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Joe Shearer

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This thread is for Indian (internal) politics and society based topics etc. eg. the Bihar election results that will be announced soon.

In the meantime:

I thought this following author brought up some good points, it reminded me of the sustained bottom-up process (regarding societal reform) I was describing (regd India a bout article governing Hindu-muslim tensions iirc) at PDF that is contrary to preaching from insular bubbles and echo-chambers.

What do you think of this @Joe Shearer et. al?:

Full article given (so quoting in reply is easy) ...all credit given to author (Chetan Bhagat) and original link is provided:


The four reasons why Indian liberals are a fast-disappearing species​

November 8, 2020, 6:31 AM IST Chetan Bhagat in The Underage Optimist | India | TOI


I think it is fair to admit that the influence of Indian liberals continues to dwindle every month. Outnumbered and outshouted, the Indian liberals — a motley group of individuals who claim to represent more left-wing, inclusive and progressive values — have lost one battle after another in the last decade. Two national elections, multiple state elections, influence in the media, social media reach, following in the youth or policy impact — the liberals haven’t managed to win against the right wing. It is true that India is a power-is-everything society with the winner-takes-all outcome. Hence, if the right wing is strongly in power, it can literally control everything and enjoy a massive fanbase. However, it still doesn’t fully explain the low appeal of liberals in a country as diverse as India. After all, why aren’t Indians listening to people who claim to be more just, peaceful, inclusive, caring and progressive? To put it bluntly, why are the liberals failing so miserably?

The reason is that despite decent intentions, liberals continue to make several mistakes. This limits their growth and reduces them to an echo chamber of their own. India needs a proper opposition, in order for its democracy to work. This includes a liberal voice and ideology that reaches far more than it does right now. Here are some mistakes India’s liberals are making that limit their growth.

  • Failure to express themselves in a way India understands: The issue is not the English language. The issue is many liberals copy-paste American liberalism models and try to push them in India. It doesn’t work. Hindu-Muslim issues aren’t the same as White-Black issues. Americans don’t have caste-based reservations (barring some limited affirmative action). Americans don’t have so much regional and language heterogeneity in their population. For those who claim to be intellectuals, the lack of understanding of Indian reality and inability to communicate is baffling. Don’t talk down to people. Talk to people. And listen to them too.


  • Obnoxious, holier-than-thou, one-upmanship: Sure, liberals believe in equality for all and being sensitive to racism, colourism, casteism etc. However, many of India’s liberals have no interest in making the rest of that country that way. The only thing they want to project is that they are better and more virtuous than the rest. Sometimes, they outliberal each other, saying they are even more liberal than their fellow liberals. It’s pointless and a turnoff. Aim to make India liberal, not to prove how you are more liberal than the rest.


  • The lack of focus on changing the Congress leadership: All the wonderfully articulated articles, the expression of sensitivity towards all the less privileged and the rants on the BJP amount to little if there are no political wins for the ideology. The Congress was, is and will be the only real opposition to the BJP. The same Congress has a massive leadership crisis. As liberals are already outnumbered, they need to focus on one issue and put the magnifying glass over it. That issue is about the Congress leadership. Leaving it to chance, or letting it wither away while liberals write yet another anti-Modi article or talk about how BJP-ruled states are bad won’t achieve anything. Narrowing the focus to one singular issue — the Congress leadership — may actually help achieve something.


  • Modi-Shah obsession: Liberals feel these two gentlemen are responsible for everything in Indian society. The first BJP victory could have come from a desire for change or the personal appeal of Modi. The second victory, however, tells us something else. It tells us that Modi-Shah are the kind of people Indian society wants. If it isn’t them, it will be someone like them. Hence, attacking them is kind of pointless at this stage. If at all, liberals need to work on the values and mindsets of Indian people. They need to show Indian people why their way of thinking is better for the nation. In this, they shouldn’t appeal on the basis of morality. They should appeal on self-interest. A peaceful, more inclusive society is better for economic growth for instance, which in turn means better jobs for you or your kids. Saying we should all be “good people” because it’s a “nice thing to do” is not going to cut much ice.
Liberals in India are diminishing fast. While a big part of this is a change in Indian society, some of the blame lies in the hands of the liberals themselves. They have not made the intellectual effort required to reach and convince Indians. They have been self-indulgent, somewhat intellectually pompous and engaged in virtue signalling and one-upmanship. They have not focused on the single most important issue of Congress leadership and been too obsessed with Modi. A lack of a vision for India, which fits their ideology and yet is in people’s self-interest has not been formulated. If liberals and left-leaning individuals need to hold their ground, it is time for self-reflection. India needs a robust right and left to progress. The right is doing pretty well. It is time the left worked on their issues as well.
Personally, I plead guilty to three charges out of the four levelled - there has never been the slightest doubt in my mind that the Gandhi family is a cancerous growth on the Congress. I wish they would vanish into the wilds of Venezuela, or sub-montane Italy, and leave us alone to muddle through by ourselves in India. Congress supporters will hate this wish, but it is for their good; whatever we do for the country in general through the less-than-inspiring leadership of the Congress, that party will make ten times as much progress as the rest of us do.
 

KKF 2.0

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This is so similar to the discussion and debates in Turkey and why the (secular and/or liberal) opposition is not capable of dethroning Erdogan. I feel like Turkey is just a few years ahead of India in terms of political processes.

My biggest question is: Did Modi really made the average poor Indian richer?
 

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My biggest question is: Did Modi really made the average poor Indian richer?

Not significantly enough to merit the support he's getting (imo). But the support he gets is what the OP article context is about....in that opposition to Modi politics have to come up with a complete revamp in presenting their side of story for how India is to do better.

But let us look at answer to your question:

Credit suisse median wealth estimate for India:

2014 median wealth per adult = 2000 USD

2019 median wealth per adult = 3000 USD

Mean wealth per adult increased more (in absolute terms, % terms about same since GINI spread is assumed to be same) from 9400 USD to 14500 USD in this time period.....but a mean is distorted by the 10% wealthiest etc comapred to median (latter is more reflective of the average guy position on ground and hence I presented those first).

Overall 50% improvement in both numbers over 5 years (Modi admin Term 1). Thats about 8% improvement per year.

Of course a lot of these have to do with the estimation process credit suisse does and how that process has potentially gotten better for India with time so the 2014 number might simply be under-estimated etc. That is much longer conversation to get into...along with relevance of this number (given the non-financial wealth locked into equity that needs "trickle down"/"supply-side" via credit + public infra + welfare + public and private efficiency etc to materialise appreciably)

Also development is different to wealth. Overall development, we can look to things like the multi-poverty-index and Human development index etc. The progress under Modi admin is about same as previous admins here....and more impetus has been given to things like sanitation that likely show up in some survey data later in this decade. Let us see.
 

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Forget to add sources:

(2019 wealth databook):


MPI (lower score better):



DHS MPI.jpg


Next DHS is 2025/2026 to see results of Modi 2 terms on MPI.

Human Development Index (higher the better):


India 2014 = 0.618

India 2018 = 0.647
 

Joe Shearer

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This is so similar to the discussion and debates in Turkey and why the (secular and/or liberal) opposition is not capable of dethroning Erdogan. I feel like Turkey is just a few years ahead of India in terms of political processes.

My biggest question is: Did Modi really made the average poor Indian richer?
He and his clueless companions have done the most extreme damage to the poorest of the Indians. Their rather confused ideas extend only to the protection of the caste interests of the shopkeeper, the feudal tyrant in the villages extracting the right of the first night (and every subsequent night), and the jaundiced cankered traditional repository of intellect, that is, those who are still left behind in the old country and have not emigrated to the US of A.

I could go into great detail, but would it be of the slightest interest?
 

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The BJP put up a winning performance in the Bihar Assembly polls leading the ruling NDA to obtain majority. The Election Commission of India announced results of the polls in the early hours on Wednesday.

The NDA won an absolute majority in Bihar winning 125 seats, three more than the halfway mark needed for a victory.
 

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A thread dedicated to Indian culture, tourism, vlogs, food etc...place to get to know the larger side of India (past defence, economy etc) a bit more.

 

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Uh... how is the implementation of this law going to work ? You ask the girl if she was asked to convert to islam or you ask her parents ?
 

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The problem is that India has never had an actual liberal force. Calling the Congress liberals is laughable after 1965 is laughable

1. Shah Bano case
2.Emergency
3. Golden Temple / Bhindranwale
4.Shilanyas at Ayodhya
5. Hajj subsidies
6. Banning Satanic Verses

A few years ago I was at JLT, and Rushdie wasn't even allowed to speak, his invite was rescinded because of the Congress.

The AAP is the only party which has so far shown some liberal tendencies. But it is too new and too small for now.

Now compare this to the Democratic Party in the US or the New Labour in the UK.
 

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Defence PSU Garden Reach Ship Builders and Engineers (GRSE) has opened dialogue with South Asian, Middle Eastern and African countries to export and manufacture defence platforms, in the wake of the Centre coming up with Defence Export Promotion Policy in August.

While the policy seeks to provide impetus to self-reliance in defence manufacturing under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Scheme, it has set a goal for a turnover of Rs 1.75 lakh crore, including exports of Rs 35,000 crore in aerospace and defence goods and services by 2025.

Rear Admiral VK Saxena, chairman and managing director, GRSE, told FE, “The government has given us specific targets.”

The company has initiated dialogue with the Philippines, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Seychelles, Kenya, Nigeria, Oman, Saudi Arabia and other countries looking for niche GRSE products. All are government-to-government dialogues and can result in large orders. “Such dialogues take time to mature and transform into orders. But we are optimistic about the ongoing negotiations,” Saxena said.

The defence PSU, with a strong order book of `26,189 crore, is currently banking on three major projects — three 17A stealth frigates, four large survey vessels, and eight anti-submarine warfare shallow water crafts — the cumulative value of which is `19,290 crore. GRSE had also got orders of 8 L-58 LCU (landing craft utility), of which the last of the series will be delivered in December.

“We have bid for the Coast Guard’s new generation offshore vehicles and have responded to RFQ for seven air cushion vehicles. If these orders pour in, our order book will get stronger,” Saxena said, adding that in mid-December, GRSE will be launching the first missile frigate 317 Alpha, a 66,000-tonne ship.

(more at link)
 

Joe Shearer

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Uh... how is the implementation of this law going to work ? You ask the girl if she was asked to convert to islam or you ask her parents ?
Simple.

The Muslim partner and his (or her) family will be persecuted (no, not a typo, not a spelling mistake).

The Hindu partner will be socially isolated.

There may be one or more deaths.
 

Jackdaws

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Simple.

The Muslim partner and his (or her) family will be persecuted (no, not a typo, not a spelling mistake).

The Hindu partner will be socially isolated.

There may be one or more deaths.
What the deal with UP? Has it always been this crazy? It's like the Alabama of India.
 

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Simple.

The Muslim partner and his (or her) family will be persecuted (no, not a typo, not a spelling mistake).

The Hindu partner will be socially isolated.

There may be one or more deaths.
It’s a ridiculous law, but I don’t think I need to point this out. Next is Muslims aren’t allowed to marry.
 

sarthak

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It’s a ridiculous law, but I don’t think I need to point this out. Next is Muslims aren’t allowed to marry.
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UP BJP is basically attempting to create rift between communities appeasing right wing to help them in preventing interfaith marriage. Hopefully it won't stand in the court. Coercing to change religion is already a crime, lying about your religion to someone you marry can be grounds for divorce and criminal prosecution. The second link covers the legal aspect first one are accounts of the people.
 

sarthak

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[/URL]
UP BJP is basically attempting to create rift between communities appeasing right wing to help them in preventing interfaith marriage. Hopefully it won't stand in the court. Coercing to change religion is already a crime, lying about your religion to someone you marry can be grounds for divorce and criminal prosecution. The second link covers the legal aspect first one are accounts of the people.
Somehow second link didn't work here it is
 

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