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  1. C

    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    The decision makers chose a very high risk / low reward strategy, and it backfired. I find it extremely irresponsible to completely ignore the enemy’s air defences and air force when deciding to do a “one time” strike. If you’re unwilling to do SEAD/DEAD because you want to avoid escalation...
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    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    The only thing it proves is that IAF has executed a very ill-prepared attack, with no consideration whatsoever to Pakistani air defences. When you desconsider your opponent, you risk making a fool of yourself. Many people think that modern weapons win wars by themselves, but this is not how it...
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    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    We shall see later today how Dassault Aviation stock opens in Paris. If it opens sharply down, than it might be a confirmation of a Rafale being downed. If it trades as usual, it would point to the opposite. Euronext Paris market opens in 45 minutes. Too bad it is very late here and I have to...
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    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    Where did you see Dassault Aviation stock go down? The market is closed in France at this hour, and yesterday it fell just a little, nothing special related to an event. Also, stock market movements are based on speculation, not confirmed information. So far, we don’t know for sure if any...
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    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    It’s crazy that they put limits on upside movements. Most stock markets only halt trading for downside movements…
  6. C

    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    That would be more credible, as it would be the older Mirage 2000 instead of the modern Rafale.
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    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    Is there a 20% daily limit for stocks on the Shenzen market? It seems that trading was halted after the stock jumped by 20%.
  8. C

    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    Yes, five jets seems extremely unlikely, but it is interesting to see if they had shot down one or two jets, and if they indeed managed to shot down a Rafale.
  9. C

    Live Conflict Pakistan-India Conflict (2025)

    According to the CNN live reports on the situation, Pakistani sources claim they have downed five Indian jets, of which three are Rafales: ”In a statement released to reporters, the security sources said three French-made Rafale jets, one MiG-29 and one SU-30 fighter jets were downed “in...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Trump has repeatedly said this, in order to justify his surrender deal. He tries to present his surrender as a victory, in the sense that Russia is giving up the rest of Ukraine, which they would otherwise conquer. So, when Trump wants to broker a peace deal where Russia keeps all the land it...
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    Live Conflict Syria After the Civil War

    Apparently, Netanyahu’s plane was barred from flying over Turkey, and this is why he cancelled his visit to Azerbaidjan: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-forced-to-cancel-azerbaijan-visit-because-turkey-barred-him-from-airspace/
  12. C

    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    I perfectly agree with you here. It is a disgrace that European countries are willing to spend less on defending Ukraine than what they spent on Covid. The threat posed by Russia is many magnitudes higher than Covid, and it is perfectly known how to spend the money to defeat Russia, while with...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    While I agree with this as a pragmatic solution, I think purchases from the US should be avoided as much as possible, and the excessive cash should be used to ramp up capacity in Europe and Ukraine. Give European companies big contracts worth billions of dollars so that they have the certainty...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The problem with this situation is that it will be very hard to justify sending money to Ukraine for countries like Australia or New Zealand, when the US is not only not giving money, but actually making a profit by selling military hardware (and also getting the minerals). Why should...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    So here are the main changes regarding Ukraine since Trump came to office: 1) The US will sell weapons to Ukraine (paid by Europe, because Ukraine doesn’t have the money) instead of giving them for free. Winner: US Losers: Ukraine, Europe 2) The minerals deal where US gets rights to Ukrainian...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    The USA and Russia are two sides of the same coin. Both of them are imperialistic bullies who think they are above everyone else. The US’s advantage is that it is much more economically devloped, and being their vassal is much more lucrative than being Russia’s. It’s better to be the UK than to...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    While the deal is clearly not as bad as it was initially supposed to be, the optics of Ukraine being forced to sign the deal in order to appease Trump are awful. Why was this deal required in the first place? It was reauired because Trump wanted to humiliate Ukraine so he can boast to his...
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    Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

    Too bad that Ukraine caved and signed the deal. It is a sign of European weakness. Trump should have not been appeased. Europe should have guaranteed Ukraine that it will step up and replace US aid if necessary, but with the condition that Ukraine doesn’t sign any surrender deal with the US...
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    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    It’s not because of the nukes. Russia has many more nukes than Israel, and you shot down their jet. It’s about the combined diplomatic and military power of Israel that makes it basically untauchable. Israel has the full baking of the USA like no other country does. Also, they have the...
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    TR Foreign Policy & Geopolitics

    This is another reason why it is imperative that everyone supports Ukraine with weapons in order to defeat Russia. Now that the US is on Putin’s side, the rest of the world needs to get its act together and push for more military aid. Trump’s “peace” plan is desgined in the Kremlin and must be...

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