hundreds, 400/500 is a reasonable guesstimate IMO. Could be more though including old missiles. (Not very accurate)
Keep in mind Hezbollah has a lot more that can reach Israel in an all out war. They have to be factored in.
In fact, unlike iran thanks to advantage of proximity Hezbollah has...
I don't think they intended to inflict casualties and substatial damage. That would have gone out of control.
To some extent, yes. But an actual kitchen sink response from Iran in an all out war would be hundred of BM not dozens.
Also, we should not overlook the fact that, more 100 projectile...
I mean their exercise videos seems to correlate with their CEP claims. (I don't think these are fabricated)
We will probably know more from the damage assessment, the extent of what happened in that airbase.
It was obvious those hundreds of dornes and crusie missiles won't get through. However, some of those dozens BMs penetrated the Israeli BMD and struck that air base. That's the only thing significant IMO.
I can see limied strikes using F35s supported by Tankers being successful. But Sending large numbers of 4th gen fighters in Iranian Airspace may not go well for Israel. Even though Israelis are well versed in SEAD/DEAD, Iran has vast network of AD systems in various layers, obviously they are...
@Kartal1 Supposedly exo-atmospheric interception. You see this kind of fire work once in ages. God, I love Middle East! (I mean, from the comfort of my home😅)
That seems a bit far fetched. I don't think Iran has more than 400 MRBM that can reach Israel. It is unlikely Iran would launch 100 in this attack. Maybe couple of dozens?
Could be they are also counting short range stuff launched by proxies in Lebanon and Syria.
On another note, looks like...
https://t.me/mrtahlilgar/39049
I think this is the Air base. Same event from different angles. Seems legit. @Kartal1 Even if there isn't any serious casualties, it demonstrates Iranian missiles can get through, although in small numbers. But I don't think they fired many BMs either.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iran-strike-caused-slight-damage-to-idf-military-base-military-spokesman/
@Kartal1 confirmed by IDF, the airbase has been hit. Most BMs has been intercepted by Arrow BMD.
@Kartal1 Iranian BM all uses separable warheads. Those are more maneuverable than full body BMs. Like Iskander or Bora.
Also, it appears Israeli BMD, which I thought was only second to USA, did not fair well tonight.
I don't think Israel will let BMs pass through just because Iran told them we ain't hitting anything significant. If USA had patriot battery at Assad they definitely would have intercepted those Iranian BMs.