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I think it will pose opportunities to drive wedges between different actors. I think there will be a push towards independent foreign policy from U.S. in many of these countries and there's a chance they go their own way on individual issues.

Also with Trump being very pro-fracking, and the resolving of Ukraine war faster than it would under Harris, price of oil and gas will plummet, which will help our current account deficit massively.

I should've gone with the "dem vote = polling average minus 3-4%" formula once again but I foolishly thought the polls should have corrected the biases they have in sampling. Statistics is the bane of the sciences. The thing I learn from this mistake is that the influence of social media on...

That requires knowing the ins and outs of U.S. political system and an understanding of how you can influence it with veteran diplomats and a well-researched strategy. Instead we have people who think Capitol Hill is the most consistent and rational individual human being in the entire history...

interesting:

I've bet on it being close and creating chaos; bearish on markets.

I'd put the chances at 65-35 for Harris, 8/15.

If any of these political forces were serious about any of these issues, there'd be a strategy to infiltrate hdp, create factions inside, break it apart, make its supporters distrust its members, make it controlled oppo, etc.; the fact that during akp rule, not only none of this has happened...

That's only natural; the bigger portion of any blame which might exist falls on Ukrainian politicians, intelligentsia and public figures who could not (or didn't want to, because of self-interest) read the situation and help the populace adopt the expedient attitudes (helping them avoid...

yeah I know you think that before you tell me: you watch Erlik, Veryansın and that whole crowd. I am quite familiar with the landscape of Turkish politics.

In the generation of current politicians politics was and is conducted with simplistic American-style short sentences; now with the new and improved generation we're getting a politics conducted with single words; the next generation will probably do it with grunts and growls.

words have meanings.

Category conflation: one is strictly about citizenship the other is a claim to a land. Israel is free to define its citizenship however it wants (including accepting converts to Judaism as citizens); however the religion is then used as a claim to a land (and even to lands beyond national...

So this whole discussion about mythology from 3000 years ago is a moot point. It's not about ethnicity or a people inheriting a land or being indigenous to it, it's about a religion which anyone can claim. I wonder why these discussions persist while there's such clear-cut refutation of it!

Can't you just literally convert and apply for Aliyah?

Japan and South Korea did the same thing for almost three decades to protect their automotive industry. The problem is not the tariffs, the problem is that none of the other necessary auxiliary steps are taken. Big countries who want to develop their industry can't take small countries with a...

You can't do this half-assed shit. Look how Japan and South Korea did it with their automotive sector: nascent industry protection. Unfortunate news is, that shit doesn't seem to work outside of far Eastern cultures when faced with higher levels of corruption and cronyism. Next best thing is to...

Yeah I just saw a video about Saudi Arabia's 2030 plan and the guy was talking about how the Saudis aren't on track for any of the goals, etc. and the comments were all Saudis just hurling insults at the guy, not one of them countering the arguments or the data. You can learn a lot about a...

Yeah I just saw the clickbait, watched the video later.