View attachment 1524
I am looking at this map, and wonder if there can ever be found a solution. I don't think anyone is going to be able to wrestle the lands back from China.
What matters is probably the political will to find a peaceful solution to the area. Exchange of lands and such, but I do not think either of the two countries can do that.
There are two completely opposite motives not to want to find a solution: one, only the enforceable line of control needs to be identified, and accepted by both sides as a working arrangement; two, if there is no solution, who loses? As ever, throughout human history, the stronger power. So it is with Pakistan and India; India is the loser in the ongoing confrontation, and Pakistan the winner. Pakistan does not have to actively seek a solution; with her limited resources, merely by keeping a threat in existence at all times, in all years, she compels India to spend far more than she should, merely to equal what seems to be Pakistani capability. That capability is a myth, but India dare not put it to the test. That is precisely the same case as obtains between India and China. India does not need to find a solution; if China did not have an extremely tactically clever and extremely strategic leadership that cannot distinguish a game of 'go' and real life, she will have to keep on diverting some attention and some energy from her other major issues to keep the Indian pot boiling. It doesn't help matters that her leadership thinks that by doing so, she is impeding India. If they had for one moment thought the unthinkable, and done a mind experiment with peace on the Indian border, they might have jumped up in their chairs and rushed off to mend relations. But no mind experiment, no jump, just the same jejune falling back on seemingly clever, in reality bone-headed stupid calculations of what they are doing to India.....
Added to this is the unpalatable fact that the Chinese side has no solid facts to support their claims to the Aksai Chin area, that was a trade route open to all, controlled by none (except the Dzungarians, briefly); in all the dreary meetings between representatives of the two countries, China has failed to make a case, let alone a convincing case, for her claims on the region.
It is absolutely correct that the exchange of land would solve the problem, other than the uncomfortable fact that it will never happen.
The exchange of land is a bubble, of course; the Arunachal Pradesh tribes have the blood-curdling example of the native Tibetan and of the Uyghur in front of them. They are unlikely to voluntarily WANT to merge with China. So Arunachal will stay where it is, even the highly dubious tacked on portion that is the Tawang Monastery and its economic hinterland. In Aksai Chin, NOBODY lives in the disputed area; the first settlements are those that were part of the ancient Kingdom of Ladakh, and that is far to the west of the Line of Actual Control. In effect, an exchange of territories should be a no-brainer; exchanging a territory where the inhabitants do not want a change in the status quo for a rocky, icy wilderness really shouldn't make any administrator or politician think beyond the recommended 1.5 minutes. But Indian administrators and politicians are caught in a twilight zone, where an index of the deep-rooted decay is given by the government (centre and state governments, without exception) dogged compulsion to file appeals, and finally to resort to a very irritated Supreme Court. The operating rule here is that if an administrator accepts an adverse court judgement, he is judged by his peers and his political masters as a self-impeached traitor.