TR Defence Exports & Updates

Sanchez

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Zafer

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That is a bullshit source who acknowledged lying directly when it suited his needs. It's worse than a bad source.

Japan is still yet to buy TB2s for army trials; I don't see TB3 for the navy yet. Wish they did.
I don't know how they find those news, but it is absolutely more appropriate for the Japanese Navy to go for the TB3 as they have the ships that can benefit from it while their army can find other makers for the role of the TB2. We may be waiting longer to find out the truth of the matter but it is already like a no brainer.
 

Fuzuli NL

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Turkish defense giant ASELSAN posts record export contracts​


AnalysisNewsPRESS RELEASES
By Emily Ryan Miller

Apr 29, 2026

Modified date: Apr 29, 2026
EJDERHA system
Key Points
  • ASELSAN reported Q1 2026 revenue of 34.3 billion Turkish lira, a 15% real increase, with new export contracts rising 69% to $629 million.
  • The company's backlog reached $20.7 billion, R&D expenditures hit $357 million, and serial production investments surged 261% to $137 million.
Largest Turkish defense electronics company posted its strongest quarterly export performance in years on April 28, 2026 — and the numbers behind ASELSAN’s first-quarter results suggest a company that has moved well beyond its domestic market roots.
ASELSAN, the most valuable company listed on Borsa İstanbul, reported inflation-adjusted revenue of 34.3 billion Turkish lira for the first three months of 2026, a 15 percent increase in real terms compared to the same period of the previous year. New export contracts signed in the first quarter reached $629 million — a 69 percent increase year-over-year — with exports accounting for half of all new contracts signed during the period. The company’s total backlog climbed 39 percent to $20.7 billion, while new contracts overall reached $1.3 billion. Investments for serial production jumped 261 percent to $137 million, and research and development expenditures rose 41 percent to $357 million.
Those figures, disclosed to the Public Disclosure Platform in accordance with Turkish financial reporting requirements, paint a picture of a defense company accelerating in multiple directions simultaneously — revenue, exports, backlog, investment, and R&D all moving upward in the same quarter. The EBITDA margin reached 25.2 percent, a 260 basis-point improvement over the same period last year, with EBITDA itself rising 28 percent to 8.6 billion Turkish lira. The Net Debt/EBITDA ratio fell from 0.60 to 0.41, reflecting a balance sheet that is getting stronger as the company grows rather than straining under its own expansion.


The revenue performance in the first quarter was driven by a specific set of product categories that reveal where ASELSAN’s demand is concentrated: Steel Dome, radar, electronic warfare, military communications, AI-supported urban security, electro-optics, and guided munition systems. Steel Dome — Turkey’s layered air and missile defense system — has become one of ASELSAN’s signature programs, and its appearance at the top of the revenue driver list reflects the global surge in demand for air defense capability that has reshaped defense procurement since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Radar and electronic warfare systems follow, categories where ASELSAN has invested heavily in indigenous development and where export interest from customers seeking alternatives to Western or Russian suppliers has grown substantially.
CEO Ahmet Akyol framed the quarter’s performance in the context of a multi-year growth trajectory: “Having recorded growth rates of 5% in the first quarter of 2024 and 9% in the same period of 2025, our Company expanded by 15% in the first quarter of 2026, with our revenue reaching TL 34.3 billion, a 69% increase in our export contracts to USD 629 Million, and outstanding orders reaching USD 20.7 Billion confirms the resilience and sustainability of our business model.” The acceleration in that growth rate — from 5 percent to 9 percent to 15 percent across three consecutive first quarters — is the detail that stands out. ASELSAN is not maintaining growth; it is compounding it.
The investment surge deserves particular attention. A 261 percent increase in serial production investment in a single quarter — reaching $137 million — is not routine capacity maintenance. It signals a company that has demand it cannot yet fill at current production rates and is spending aggressively to close that gap. Akyol confirmed the logic: “We have already realized half of last year’s total investment volume within this first quarter alone. Behind this investment appetite lies the intense need and demand for ASELSAN’s products and technologies.” The Oğulbey Technology Base, described as the largest single defense industry investment in the history of the Turkish Republic, sits at the center of this expansion. The facility — whose foundation was laid in 2025 — will provide additional production capacity specifically for Steel Dome components, with the first phase scheduled for commissioning in the second half of 2026.
The R&D figure — $357 million in a single quarter — places ASELSAN in a category of defense companies that treat technology investment as a competitive weapon rather than an overhead cost. For context, that quarterly R&D spend exceeds the annual defense budgets of multiple small NATO members. Akyol connected that investment to product delivery ambitions: “We aim to take the success we achieved last year by delivering 286 thousand products to end-users to the next level by exceeding the 400-thousand-unit threshold this year.” Moving from 286,000 to 400,000 units delivered in a single year requires both the production capacity being built at Oğulbey and the technology pipeline the R&D spending is designed to sustain.
The export dimension of the quarter carries strategic weight beyond the revenue line. Half of all new contracts signed in the first quarter came from international customers — a ratio that would have been unthinkable for ASELSAN a decade ago, when the company’s revenues were almost entirely domestic. Akyol noted that the NATO Secretary General visited ASELSAN during the period, calling it “a valuable indicator” that the company’s position within the global defense ecosystem is now recognized at a strategic level. A NATO Secretary General visiting a Turkish defense company is not a routine diplomatic courtesy. It signals that ASELSAN has become relevant to alliance-level defense industrial conversations in a way that domestic producers rarely achieve.
ASELSAN enters the second quarter with a $20.7 billion backlog, accelerating investments, and three new product launches planned for SAHA Istanbul — Turkey’s major defense trade show scheduled for the coming week. Whatever those three launches reveal, they arrive at a moment when the company’s financial foundation has never been stronger.
 

Zafer

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Aselsan is at 12th position among stock market defence companies but the companies ahead of it were at the same size as Aselsan is now just a year back. I can imagine Aselsan to climb up to 7th position over time under favorable conditions.
 

Khagan1923

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What else has TAI sold so far besides the Hürjet?
Wrong question. The right question is, what could TAI sell currently on mass to net them billions in sales and currently the answer is nothing.

Gökbey still undergoing tests even though a very small number have been "delivered".
Kaan needs at least half a decade and TF35000.
Hürjet is not even yet in serial production though I believe we will see more countries purchase it in the following years.
T-925 doesn't even have a prototype or engines at that.

TAI also should be more focused on satisfying requirements and demans of TSK instead of hunting export success. Doesn't mean it won't come but that shouldn't be their priority.

2030s we will see TAI make billions in sales most likely.
 

dBSPL

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Although TUSAŞ is not a publicly traded company listed on the BIST (Istanbul Stock Exchange), as an organization affiliated with the Turkish Armed Forces Strengthening Foundation, it discloses significant financial data within the framework of transparency principles and within the scope of industry research studies such as the ISO 500. For example, the company's sales targets, export activities, and total R&D budgets are periodically shared with the press on a yearly basis. Its relatively low visibility in some international industry ranking studies does not mean it is absent from those rankings.

As an most important referance, TUSAŞ rose to 47th place in the Defense News Top 100 list in September 2025,. The company's defense industry revenue for 2024, which determined its place on this list, was recorded at approximately $3.15 billion. According to the TUSAŞ General Manager, the company closed 2025 with a turnover of $4 billion, a 22% increase compared to the previous year. As of 2025, the company's exports exceeded the $1 billion mark for the first time. TUSAŞ has maintained its title as Türkiye's top R&D spender during the 2024-2025 period. According to the 2025 data, its annual R&D investment stands at 51.5 billion TL. It is natural to expect this increase to accelerate from 2026 onwards, as projects like KAAN, HÜRJET, and ANKA-III transition from the prototype stage to a model focused on mass production and delivery. Therefore, when it comes to company valuation in the coming years, TUSAŞ is expected to be one of the top 2-3 companies on this global list that will make the most significant leap.
 

Zafer

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Although TUSAŞ is not a publicly traded company listed on the BIST (Istanbul Stock Exchange), as an organization affiliated with the Turkish Armed Forces Strengthening Foundation, it discloses significant financial data within the framework of transparency principles and within the scope of industry research studies such as the ISO 500. For example, the company's sales targets, export activities, and total R&D budgets are periodically shared with the press on a yearly basis. Its relatively low visibility in some international industry ranking studies does not mean it is absent from those rankings.

As an most important referance, TUSAŞ rose to 47th place in the Defense News Top 100 list in September 2025,. The company's defense industry revenue for 2024, which determined its place on this list, was recorded at approximately $3.15 billion. According to the TUSAŞ General Manager, the company closed 2025 with a turnover of $4 billion, a 22% increase compared to the previous year. As of 2025, the company's exports exceeded the $1 billion mark for the first time. TUSAŞ has maintained its title as Türkiye's top R&D spender during the 2024-2025 period. According to the 2025 data, its annual R&D investment stands at 51.5 billion TL. It is natural to expect this increase to accelerate from 2026 onwards, as projects like KAAN, HÜRJET, and ANKA-III transition from the prototype stage to a model focused on mass production and delivery. Therefore, when it comes to company valuation in the coming years, TUSAŞ is expected to be one of the top 2-3 companies on this global list that will make the most significant leap.
You can determine a market value by comparison but it is not readily available in listings showing market valuation. It is only relevant when people can buy company stock. Otherwise there are other companies than TAI to take into consideration, there are like a dozen multi billion dollar defence companies in Türkiye. And their valuation will certainly go much higher in the next couple of years as their sales shoot up.
 

dBSPL

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You can determine a market value by comparison but it is not readily available in listings showing market valuation. It is only relevant when people can buy company stock. Otherwise there are other companies than TAI to take into consideration, there are like a dozen multi billion dollar defence companies in Türkiye. And their valuation will certainly go much higher in the next couple of years as their sales shoot up.
You’re right; stock market data provides real-time liquidity. However, a company’s value is measured not only by tradability but by its "Enterprise Value" (EV). Giants like General Atomics or Sierra Nevada Corp on the Defense News Top 100 prove that being privately held doesn't mean a lack of market valuation.

To put this into perspective, if we apply a dual-method valuation to TUSAŞ’s $4B revenue:
-Revenue Approach: Using a sector-standard 2.2x multiplier, we see a theoretical value of $8.8B.
-EBITDA Approach: Based on typical 15-20% margins and a standard 15x EBITDA multiple, the valuation aligns between $9B and $12B.

It is important to note that these estimates are conservative averages. In an optimistic scenario considering TUSAŞ’s role as Türkiye's top R&D spender and the scarcity of 5th-generation fighter jet manufacturers globally, the market premium could push these figures significantly higher. TUSAŞ has reached this scale before the massive revenue streams from KAAN, HÜRJET, and ANKA-III have even hit the balance sheets. Once these platforms transition from prototypes to global deliveries, the jump in both cash flow and "Backlog Value" will be exponential. If TUSAŞ is already at this level today, it is undoubtedly one of the top candidates globally for the most significant valuation surge in the coming years.
 
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