Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Ryder]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1695736594462908858

This part has my attention: " People 20, 50, 100 years in the future will not see this other than as a genocidal invasion. History will remember the shelling of civilians, grinding whole towns into dust, sending convicts into suicidal assaults, and doing 1000 times more damage than what the claimed reason for the invasion did. "

I'm going to predict even further In 100 years, the Ukraine-Russian war will be remembered... in history books, anime adaptation, and academic discussions, angry teens will grow up simping for Putin, and life continues.

It's incredible that they actually believe that the world will stay the same for another Century. 20 years is the amount of time for China to transition from a Third World Country into a World Power, 50 years is the amount of time politics in the US transitioned from the likes of Kennedy to Trump, and 100 years is the period the all powerful Britain's Pax Britannica to decline so much to the point that they surrendered Hong Kong.

Without the Americans holding everything together (which they will eventually let go) anything you hold for dear will fall apart, that includes controlling narratives on who is in the right and who is in the wrong.

Also...will Wikipedia and NAFO still exist in 100 years ?

Jackson Hinkle is simping for Russia because his married to a Russian Girl lmaoooo

What Russian beauty does to a man hahahaha

 

[Woland]

Jackson Hinkle is simping for Russia because his married to a Russian Girl lmaoooo

What Russian beauty does to a man hahahaha

Bit off topic but... he was simping for Russia before the girl came into his life. And considering the girl still lists herself as an escort as recently as 3 months ago:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1692316281242862060

and ironically pretends to be Ukrainian, I don't think there's much of a relationship there.

More on topic: Jackson Hinkle, like a lot of other pro-Russian Western bloggers, uses the niche of contrarianism to attract an audience and use it to stay relevant and popular. Supporting Russia specifically has the additional benefit of attracting paid Russian bots whose goal is to promote pro-Russian narratives. Jackson Hinkle also simps for North Korea, Syria and as of a month ago, Niger.

 

[Ryder]

Bit off topic but... he was simping for Russia before the girl came into his life. And considering the girl still lists herself as an escort as recently as 3 months ago:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1692316281242862060

and ironically pretends to be Ukrainian, I don't think there's much of a relationship there.

More on topic: Jackson Hinkle, like a lot of other pro-Russian Western bloggers, uses the niche of contrarianism to attract an audience and use it to stay relevant and popular. Supporting Russia specifically has the additional benefit of attracting paid Russian bots whose goal is to promote pro-Russian narratives. Jackson Hinkle also simps for North Korea, Syria and as of a month ago, Niger.

This is even much worse damn!!

Thank you for posting this. Basically pro Russian narratives just help attract bots.

Just another type of warfare. The information war. Russia doing its best to change the narrative for the world.

 

[Relic]

Updated Lostarmour.info map. It has counted 120 visually confirmed AFU vehicles destroyed in this area between Malaya, Tokmachka and Rabotino

View attachment 60600

They brought nearly 3000 vehicles of all types to the Southern front. Losing 120 of them during a multi-week offensive is normal. They've also recovered quite a few heavily damaged vehicles as they've advanced, and have managed to send many of them for repair. For example, of the Leopard 2 MBTs that have been hit by Russia, only 5 have been completely destroyed. The remainder have been recovered and are being repaired in Poland and Germany.

In 13 Weeks, Ukraine Has Lost Just Five Of Its 71 Leopard 2 Tanks

The fundamental toughness of the 69-ton Leopard 2 means tanks might take damage, visit a depot, return to the fighting then again take damage and head out for repairs.

www.forbes.com

 

[Relic]

Germany and Greece are working on a deal that will send 100 Greek Leopard 1GR MBTs to Ukraine, ASAP. In exchange, Germany with buy 100 Leopard 1A5 MBTs (stored in Italy) owned by Swiss arms dealer Ruag. Germany will upgrade the armor and sights on those Italian Leopard 1A5s (at their cost) and Greece will get better, upgraded tanks in return for those sent to Ukraine.

The reason this plan is being orchestrated is that the Swiss Government blocked the sale of the stored Leopard 1A5s to Germany, because they were being sent to a war zone, which is against their neutrality policy. Therefore, they will instead allow the tanks to be transferred to Greece, who will send their Leopard 1GRs instead. The sweetener for them is getting 100 upgraded tanks in return, at no cost to them.

This isn't the first time Germany has pulled one of these trades off. They agreed to send both Slovakia and the Czech Rebublic 15 Leopard 2A4 MBTs each, in exchange for them sending quantities of T-72s to Ukraine. They also traded Slovenia some military trucks for their upgraded T-55 MBTs, which were sent to Ukraine. Finally, Greece previously agreed to send an unknown number of BMP-1s to Ukraine, in exchange for a similar number of Marder IFVs as an upgrade / replacement.

Regardless, if Germany and Greece can complete this deal, that's 100 more MBTs for Ukraine, on top of the 165'ish Leopard 1A5s Germany and Belgium are already in the process of modernizing and upgrading to send. In total, it looks like Ukraine could get approximately 265 Leopard 1A5s, reinforcing their armoured brigades that have lost many T-64s and T-72s during the course of the war.

Germany plans to buy 100 Leopard 1A5s from Greece for Ukraine. Espreso

The German government wants to buy about 100 Leopard 1A5 tanks from Greece. These tanks are in short supply in all European countries except Greece

www.google.com

 

[Gary]

Jackson Hinkle is simping for Russia because his married to a Russian Girl lmaoooo

What Russian beauty does to a man hahahaha

Imo, the Western right winger's "trad" movement will support anything that attacks the liberal left order being enforced right now. That includes simping for whatever seen as opposition to the current world order like Russia, NK, Venezuela etc.

Doesn't necessarily have to do with their personal relationship (although there could be a link here).

Jackson Hinkle also simps for Iran even though he hasn't date any Iranian.

 

[contricusc]

Imo, the Western right winger's "trad" movement will support anything that attacks the liberal left order being enforced right now. That includes simping for whatever seen as opposition to the current world order like Russia, NK, Venezuela etc.

Doesn't necessarily have to do with their personal relationship (although there could be a link here).

Jackson Hinkle also simps for Iran even though he hasn't date any Iranian.

There is a lot of irony in the fact that the so called Western hard right supports Russia, the heir of the Soviet Union.

 

[Relic]

"By one U.S. estimate, the Ukrainians have fired about 2 million rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition since the war began, nearly exhausting Western stockpiles."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/08/27/ukraine-counteroffensive-russia-us-support-holds/

This is highly misleading. The West is nowhere near "exhausting" their stockpiles of 155mm artillery shells. There is a huge difference between their total inventories and what they are willing to send. Every country has a limit in terms of what they are willing to send based on their own operational needs. The idea that countries such as USA , Britain , Germany , France , Poland , Sweden and Italy have collectively exhausted their 155mm artillery shells is silly. 2 million shells is not close to the total shells owned by the 30+ countries supporting Ukraine.

Take the United States for example. The Americans have a stockpile of roughly 3 million cluster munitions alone. They've only sent Ukraine ten's of thousands to this point, to take the pressure off their dwindling supply of HE shells. Between HE, RAAM, Cluster, Excalibur, etc, USA has somewhere between 6-8 million shells in their working inventories and is producing more than 40,000 new shells per month, which will increase to 85,000 shells per month by 2025. Meanwhile, they're quietly contracting countries such as Canada and South Korea to create an additional 25,000 shells per month, all of which will backfill American inventories.

The European Union has agreed to produce and send to Ukraine 1 million artillery shells by early April, 2024. That's not because they've exhausted their supplies, rather, their supplies are reaching levels that are mandatory for their own national defense.

All in all, the countries supplying Ukraine (including Ukraine's own manufacturing capacity) can afford to send Ukraine 150,000-200,000 shells per month, in perpetuity. Ukraine will be enabled to continue to fire 3000-5000 shells per day, for as long as it takes during this war.

Neither Russia, nor Ukraine is on the verge of running out of shells.

 

[Ryder]

There is a lot of irony in the fact that the so called Western hard right supports Russia, the heir of the Soviet Union.

Right wingers especially the far right think Russia is either Tsardom of Russia or the Russian Empire.

Russian Empire that traditional empire which held Orthodox Church and monarchy on top.

Right wingers dont realise Russian nationalists tend to praise both Tsars and the Soviet Union even if many are anti commie they still praise the Soviet Union for being a strong empire that kept Russia on top.

When it comes to glory days of Russia its either the Russian empire or the Soviet empire.

The war on Ukraine is just another war of Russia clawing back its long lost territory while believing its their destiny to Unite both the Ukrainians and Belarusians under their rule.

It comes to the point that Russians make the argument that Ukrainians and Belarusians dont exist but are just Russians LOL

 

[UkroTurk]

https://ua.usembassy.gov/new-package-of-additional-u-s-military-assistance-for-ukraine/

250m USD New package includes AIM-9M and HIMARS .

 

[B_A]

Lol

Seems like he is getting sloppy seconds of a Dubai Port-a-Porty as well by the looks of it.


Dont understand Trad Westerners love for Russia or Russian women. Skinny, Age Terribly & a large number of them have no shame in working as Escorts.

If thats the best they can get well no wonder their own women dont want nothing to do with a trad Westerner.

In the heart of Westerners,

All eastern european girls just like Polish or czech or Romanian GIRLs are Russian.

Also in western films likes 007 series, white girls from all the world ,even English or Italian girls play the role of Russian girls.

 

[UkroTurk]

In 13 Weeks, Ukraine Has Lost Just Five Of Its 71 Leopard 2 Tanks

The fundamental toughness of the 69-ton Leopard 2 means tanks might take damage, visit a depot, return to the fighting then again take damage and head out for repairs.

www.forbes.com

 

[Afif]

View attachment 60643

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1696177274213605669

Interesting, looks like radar homing performing better than expected against ground targets. @Gary

 

[Sanchez]

Pskov airport near Estonia hit with drones.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1696631538216001935

Looks like good hits. And those are some long range drones.

 

[Woland]

Four Russian locations appear to have been under attack today:
- Pskov (damage to 4 IL-76 and infrastructure, claims there were ~20 Ukrainian drones + strike on 2nd GRU Special Forces Brigade base, according to RU sources)
- Bryansk (Druzhba Oil Depot, according to RU sources)
- Tula
- Moscow

In relevant news, Ukraine expects to produce and purchase 200,000 drones in a year according to the head of the State Service of Special Communications Yurii Shchyhol.

 

[Gary]

If the Russians said it's damaged, 90% prolly means total write-offs.

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1696679300110426487

 

[Relic]

New USA $250 million usd aid package for Ukraine contains the following...

- AIM-9M air defense missiles for NASAMS
- Additional GMLRS for HIMARS
- 155mm artillery shells
- 105mm artillery shells
- Javelin Anti-armor systems
- AT-4 anti-armor rockets
- Ambulances
- Mine clearing equipment
- Demolition equipment for obstacle clearing
- 3 million rounds of small arms ammunition
- Spare parts and training

Another "meat and potatoes" package to help keep up Ukraine's offensive efforts into the fall. Eventually, I expect to see another package with additional armored vehicles, as Ukraine faces attrition during their offensive.

For those tracking, USA currently has $5.55 billion usd remaining in Presidential Drawdown Authority, before additional money would have to be approved by Congress. They also have $600 million remaining in USAI, which procures items direct from industry, rather than from existing stocks. The Biden Government is currently trying to get a new, $24 Billion dollar aid package passed by Congress. The package as it stands would consist of approximately $13 billion usd in additional drawdown authority, as well as $11 billion usd in macro financial aid to the Ukrainian government.

It will be imperative that throughout the fall and winter that the Europeans ratchet up their aid as much as possible. Countries such as France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Sweden and Finland will need to continue to make significant contributions and we're expecting some key commitments from Turkey, Greece, Belgium, the Netherlands and Denmark, among others, throughout thr back half of the year... Can't really ask anything more of Poland and the Baltic states. They are more than pulling their respective weights.

 

[Relic]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1696679300110426487

Hopefully they can keep this up. Continually sending swarms of cheap drones (by the dozens and hundreds) to strike Russian airfields and important infrastructure, makes this war incredibly costly for the Russian military and better yet, the Russian tax payers.

Their economy is showing signs of major cracks and cost overages. We simply need to keep the pressure on them. The more expensive, irreplaceable infrastructure and strategic military elements we can help Ukraine damage and destroy, the harder it will be on Russia, which has already bitten off far more than it can chew.

 

[Gary]

One of the damaged Il-76

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1696670953042849862