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that's just an ahistorical fairy tale. Back in 2014, during çözüm süreci, it was effectively akpkk (much more than it is chpkk now), and chp was fielding Ekmeleddin the arch-islamist. EVEN THEN, the akp islamist base chose akp over chp. so this story about how the akp voter doesn't vote for chp...

I'm for banning of any separatist political party like DEM. Is it doable now having seen the ruckus because of banning one mayor? Who has created the atmosphere that such an action which was common place before 2009, is unthinkable now? If the judiciary went that route, would anyone believe that...

Well, you're saying pretending to be democratic and having respect for rule of law is the first step in the slippery slope of giving parts of the country to the terrorist group; that happened during AKP rule not because they started off with pretending to be democratic and having respect for...

They are doing the bare minimum to win Kurdish votes (they are just putting forward liberal arguments for rule of law, not supporting the candidate or anything or having clandestine relations with PKK unlike AKP). The onus is on AKP and the mockery of our judicial system which they purged and...

Such incompetence. They let this horrendous guy off the hook in 2022 (after he was going for hunger strikes saying Ocalan is being treated badly in prison or some shit) so after he wins they take over because they knew they have the guy's sympathies in bright daylight and they can get popular...

They obviously do that so they can take over after the election; if they don't allow them to run in the first place, opposition may take the municipality and you don't have the same excuses against them.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-why-erdogan-akp-lost-local-elections I've heard this argument a lot that "9% decrease in voter turnout from 2023 is all akp voters". If you add YRP, BBP, Hudapar to MHP and AKP votes, you get like 47.7%. If all or majority of 9% decrease in turnout was...

If it was Turkey, the Economist and Washington Post and all the rest would be stirring up a tempest in a teapot. But if it is UAE, Armenia or someone else, mum's the word.

An embarrassment of riches: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-current-account-surplus-likely-much-bigger-reported https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-record-manufacturing-surplus...

given this assumption, where would IYIP votes go to? Wouldn't they go to ZP, Memleket or even MHP, rather than CHP? What does the numbers say about this assumption then?

The Gaza situation helped YRP massively in consolidating the discontent from economy among some AKP voters. AKP can also learn the wrong lessons here and adopt a more hardliner approach to win back those voters.

AKP's "annihilate YRP at all costs" operation should start today. If they also attribute this result to the contractionary monetary policy and Mehmet Şimşek and change course, it will solidify the conviction that that party is filled to the brim with inept consultants.

I'm aware of that; My arguments were mostly about CHP votes and how much they will be subject to change due to what they call collaboration with terrorism. I argue that twitter and gaming websites represent at most about 15% of the population and the isolated less socially active part of the...

Unfortunately a lot of times when you argue with people, esp. on the internet, there's no way to show and prove that you're right and they're wrong and those who are wrong can go on thinking they're right. I argued a lot with this Z Kuşağı over their delusions about Zafer. They not only thought...

As I said back then, a CHP win at the time would have meant a plummeting of their vote as the inevitable post-election economic storm would be blamed on them, and AKP would be back in the seat with even more support behind them. Not winning that election might have been the best strategic move...

Excellent point; there's this phenomenon when people read about stuff they know about in the media, they recognize that the topic has been handled very poorly. Then they go on to trust the same newspaper, or source on other topics that they are less knowledgable about, forgetting that these new...

https://www.veryansintv.com/yazar/erdem-atay/kose-yazisi/pizzaciliktan-tubitaka/

Unlike what opposition voters believe, YRP absorbing AKP's discontented voters is not a good thing. If by next general election they get like 10% of votes, those still clinging on to an AKP that they know is corrupt, will think "ok, these guys are getting serious votes" and might transfer to...

https://www.newsweek.com/china-russia-trade-problems-payment-settlement-ruble-yuan-sanctions-1881709 Same thing happened some years back when China didn't Veto Iran sanctions and followed through on them. They even were wary of the sanctions after Trump exited JCPOA, which were imposed outside...

Statecraft is not the arena of trial and error; we're humans and have big brains for a reason, we don't only learn from our own personal experience. Those who learn exclusively from their own personal experience are colloquially called "suckers".