Turkey’s Political and Military Reaction to the New Axis
It is absurd to believe that Turkey will sit with arms crossed as the alliance of Egypt, Israel, the Republic of Cyprus and Greece perform exploration and drilling activities for oil and natural gas in and around Cyprus Island and draw upon hydrocarbon reserves in Turkish and TRNC EEZs. Soon after tensions flared in the Eastern Mediterranean gas scramble, Turkey engaged in gunboat diplomacy in defence of its interests. It is clear that by ignoring Turkey’s claims for its EEZ and testing its determination on this specific issue is a serious gamble and by this way Greece and the Republic of Cyprus are taking extremely risky and dangerous steps.
On 21 September 2011, as a demonstration of determination, Turkey signed the continental shelf delimitation agreement with the TRNC in New York, U.S. Soon after the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC) issued licenses for oil and natural-gas exploration in its claimed EEZs in the Eastern Mediterranean, tension between Turkey and the Greek Cypriots-Greece duo increased dangerously. Having a claim that possible offshore reserves are also owned by the Turkish part of the island ,Turkey strongly criticized the move, underling that it was a clear breach of Turkey and Turkish Cypriots’ rights and sent the Barbaros Hayrettin Paşa a seismic exploration vessel to the region for its own drilling purposes and one warship for the surveillance of foreign platform vessels being used for oil exploration.
Ankara insists that a lasting peace deal must be reached between the Turkish and Greek Cypriots before international agreements over the hydrocarbon reserves can be made. Turkey also rejected 2013’s maritime border demarcation between Egypt and the Republic of Cyprus by saying it “violates the Turkish continental shelf at latitude 32, 16, and 18 degrees.” In a letter submitted on 2 May 2017 to the United Nations (UN)’ General Assembly, Turkey’s permanent representative to the UN, Feridun SİNİRLİOĞLU, stated that “Turkey is committed to protecting its sovereign rights emanating from international law and will not allow foreign companies to conduct unauthorized hydrocarbon exploration and exploitation activities on its continental shelf.”
In an interview on 4 February 2018 with the Greek daily Kathimerini, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt ÇAVUŞOĞLU described the agreement signed between Egypt and the Republic of Cyprus in December 2013 on the joint exploitation of hydrocarbon reserves on the Eastern Mediterranean as “null and void.” “We have clearly stated that the agreement violates Turkey’s continental shelf,” Minister ÇAVUŞOĞLU noted. On the other hand, on 7 February 2018 Egyptian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abu ZEID warned in an official statement against contesting the agreement on the demarcation of the maritime border between Egypt and the Republic of Cyprus. In February 2018, Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh SHOUKRY, defended not only the Republic of Cyprus offshore gas exploration projects but also stated that the 2003 EEZ maritime agreement with the Republic of Cyprus is valid. So, any Turkish move to block this would be taken as an attack on Egypt, as well.
Some of the so-called licensed areas, established by the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC) in 2007 in the south of Cyprus Island, partially overlap Turkish maritime jurisdiction areas in the Eastern Mediterranean. In this context, the so-called Block 1, 4, 5, 6 (where the Calypso, the second natural gas reserve in Cyprus is located in) and Block 7 are partially within Turkey’s EEZ. That is why on 9 February 2018 Turkish Naval vessels, on manoeuvres in the Mediterranean Sea, prevented the Saipem 1200 drill ship, working for Italian energy firm ENI, to reach a disputed offshore block. After being warned by Turkish Naval Forces (TNF) the Saipem 1200 vessel manoeuvred out of the area and set sail for Morocco.
Turkey initially demonstrated significant effort to negotiate with international energy companies participating in the drilling activities around the Island of Cyprus. Turkey even invited other parties to perform joint search activities, however its efforts and invitations were not answered. As tensions flare over the hydrocarbon reserves around the Island of Cyprus, Turkey then announced it would launch its own oil and gas research/drilling activities in the Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey granted exploration licenses to Turkish Petroleum in 2009 and 2012 in the Eastern Mediterranean off the Island of Cyprus. Since April 2017 Turkey has accelerated its seismic research and drilling activities in the Black Sea and the Mediterranean. This has been achieved with the help of Turkey’s first seismic vessel Barbaros Hayrettin Paşa, which was bought from Norway in 2013. It has been conducting exploration in the Mediterranean since April 2017. On 31 May 2018 Turkey sent its first drilling vessel Fatih, formerly known as the Deepsea Metro II, to the Mediterranean for deep-sea well drilling operations, marking the beginning of a new era in its energy plans. Fatih is equipped with the cutting-edge technological equipment and is able to drill up to 12,000 meters. Turkey currently continues oil and gas exploration activities in the Eastern Mediterranean at full speed. Escorted by Turkish Navy frigates the drilling vessels “Yavuz” and “Fatih” continue drilling activities in the eastern Mediterranean Sea off Cyprus Island since spring 2019. At the end of August 2019, Turkey’s second seismic exploration vessel, the MTA Oruc Reis, previously conducted seismic surveys in the Black Sea and Marmara, was also sent to the Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey continues its research and drilling activities in the Mediterranean with the two seismic and the two drilling vessels.
Turkey declared its readiness to go to war over the hydrocarbon wealth claims in the Eastern Mediterranean in 2014. On 9 November 2014, the then Commander of the Turkish Naval Forces Admiral Bülent BOSTANOĞLU told reporters during the ‘Blue Whale 2014’ Naval Exercise that he had been ordered to implement new rules of engagement in the Eastern Mediterranean if Turkish vessels encountered Greek, Egyptian or Israeli ships. “The Prime Ministry handed over the rules of engagement to the Chief of Turkish General Staff (TGS) and the Chief of TGS handed them over to the Naval Forces Command. We will act in line with these rules of engagement in the event we face a situation over this issue,” Adm. BOSTANOĞLU told reporters.
After witnessing the Beyaz Fırtına (White Storm) Military Exercise, a biennial military drill conducted during 14-25 May 2018 in the East Mediterranean and the Aegean waters, the then Chief of TGS General Hulusi AKAR (on July 9, 2018 appointed as Turkish MoND) said that “the Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) are determined to protect our country’s rightful interests, in accordance with international law and conventions in all our territorial waters.” “We always say if dialogue and cooperation cannot solve the issue, we will use our powers without hesitation,” General AKAR warned.
In August 2019 after receiving a brief about Turkey’s activities in the Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean Seas while aboard the Turkish Navy frigate accompanying Yavuz drilling vessel Turkish Minister of National Defence (MoND) Hulusi AKAR made it clear that Turkey will not sit and watch without doing anything, while others drill for oil and gas. “We have defended our own rights, and the people of Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) to the end and will continue to do so. Nobody should try to test our strength,” MoND AKAR said. Turkey has consistently contested the Greek Cypriot administration’s unilateral drilling in the eastern Mediterranean, asserting that the TRNC also has rights to the resources in the area.
As one of the leading regional powers in its region and having one of the strongest naval forces in the world, in terms of number and technology, Turkey has to establish a robust and constant presence in the Mediterranean to face any challenges in disputed maritime domains and to prevent any fait accompli on the continental shelf issue. For this purpose, in April 2018 Turkey deployed at least 14 naval surface and under surface platforms (two-three frigates, two-three corvettes, one or two submarines two-three fast patrol boats and six or seven corvettes) to perform 24/7surveillance (to monitor drilling activities) and reconnaissance missions in the Eastern Mediterranean. In this context the TCG Barbaros frigate and three corvettes were dispatched to monitor the Turkish EEZ around the Island of Cyprus.
To show its determination and deterrence Turkey has been conducting large naval exercises in the Mediterranean during recent years. The Turkish naval exercise “Mavi Vatan”, translated “Blue Homeland”, which took place from 27 February to 8 March 2019 and was an important show of force on 462,000 square kilometers in the Black Sea, the Aegean and the Eastern Mediterranean, with 103 naval vessels (including 13 frigates, 6 corvettes, 16 assault boats, 7 submarines, 7 mine hunters, 17 auxiliary vessels, 14 patrol boats, 22 landing crafts and a training ship) and with the participation of 20,000 soldiers. Blue Homeland 2019 was Turkey’s largest naval exercise until then in the country’s history, testing its ability to wage war simultaneously in the Black Sea, Aegean Sea and Eastern Mediterranean. This was conducted at a time of rising tensions over Turkey’s plans to increase its efforts to explore for gas and oil off the coast of Cyprus Island during 13-25 May 2019 Turkish Naval Forces Command carried out Deniz Kurdu 2019 (Sea Wolf 2019), the largest planned exercise in the history of the Republic, with the participation of 131 ships, 57 planes, 33 helicopters and 25,900 military personnel simultaneously in three seas surrounding (Black Sea, Aegean Sea and Eastern Mediterranean) Anatolian peninsula. Regarding the Deniz Kurdu 2019 exercise MoND AKAR said, “With the exercise, we aim to show the resolution of the Turkish Armed Forces and capability to protect the country’s security as well as its rights and interests in the seas.”
Turkish Naval Forces & Protection of Turkey’s Sovereignty Rights in the Eastern Mediterranean
Due to its geo-strategic position and geopolitical situation Turkey is obliged to be a maritime state and dictates it to have and sustain a powerful naval force. The Turkish Naval Forces Command (TNFC), the maritime muscle of Turkey, is organized into four major subordinate commands, which includes; Fleet Command (Gölcük, Kocaeli), Northern Sea Area Command (Istanbul), Southern Sea Area Command (Izmir) and Naval Training & Education Command (Istanbul). As part of on-going transformation efforts that were started in 2011 within Fleet Command, three separate Task Group Commands (namely North, South and West) have been formed. In 2015 in order to assure coordination and cooperation among those three Task Group Commands, the War Fleet Command (covers frigates, corvettes and fast patrol boats) was established and subordinated to the Fleet Command. Today, the Fleet Command, which constitutes the striking power of the Turkish Naval Forces, is the largest of the naval components and consists of: War Fleet Command, Submarine Fleet Command, Mine Fleet Command and Naval Aviation Command (the Command commemorated its 104th anniversary in June 2018).
Although it has shrunk considerably after the bloody coup attempt carried out by the Fetullahist Terrorist Organization (FETO) on 15 July 2016, today Turkey still boasts one of the largest Naval Forces in the world. In July 2019 the Turkish MoND disclosed that since 15 July 2016 17,505 personnel including generals and admirals have been discharged from the TAF. During his address at Turkish Grand National Assembly (TBMM) on 1 November 2018 MoND AKAR disclosed that since 15 July 2016 15,153 personnel including 150 generals and admirals, 7,595 officers, 5,723 sergeants, 1,261 specialists/contracted private and 424 civil servants were discharged from the TAF. The number of Generals and Admirals in the TAF decreased from 325 (in total 358 including 325 in Army, Navy and Air Force, 32 in Gendarmerie and 1 in Coast Guard) to 261 (to 196 if we count Gendarmerie and Coast Guard, which have been affiliated under the Ministry of Internal Affairs following the bloody coup attempt), due to discharges that were carried out after the bloody coup attempt. In this context, while there were a total of 54 Admirals (2 Admirals, 4 Vice Admirals, 12 Rear Admirals [UH] and 36 Rear Admirals [LH]) in the TNFC before July 15, 2016, as of August 21, 2016 32 Admirals, 65 Officers, 75 Sergeant and 5 Specialist Sergeant have been discharged from the Turkish Navy. As of February 2017, the number of Generals/Admirals increased to 201, and to 215 as of 1 July 2018. With Supreme Military Council (YAŞ)’s decision dated August 2, 2018; the number of Generals/Admirals were increased to 244 as of 30th August 2018 thanks to new promotions. The situations of the Generals, Admirals and Colonels within the TAF, who will be promoted, whose term of office will be extended and who will be retired due to lack of cadre or on grounds of age, are discussed during the YAŞ meeting held in August every year. In a press briefing held after the Supreme Military Council’s annual summer meeting on 2 August 2019, Presidential Spokesperson İbrahim KALIN announced that the number of active generals and admirals will drop from 241 to 233 after the implementation of YAŞ 2019 decisions.
According to open sources before YAŞ 2019 promotions (1 Rear Admiral [LH] has been promoted to Rear Admiral [UH] rank and 11 Colonels have been promoted to Rear Admiral [LH] rank) and retirements (1 Rear Admiral [UH] and 7 Rear Admiral [LH] have been retired due to lack of cadre) there were 50 admirals in TNFC including 1 Admiral (Naval Forces Commander), 1 Vice Admiral (Fleet Commander), 6 Rear Admirals (UH) and 42 Rear Admirals (LH). According to our estimation as of 1 September 2019 the TNFC has 53 admirals including Naval Forces Commander Admiral Adnan ÖZBAL, Fleet Commander Vice Admiral Ercüment TATLIOĞLU, 6 Rear Admirals (UH) and 45 Rear Admirals (LH), which is still less than the figure that it had before 15 July 2016.
Considering the fact that approximately 87% of Turkey’s foreign trade is performed via maritime shipping, ensuring the security of neighbouring seas and sea lines of communications, where Turkish maritime trade is concentrated and protecting the sovereignty rights and maritime interests of the country is of vital importance for Turkey. Supporting the defence of the TRNC and the protection of its vital rights and interests at sea is also among the objectives of the Turkish Naval Forces.
Due to the ongoing disputes on the delimitation of maritime jurisdiction areas (EEZs) in order to demonstrate a powerful presence against possible risks and threats existing in the Eastern Mediterranean and to discourage it and to prevent any fait accompli on the continental shelf issue, the TNF’s main area of concentration has been shifted from the Aegean to the Eastern Mediterranean. In order to ensure maritime security in risky maritime areas, the TNF ensures its constant presence either with a national asset or in coordination with NATO and/or multinational maritime task groups, to protect sea lines of communications. To provide security for the increasing tanker traffic at sea following the activation of the of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Pipeline, to have situational awareness in Turkish maritime jurisdiction areas and to assert its constant presence in large numbers around Cyprus Island, the TNF launched a national Maritime Security Operation named ‘Mediterranean Shield’ in the Eastern Mediterranean on 1 April 2006. Since February 2018 Operation Mediterranean Shield only covers duties and operations being carried out by the TNF surface and under surface platforms in the Eastern Mediterranean. Due to rising tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean, in order to show its strength in the Mediterranean, the TNF has boosted its presence and deployed 26 naval vessels (including submarines) simultaneously under both Operation Mediterranean Shield and NATO/UN task forces as of March 2018
by İbrahim SÜNNETÇİ
www.defenceturkey.com