Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

blackjack

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I am pretty sure the oil attack on Kazakhstan works against the interests of the US trying to drive a wedge between Russia and Kazakhstan.

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Relic

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The Netherlands 🇳🇱 announced a new military aid package for Ukraine today in the form of a $290 million usd contribution to a PURL package from the United States 🇺🇸. PURL packages are valued at $500 million usd, therefore, the Dutch will be teaming up with an undisclosed nation (at least to this point) who will provide the other $210 million usd to complete the purchase. The package will will consist of the following:

- Air Defense Missiles (NASAMS/Patriot)
- AIM-9 and AIM-120 Missiles (F-16s)
- Recon and Kamikaze Drones
- Sustainment and Spare Parts for F-16s


 

Relic

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Italy 🇮🇹 has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine, it's 12th package of the war. In keeping with Italian "tradition" the contents of the package have not been divulged, although anonymous sources have stated that the package contains, among other things, armored vehicles and SAMP/T air defense missiles.

Italy 🇮🇹 also signaled that they will join the list of countries contributing to the PURL initiative to buy U.S. made weapons directly for Ukraine. The Italians did not announce how much money they'd be donating to the PURL purchase.

 

Relic

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Today Luxembourg 🇱🇺 announced a $17 million usd pledge towards a PURL package from the United States 🇺🇸.

Meanwhile, Germany 🇩🇪, Norway 🇳🇴 and Poland 🇵🇱 indicated that they will team up to jointly fund a PURL package in December.

Politico is reporting that Australia 🇦🇺 and New Zealand 🇳🇿 are expected to jointly announce their co-funding of a package in the coming days.

Mark Rutte has indeed indicated that the goal is for Ukraine's allies to contribute AT LEAST $1 Billion usd per month to the PURL initiative in 2026. That would include the purchase of 24 packages, valued $500 million usd each. Rutte also noted that while the majority of Europe's key players + allies in Canada 🇨🇦, Australia and New Zealand have joined the funding initiative, some key funders have not yet made their intentions known. Italy 🇮🇹 has agreed to provide funds, but hasn't detailed how much support they are willing to contribute. Meanwhile, Britain 🇬🇧 and France 🇫🇷 have not yet contributed to PURL, instead focusing on domestically made weapons for Ukraine. Meanwhile, Greece 🇬🇷, Portugal 🇵🇹 and the Czech Republic 🇨🇿 are examples of mid sized European countries Rutte and the rest of the EU hope to convince to step up.

If Ukraine's Allies are going to fund the $12 Billion usd project in 2026, I suspect it would like something like the following....

Germany 🇩🇪: $2 Billion usd
Norway 🇳🇴: $1.25 Billion usd
Canada 🇨🇦: $1.25 Billion usd
Netherlands 🇳🇱: $1Billion usd
Spain 🇪🇸: $1 Billion usd
Sweden 🇸🇪: $750 Million usd
Denmark 🇩🇰: $750 Million usd
Britain 🇬🇧: $500 Million usd
France 🇫🇷: $500 Million usd
Italy 🇮🇹: $500 Million usd
Finland 🇫🇮: $500 Million usd
Poland 🇵🇱: $500 Million usd
Belgium 🇧🇪: $250 Million usd
Czech Republic 🇨🇿: $250 Million usd
Australia 🇦🇺: $250 Million usd
Greece 🇬🇷: $250 Million usd
Portugal 🇵🇹: $100 Million usd
Latvia 🇱🇻: $100 Million usd
Lithuania 🇱🇹: $100 Million usd
Croatia 🇭🇷: $100 Million usd
Estonia 🇪🇪: $50 Million usd
Luxembourg 🇱🇺: $50 Million usd
New Zealand 🇳🇿: $50 Million usd
Bulgaria 🇧🇬: $50 Million usd
Romania 🇷🇴: $50 Million usd
 

Relic

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As expected, Australia 🇦🇺 and New Zealand 🇳🇿 have jointly announced a new military aid package for Ukraine valued at $110 million usd. The package consists of the following...

- Tactical Air Defense RADARS
- Military Engineering Equipment
- $65 million usd contribution to the PURL Initiative to purchase weapons from USA 🇺🇸 for Ukraine.

Note: Ukraine is also in conversation with Australia surrounding the transfer of additional Bushmaster APCs, as well as Australia's soon-to-be-retired fleet of Eurocopter / Airbus Tiger attack helicopters.


 

Oublious

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Kushner and Witkoff are now talking in Russia, what kind sell out are they talking about?
 

Spitfire9

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President Vladimir Putin has warned again that Ukrainian troops must withdraw from Ukraine's eastern Donbas region or Russia will seize it, rejecting any compromise over how to end the war in Ukraine.

"Either we liberate these territories by force, or Ukrainian troops will leave these territories," he told India Today. Moscow controls around 85% of Donbas.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has ruled out ceding territory.

So, no peace in Ukraine for some time. When did Russian-backed fighters start trying to take the Donbas? Was it 2014?

About oil/gas revenues:

Russia's oil export revenues, measured in rubles, have plunged 50% this year, tumbling from the equivalent of 7.6% of GDP to just 3.7%, according to Goldman's analysis.

The bank's report landed just as the Russian Finance Ministry disclosed that oil and gas tax revenues fell 34% from a year ago, underscoring the fiscal strain.

I guess Russia's economy is now contracting. I think that figures released end January will show that Q4 2025 economic output was lower than Q4 2024 economic output... if the figures are not doctored. There is some speculation that inflation figures published are understating the real level of inflation. For example, officially inflation in October was 7.7%. Many analysts place the true inflation rate at a far higher level.
 
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contricusc

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I think that figures released end January will show that Q4 2025 economic output was lower than Q4 2024 economic output... if the figures are not doctored.

All economic figures released by Russia are fake. Lying it’s ingrained in their culture.
 

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