So which western company do you suppose would do business with Turkey in sharing critical technologies to develop systems, we already have heard that Germans are pussyfooting around the U-214 project. French and Italians SAMPT consortium god knows what has happened to it... These the western partners you speak of?
1) Keep their engineer base by delaying the project
2) Political reasons by governments to pressure Turkey
These major risks can be foreshadowed. No surprises.
SAMPT never advanced for political reasons, because of France.
There is many companies we do business with. From direct purchase to ToTs etc. We don't hear much as they are components but key for national projects.
Companies work on different mindset. They don't approach as nationalist like we do. Major solution providers accept deals. Including license production, strategic partnerships. Then there is government to government relations factor. Export licenses etc. but companies don't decide that. Companies would show effort to curb embargoes by locating to another country or start local production in that country. Thales would continue with local production. Hensoldt continue selling from third-party country etc. Teledyne would change components to make it ITAR-free etc. Companies will continue doing business with different approach. They adapt. I am not saying there is not going to limits but it doesn't end that fast.
Countries we have favorable relations with UK, Italy, Spain etc. BAE Systems, Leonardo join any tenders around the world. We work with Navantia, Indra etc. BAE Systems is in MMU program. We work with Leonardo. Component providers, we don't know. Possible partnerships etc. and not just favorable relations. If we go to GE, they have already established presence in Turkey. Offer partnership to supply engines to them with at lower costs. Make it exclusive for Milgem platforms, exports. They are going to want the deal. They don't go, yeah we are not giving that capability to Turks. That's government to government.
Now speaking of Russians. All the deals with them are government to government. Even if we buy something small as Turkey. Their government is going pull gimmicks. Masturbation. They are going to refuse systems we want as with western countries we have problems with. Not to forget, they are desperate for money. Lack resources as compared to international companies. They will do any monkeying until they receive money. Then fail to deliver. They are in their own bubble. They can't manufacture modern electronics but also can't accept reality of acquiring modern parts like from China. As it would diminish their fantasy image they are trying to portray. I wonder whats the fail rate for S300 series. I sure do not trust one comes from an Russian plant.