Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

UkroTurk

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Stephan Bandera's birthday today.
1 Jan 1909

 

GoatsMilk

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UkroTurk

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The missile reserves of the Russian Federation

For one massive attack on Ukraine, the Russians need to work one and a half to two months. Ammunition of the aggressor country is running out.

Missile reserves in the army of the terrorist state of Russia remain for two or three massive attacks on Ukraine. This was announced by the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kirill Budanov.


Budanov said that the invaders are constantly increasing the time between rocket attacks. Moreover, the enemy reduces the number of missiles in one salvo.

“Everyone remembers: the attacks were on Mondays, then the missile attacks on Ukraine were once every 10 days, then once every 14-15 days. That is, they constantly increase the term and reduce the number of missiles in one salvo. This is done in order to simulate the situation that allegedly the Russian army can still inflict a missile threat on Ukrainians," the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate explained.

Also, according to Budanov, today the Russians have about one and a half hundred missiles left.

"Under very favorable conditions, the Russians can produce a total of up to 50 X-101 and Caliber missiles per month. That is, the Russians need to work one and a half to two months for one missile attack on Ukraine," he added.
 

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For Ukraine to really end this war they will need long range air defence systems and rocket artillery to that goes upwards of 300Km. But i keep asking myself when is Turkey going to send the Akinci with cruise missiles to Ukraine? It seems like we are reaching a point where Russia can be totally cleaned up from Ukraine.

It doesn't get mentioned but considering the direct relationship the Baykar guys have the Ukrainian administration, this has had to of come up. Send 10 of those things with a full arsenal and the war doesnt need to drag out.

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UkroTurk

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Russia is planning new offensives on the front
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Over the next 4-5 months, the Russian army may lose up to 70 thousand more people, and the Kremlin is ready for this.

Russia does not intend to end the war against Ukraine and is planning new offensives. This was stated by Andriy Chernyak, a representative of the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, in a comment to RBC-Ukraine, which was published on January 2.

"According to Ukrainian military intelligence, the Russians will continue to try to continue offensive operations next year. They have failed to achieve their goal in any of the directions. They understand that they will lose, but they do not plan to end the war," he said.

According to Chernyak, intelligence is considering the possibility that the enemy can simultaneously move from the north or east.

"Such actions of the enemy are expected and our troops are ready for this. True, the occupiers have no forces and means on the territory of Belarus," the military man said.

The representative of the GUR is sure that the Russians will try to keep the land corridor to the Crimea and capture the entire Donetsk region. At the same time, in his opinion, the invaders will not be able to cross the Dnieper in order to capture Kherson again.
 

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Hundreds of corpses: what happened at the Russian base of in Makeevka
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In Makeevka, a base was destroyed with Russian mobilized troops, among whom were artillerymen, signalmen, and special forces.
On New Year's Eve, a vocational technical school in occupied Makeyevka, where mobilized soldiers of the Russian army were stationed, was destroyed.

According to preliminary data, as a result of the incident, about 400 servicemen died and another 300 were injured. In what happened, the Russians accused "people in big uniforms from the Russian Federation" and even suspected that they were "working" for Ukrainian intelligence.
 

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Russian sources are saying that cellphones (used by recruits stationed there) were used by Ukrainians to locate this target.
 

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So many people who join this conflict treat it like a fcking holiday.

View attachment 52151

Yah well good luck getting that enforced in "special operation" narrative Kremlin has pushed on Russia (and continues to blanket with)....without significant whoopsie cognitive dissonance and worse involved....given Russian psyche (being pulled and strained in different directions for last 30+ years) already.

Play stupid (casual easy narrative) games, win stupid prizes...

They stuck in this mess of their own grey making of saying one thing, trying to do another.... and all the consequences of having this dissonance come with time to rule the roost with interest.

For Ukraine the goal is very clear and the butter is very clear on one side of the bread...for basic survival as nationstate.

The proverb of the hunting dog getting whipped by its master.....as to why it let the rabbit get away.....the dog pleading "you must understand I chased it for your sport.....but the rabbit was running for its life!".

i.e (your) casual ego approach being trivial in face of the others stark life/death.

Being single-minded is important in these things of life and death....two or three minded from the ego buffer you feel you have... just gets you the worse results.

For Ukraine there is no "how many lights are there?" tortured struggle session (that Russians increasingly face).... like seen for example with the Cardassians and Picard. Getting a painful zap each time you answer its four you see, from the one that says five it must be.
 

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Yah well good luck getting that enforced in "special operation" narrative Kremlin has pushed on Russia (and continues to blanket with)....without significant whoopsie cognitive dissonance and worse involved....given Russian psyche (being pulled and strained in different directions for last 30+ years) already.

Play stupid (casual easy narrative) games, win stupid prizes...

They stuck in this mess of their own grey making of saying one thing, trying to do another.... and all the consequences of having this dissonance come with time to rule the roost with interest.

For Ukraine the goal is very clear and the butter is very clear on one side of the bread...for basic survival as nationstate.

The proverb of the hunting dog getting whipped by its master.....as to why it let the rabbit get away.....the dog pleading "you must understand I chased it for your sport.....but the rabbit was running for its life!".

i.e (your) casual ego approach being trivial in face of the others stark life/death.

Being single-minded is important in these things of life and death....two or three minded from the ego buffer you feel you have... just gets you the worse results.

For Ukraine there is no "how many lights are there?" tortured struggle session (that Russians increasingly face).... like seen for example with the Cardassians and Picard. Getting a painful zap each time you answer its four you see, from the one that says five it must be.

The thing is Russia has made it so clear that they want to take Ukraine because its in their interests to take their old lands back while getting as much warm water ports.

Russia also has plans to dominate the black sea.

Russians came into this war thinking it will be like 2014 and 2015.

Russians plan of ending this war in days and weeks is over its become like ww1's own the war will finish this christmas.

Now the war is reaching its 1st year with no end in sight. If Ukraine does actually drive the Russians out completely especially Crimea will risk going deep into Russian territory.

Now imagine if the Ukrainians do actually go deep into Russian territory but it will also come at a huge cost.

The performance of Ukraine has actually surprised so many while Russia got exposed for being frauds.
 

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The thing is Russia has made it so clear that they want to take Ukraine because its in their interests to take their old lands back while getting as much warm water ports.

Russia also has plans to dominate the black sea.

Russians came into this war thinking it will be like 2014 and 2015.

Russians plan of ending this war in days and weeks is over its become like ww1's own the war will finish this christmas.

Now the war is reaching its 1st year with no end in sight. If Ukraine does actually drive the Russians out completely especially Crimea will risk going deep into Russian territory.

Now imagine if the Ukrainians do actually go deep into Russian territory but it will also come at a huge cost.

The performance of Ukraine has actually surprised so many while Russia got exposed for being frauds.

If Russia cares so much about it all truly, it would call it for what it is (see how you mention war and objectives)....rather than the vague BS piecemeal muddy slop they came up with (denazify special operation blah blah) and now want to struggle in and have to scout and coerce "hey didnt you say this before, wtf....I didnt sign up for this" folks to put into meat grinder as it endures.

i.e ego blab inevitably turning into "F around and find out" result.

But they obviously didnt and dont care enough about it, they had to disguise and warp it worrying about their narrative-sell and ego-retention with larger population of Russia.... thinking it will be quick easy win given the powerful anywhere in general tend to huff their own gas too much.

i.e "wait just a rootin tootin minute here" stuff from plebs and peasants....that would have likely snuffed out much if not all of the kremlins asserted cassus belli to begin with.

There is a severe psyche disjoint in Russia in the end and its been getting worse over the many decades.

If US called the war it had in Iraq for what it was (rather than the garbage WMD false flag excuse), it would have likely never started either (as feedback loop allowed to operate) and lot of last 20 years would be significantly different. Just like if US establishment was hypothetically more honest+transparent on the matter regarding the Gulf of Tonkin too and searched for actual based decision making reference on it outside just power corridors.

Russia though simply has nowhere near the hard (or soft) power the US had and has, only some small fraction of it.....so the pain arrives a lot quicker and harder (and cannot be absorbed and even laundered like can be done by the US with its buffer). The phenomenon basically scales to Russia's context in the end. They are learning this the hard way.
 

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If Russia cares so much about it all truly, it would call it for what it is (see how you mention war and objectives)....rather than the vague BS piecemeal muddy slop they came up with (denazify special operation blah blah) and now want to struggle in and have to scout and coerce "hey didnt you say this before, wtf....I didnt sign up for this" folks to put into meat grinder as it endures.

i.e ego blab inevitably turning into "F around and find out" result.

But they obviously didnt and dont care enough about it, they had to disguise and warp it worrying about their narrative-sell and ego-retention with larger population of Russia.... thinking it will be quick easy win given the powerful anywhere in general tend to huff their own gas too much.

i.e "wait just a rootin tootin minute here" stuff from plebs and peasants....that would have likely snuffed out much if not all of the kremlins asserted cassus belli to begin with.

There is a severe psyche disjoint in Russia in the end and its been getting worse over the many decades.

If US called the war it had in Iraq for what it was (rather than the garbage WMD false flag excuse), it would have likely never started either (as feedback loop allowed to operate) and lot of last 20 years would be significantly different. Just like if US establishment was hypothetically more honest+transparent on the matter regarding the Gulf of Tonkin too and searched for actual based decision making reference on it outside just power corridors.

Russia though simply has nowhere near the hard (or soft) power the US had and has, only some small fraction of it.....so the pain arrives a lot quicker and harder (and cannot be absorbed and even laundered like can be done by the US with its buffer). The phenomenon basically scales to Russia's context in the end. They are learning this the hard way.

Nowadays wars are all about deception.

Russia basically hid their war aims with dubious claims to justify their fighting.

Just like how the usa used the wmds as an excuse or the war on terror bs to attack iraq.

Nowadays nobody will make their aims of what they are fighting clear as they will wrap it around to justify their cause.

Usa will not say we are here for oil and neither will Russia say we want Ukraine because we want land when it comes to the international community.

Then again power is everything as both have veto in the UN council and they believe they can do whatever the f they want.

Russia went into Georgia, Chechnya and Syria without any repcussions or consequences this sort of thinking made them believe they will get away with it in Ukraine.
 
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