Russia And Ukraine Are Adapting For The Next Phase Of The War
As the conflict enters its third summer, another phase of the war will start, with Russia renewing its offensive and Ukraine needing to adapt its defensive strategy.
www.forbes.com
They note that the occupiers are probably preparing the ground for a summer offensive.
Moscow’s strategy covers both increased air strikes on Ukrainian energy facilities and front-line “achievements” - for example, the capture of the city of Chasov Yar (the occupiers are set to take it before May 9).
The latter will open the way for Russia to occupy the entire Donetsk region - analysts have repeatedly noted this. Although, as of April 21, Chasov Yar is controlled by the Ukrainian army.
with Ukraine running low on artillery rounds, they will need to shift and adopt a new strategy, perhaps leveraging tactics more in line with American military doctrine. This shift emphasizes defensive actions that stall enemy advances, while simultaneously maintaining the ability to quickly transition to offense, allowing Ukraine to punch holes in the stretched Russian lines. Such an offense would not only target weaker portions in the Russian offense but may also involve moving into the Crimean Peninsula. This in turn would allow the Ukrainian forces to envelope Russian forces, disrupt Russian momentum, and help Ukraine regain the initiative on the battlefield. Importantly, these tactics rely less heavily on artillery and more on maneuver elements like armor and infantry.
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