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  1. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Ukraine targeting Russia with weapons provided by the West would be the stupidest thing to do? Would you advocate leaving intact Russian bases in Russia proper so that they can be used to launch attacks on Ukraine indefinitely? Do you think it sensible that attacks on Ukraine from within Russia...
  2. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    A good way to reduce the glide bomb damage to Ukraine is to strike the bases in Russia from which aircraft carrying them take off. Ukraine seems to be able to neutralise all or nearly all attack drones if numbers do not swamp defences.
  3. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Fighting vehicles: I think Russia is losing tanks many times faster than it is producing new ones. I read that a lot of stored tanks are being brought back into service but they are older types and the stock is finite. IISS estimate for 2023 T-90 production: 60-70 IISS estimate for 2024 T-90...
  4. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I think that what happens in the next few months depends on - continuing American support by the next administration (low probability IMO) - continuing EU, UK, Norway support (high probability IMO) - whether rules of engagement allow Ukraine to use donated weapons to attack Russia - whether...
  5. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    One thing that is clear to me is that the US has little interest in providing Ukraine with the unfettered means to win the conflict. It appears to see the Ukraine war as a proxy contest between itself and Russia, one aimed to drain Russia militarily and financially. Provided Russia does not...
  6. Spitfire9

    TR Propulsion Systems

    It would be interesting to see how close Kale could get to existing GE, GE/SAFRAN, P&W and RR civil aviation engines in the next 10-20 years.
  7. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    I thought this was about propulsion systems, not about how they would propel Turkiye to world domination.
  8. Spitfire9

    Korea KF-X/ IF-X (KF-21) program

    Indeed. In any event, ROK suppliers to Indonesia for KF-21 would need export credit guarantees which would cost a fortune: what premium do you charge to insure against non-payment by a customer with a long history of not paying? The only way I see for ROK suppliers to supply Indonesia would be...
  9. Spitfire9

    Korea KF-X/ IF-X (KF-21) program

    It is a long time since I heard any talk of an Indonesian KF-21 assembly line. I presume that plan has been shelved or scrapped.
  10. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    I commented on Erdogan's lack of diplomacy when speaking in public to the the German chancellor. If a statesman wants to influence another statesman, he is almost certainly going to fail if he behaves the way Erdogan did in Germany. If the prime minister of my country behaved in Turkiye as the...
  11. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    I heard what Erdogan said. I was listening attentively and was astonished at his undiplomatic performance. If the idea of going to Germany was to publicly embarrass the German chancellor, he succeeded all too well. Tell me: in international diplomacy, is that the way you gain the cooperation of...
  12. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    Where is the manipulation in the post I passed on? Turkiye does not have good diplomatic relations with France, Germany or Sweden. Like it or dislike it, that is the case, is it not?
  13. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    I was suggesting that Turkiye act to safeguard in its own interests by ensuring access to an engine for KAAN until an indigenous one is available. Since it is unlikely that any country will attack Turkiye in the near future, perhaps it would not matter greatly if F110 for KAAN were blocked and...
  14. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    I have not followed closely but I thought the last barriers to the F-16 deal had been removed and a contract had been signed. If Russia or China would be happy to help with engines, that is good. What is not so good is that Russian engines are not as good as US, French and British engines and...
  15. Spitfire9

    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    Posted on another aviation forum: Worth thinking about. It would be an idea to try to maintain relations with the US to ensure that F110 engine supply for KAAN is not blocked. If that happened, the consequences would be bad.
  16. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    So long as Ukraine is prevented from using donated weapons to neutralise bases in Russia used for strikes into Ukraine, Russia can conduct strikes into Ukraine indefinitely. You cannot win a war is such circumstances. PS Imagine that Turkiye could not use its weapons to strike outside its...
  17. Spitfire9

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    What are the chances of the proposed Ukraine Act going through?
  18. Spitfire9

    TR TF-X KAAN Fighter Jet

    I think that the Tempest project is still in definition phase. A decision on going ahead with Tempest is not due until 2025.
  19. Spitfire9

    USA US Presidential Elections 2024

    Trump is incapable of friendship. Trump will betray anyone and anything if he sees he can get something out of it. He is devoid of any integrity. I'm not saying that other politicians are full of it, only that it is completely absent in Trump.
  20. Spitfire9

    USA US Presidential Elections 2024

    Well, Michelle Obama is from a racial minority and is a woman, so she qualifies! For people who gamble, the odds at the moment on who becomes president Trump 0.58 Harris 2.3 Obama 31.0 (Bet 1 euro on Trump and if he wins, you win 0.58 euros)

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