie, guys.
Russian companies sold oil to a UAE-based company (probably a front company).
The UAE-based company transferred oil to the Turks.
The Turks sold the oil to Greek refineries for processing.
The Greeks also processed and gave the oil to the Pentagon.

In short, on paper there is an embargo on Russian oil. But the US military buys Russian oil and loads it into bombers in the Indian Ocean.

It was always going to fail as simply China still has a 3 trillion forex stockpile and about a 11 trillion market cap.

Putting aside India and "India in 10 years and 20 years" from now projections to add on top of this etc.

Essentially means huge amount of finance for shipping insurance outside the West and large parts of this networked back into Western equity as well (some direct ownership of US equity, other by cascade fashion like you mention through EU and so on).

Oil is just literally the fuel and lubricant for these channels crafted over last 30 years.

If US stuck to its 90s govt spending compromise (i.e balanced budgets achieved and PASSED for first time since Vietnam and the "Continuing resolution +debt" era never took off) and also coerced Europe, Japan etc to do the same....then you get a very different picture today....as then US powder would be far drier (and more of it) and China's own ship would be running tighter so to speak. But this didnt happen.

The US deep state simply didnt care much, just like it didnt care about ramifications of NATO expansion towards Russia.

The hubris of DC + Wallstreet is off the scale...and this is just the first tranches catching up with them.

The oil price cap failure is symptomatic, just like SFO streets being cleared of homeless and their excrement temporarily while Xi visits. The Western "liberal" is a rotten spoiled dullard in general these days.
 

Ryder

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Thats crazy Humans will never give up oil.

Oil will continue to power our industries for centuries to come.

Even if we lessen its use we will still use oil. This is what Toyota realised hence why they are developing hybrids both electric and hydrogen.
 

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