Pakistan to Import Gas & Wheat from Russia: Imran Khan

Gessler

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ISLAMABADPakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan announced Monday that his country will import about 2 million tons of wheat from Russia and buy Natural Gas as well under bilateral agreements the two sides signed last week during his official trip to Moscow.

Khan pressed on with his two-day visit and met with President Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin on Thursday, hours after Russian forces invaded Ukraine, with Western countries pushing to isolate the Russian leader for his actions.

Imran-Khan-Russia.jpeg

On Monday, the Pakistani prime minister defended his trip and responded to critics in a televised speech to the nation, saying Pakistan's economic interests required him to do so. "We went there because we have to import 2 million tons of wheat from Russia. Secondly, we have signed agreements with them to import natural gas because Pakistan's own gas reserves are depleting," Khan said.

"Inshallah (God willing), the time will tell that we have had great discussions,"
the Pakistani leader said, referring to his three-hour meeting with Putin. He shared no further details.

Critics, however, are skeptical about Moscow-Islamabad economic collaboration, citing tougher international sanctions slapped on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine. On Thursday, Putin warmly received Khan at the Kremlin in front of cameras, shook hands and sat just next to the visitor for what Pakistani officials said were wide-ranging consultations on bilateral, regional and international issues.

"The Prime Minister regretted the latest situation between Russia and Ukraine and said that Pakistan had hoped diplomacy could avert a military conflict," a post-meeting statement quoted Khan as telling Putin. Pakistani officials and Khan himself maintained that the Moscow visit was planned long before the Ukraine crisis erupted and was aimed solely at reviewing bilateral trade relations, including energy cooperation.

Pakistan's frosty relations with the United States, analysts say, have pushed the South Asian nation closer to its giant neighbors China and Russia in recent years.

Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi, who accompanied Khan on the visit, said after the delegation returned to Pakistan that Washington had contacted Islamabad ahead of the Moscow trip. "[U.S. officials] presented their position and we explained to them the purpose of the trip and went ahead with it," Qureshi told reporters when asked whether the U.S. was opposed to the visit. "I'm convinced after the visit that we did the right thing."

Speaking on the eve of Khan's trip to Russia, a U.S. State Department spokesman, when asked about it, said Washington believed that Pakistan, like "every responsible" country, would voice objection to Putin's actions. But Pakistani leaders have avoided criticizing Russia's military intervention in Ukraine and stressed the need for seeking a negotiated settlement to the crisis.

Islamabad also has developed close economic and military ties with Ukraine in recent years, with Pakistan being a major importer of Ukrainian wheat. Qureshi spoke to Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba on Sunday and reiterated Islamabad's "serious concern at the situation, underscoring the importance of de-escalation, and stressing the indispensability of diplomacy."

Pakistan sided with the U.S. during the Cold War and played an instrumental role in arming as well as training Washington-funded resistance to the decade-long Soviet occupation of neighboring Afghanistan in the 1980s. While Islamabad's often uneasy relations with Washington have lately strained over the country's backing of the Islamist Taliban in Afghanistan, ties between India and the U.S. have solidified in recent years due to shared concerns stemming from China's growing influence in the region. India, Islamabad's bitter foe, had close ties with Russia during the Cold War, as Moscow was a major arms exporter to New Delhi.

Moscow has restored ties with Islamabad in recent years, however. The two countries routinely hold joint military exercises and are working to deepen energy cooperation to help Pakistan overcome shortages. Khan in his address Monday reiterated that Pakistan's decision to join the U.S.-led war on terrorism in Afghanistan was an outcome of "the wrong foreign policy" of his predecessors.

"I maintained from day one that we should not have taken part [in the U.S.-led war]," he said, adding that Pakistan suffered 80,000 casualties because of an Islamist retaliation and incurred billions of dollars in economic losses. "The most embarrassing part was that a country was fighting in support of a country that was bombing it," Khan said, referring to U.S. drone strikes against suspected militant hideouts in Pakistani areas near the Afghan border.

Khan also announced a cut in fuel and electricity prices to help offset a steep rise in the global oil market because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

He promised to freeze the new prices until the next budget in June. Critics said the move could result from opposition protests over rising inflation that officials blame on the coronavirus outbreak and tough economic reforms the government is undertaking in line with a $6 billion bailout package from the International Monetary Fund.

 

Gessler

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Turns out, he's not a smart man.

It's actually not up to him. The Pakistani foreign policy is decided strictly by the Army-ISI deep state and the 'democratically-elected' government is only a puppet.

What is happening now fits into a wider pattern of behavior & events that transpired over the last year. Post US withdrawal from Afg, Pakistan is trying to reevaluate its position in the world and to see where it fits - as its quite difficult for a state beset with as many strategic & financial problems as Pakistan to survive without a robust alliance with some country capable of supporting & financing it with minimal questions asked.

For the longest while, the Pakistani establishment believed that country would be China. They were overjoyed with the prospects of CPEC - but slowly the inherent potential threat of losing control of their foreign + domestic policy began to dawn on Pakistan, as China slowly takes over Pak's financial & military institutions via debt-trap economics on the one hand and diplomatic/arms-supply hardball on the other. If you follow Pakistani political commentators & watchers, you will realize that Pak has been trying quite a bit to stall CPEC lately. The economic model is simply incompatible with the Pakistani social setting and threatens to turn centuries of socio-economic structures on their heads, triggering potential radicalization or civil war opportunities which can be exploited by likes of India or the US (which have an interest in blocking China's prospects, and the former - also in destabilizing Pakistan).

So you can't blame them for wanting to reevaluate their options.

They really made quite an effort to reach out to the new US administration, seeking to continue their relationship post Afghanistan, as if nothing happened. As if the US does not know that the ISI spent decades undermining US interests vis-a-vis the Taliban. Admittedly, there has not been any major blowback on Pakistan yet...but judging by the fact that in a year of Presidency, Joe Biden has not once picked up the phone and dialed Imran Khan, even after the Pakistani establishment made quite the furor about it, is quite telling that all is not well indeed. For a "Major non-NATO Ally" to be snubbed in this way is quite something, and quite unprecedented - I think the US too is reevaluating its position vis-a-vis Pakistan, trying to decide if it can be a useful partner in containing/bleeding China or not.


With their position with the US not really clear anymore, Pak began to look around the world for potential partnerships. There were some movements with Turkey, with Saudi Arabia/GCC, and even with the EU. You probably know better than me regarding how the Turkish relationship is going, and how the relationship might effect Turkey's standing with regard to US/EU (i.e. T-129 engines blocked for Pak but not for Philippines), so I will not comment on that.

As of KSA, it became quite clear to Pak that financial support from the Saudis/GCC is no longer going to be the same as it was in times past when the Arabs were firmly standing with Pakistan is its disputes with India regarding Kashmir or other issues. The GCC's strategic & economic priorities have greatly changed and they no longer see any wisdom in blindly supporting Pak over India - especially when moving toward a world not as dependent on Oil as the current one is. Not to mention that Saudi developmental loans to Pakistan are coming with stricter rules & ever-higher interest rates. Something which Pakistan, currently under its 13th IMF bailout package since 1988, can ill-afford.

Very recently, the Pakistan Army's Chief of Staff, for all intents & purposes the most politically powerful man in Pakistan, approached the EU with a request for Pakistan to be made part of the EU's premier Indo-Pacific conference, and for a meeting with Josep Borell - on both counts he was snubbed. So it was clear that Pakistan does not have a place in the EU's vision for the INDOPAC any more than it has in the US' vision.


"The EU’s ambassador in Islamabad, Androulla Kaminara, had pushed for Borell to meet with General Bajwa, an Indian diplomatic source said, arguing that he represented a pro-West section of the country’s establishment, committed to containing China’s influence.

EU diplomats, however, pointed out that the meeting would be inappropriate, as Gen. Bajwa is a military officer, not a diplomatic representative of his country."


NOTE: That is a polite way of saying we don't believe in your alleged stand vis-a-vis China.


All options exhausted, it was but a natural decision for Pakistan to fall into the Russia-China axis - not by choice but due to the lack of it. The last straw in my opinion came when Putin decided to test Pakistan' commitment - by scheduling PM Khan's visit on the same day as his planned Ukraine invasion. In diplomatic circles, when you are doing this to a foreign diplomat/dignitary, the intent is to gauge their response: if the dignitary decides to cut short his trip & leave, it unequivocally means that he does not approve of whatever move you just made coinciding with his trip (in this case, invasion of Ukraine). If he instead decides to stay - it means he stands with you politically/strategically.

A relevant example from times past (1979), when China decided to invade Vietnam coinciding with the visit of the Indian Foreign Minister:


It remains to be seen how Pakistan will protect itself from Chinese economic takeover. Perhaps, they will play a double-game? Working with the US to bleed China from within its sphere of influence? Remains to be seen.

+++

That said, I have previously written on this forum my thoughts on how Pakistan plays its "Islamic Bomb" card, and why it will dangle this carrot in front of any & all Muslim-majority countries that have ambitious leadership in an attempt to get what it wants from them, but ultimately will NEVER part with any enabling technologies that can directly or indirectly help in creating another nuclear-armed Islamic country:


@Nilgiri @Ravenman @Bogeyman
 

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Like i said before, the only way for Pakistan to grow (in economics and militairy and diplomatics) is to make peace with India, similiar to Turkey's fate because in order to grow and benefit you first must have peacefull relations with your neighbours.

This whole Pak-Indo conflict only benefits US and China. Pakistan and India are to big and meaningfull to be someone's proxy.

If Pakistan and India make peace and trade with eachother, than they will attract a lot of business and foreign trade and they will scare off foreign influence and foreign warmongers.

They could battle extremism on both sides and form a regional block (with Turkey and maybe Bangladesh) against the overwhelming Chinese and US influence. Russia has good relations with both Pakistan and India and also Turkey, so all three of us would benefit from Russian weapon and nuclear technology and gas.

Its an win-win-win-win for all of us.
 

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