Live Conflict Ukraine-Russia War

[Dmr]

North Macedonia has a total or 12 MI-24 attack helicopters, 8 of which are currently grounded (with no plans of ungrounding them) due to a lack of spare parts and cost of overhaul. I'd like to see those helicopters go to Ukraine, even if Ukraine has to use money from the European security building capacity to compensate the North Macedonians for them. Ukraine has Allies that will be willing to donate the spare parts necessary to get the majority of the fleet airborne again. A donation similar to the one that Croatia recently made with its MI-8 helicopters that they were retiring, would be outstanding.

As Ukraine looks to go on the offensive, they will be using a combined arms approach and close air support (CAS) will be vitally important to assaulting built up Russian defenses. Ukraine already operates the MI-24, which remains one of the better attack helicopters in the world today, and would certainly welcome some additional firepower in that respect.

Every single one of those was/is in need of serious overhaul.The MI 24 and the Sukhois have been grounded since 2002-2003.
Bit ironic how Ukraine send those helicopters and planes(together with pilots to fly them) when nobody else was willing to sell weapons to Macedonia in 2001 and now they are going back to Ukraine where they came from.Just like those 30 T-72 tanks that Macedonia sent to Ukraine in July-August 2022.

 

[GoatsMilk]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1637745269289746437

reminds me of saddam hussien.

 

[Relic]

Every single one of those was/is in need of serious overhaul.The MI 24 and the Sukhois have been grounded since 2002-2003.
Bit ironic how Ukraine send those helicopters and planes(together with pilots to fly them) when nobody else was willing to sell weapons to Macedonia in 2001 and now they are going back to Ukraine where they came from.Just like those 30 T-72 tanks that Macedonia sent to Ukraine in July-August 2022.

If Ukraine can use the MI-24's as nothing more than parts for their existing fleet, it's still a big help. Hours add up on each air frame and parts wear out. Also, North Macedonia is likely to have some of the weapons that they use as well. Sending those alongside the air frames would keep Ukraine in a position to continue using close air support against the hordes of infantry Russian is sending forward.

 

[HumbledCowTurds]

We're expecting another major military aid package from the United States to be announced this week, after the latest Ramstein meeting concluded recently. Expect the package to be substantial and include a wide variety of weapons and armored vehicles. Furthermore, the EU has come to agreement on a plan to provide Ukraine upwards of 1 million, 155mm artillery shells in 2023. The expected cost is between 2-4 Billion Euros. In conjunction with the U.S. ramping up production, the West is hoping to keep Ukraine's artillery capacity in the 4000-5000 round per day range for the remainder of 2023.

Here is a quick reminder the Western aid expect to arrive in Ukraine during the first half of this year. Note that much of this aid has already been pledged, but there is often significant lag time before is shows up on the battlefield. Remember, this list isn't comprehensive relative to what has been pledged, but a lot of other equipment won't arrive until the 2nd half of 2023 and into 2024. I also did not include equipment such as artillery that was purchased in 2022, but does not have a public delivery date mentioned. Finally, this list is no comprehensive, rather it's designed to highlight key donations and it does not include any weapons systems that have not been made public, which actually account for a significant quantity of the overall military air for Ukraine.

Fighter Jets
20-25x Mig-29 (Poland)
13x Mig-29 (Slovakia)

Main Battle Tanks / Tank Destroyers
28x Challenger 2 MBTs (Britain)
30x PT-91 Twardy MBTs (Poland)
30x T-72 MBTs (Poland)
30-40x T-72 (Czech Republic, USA, Netherlands)- Part of a weekly delivery schedule throughout 2023.
74x Leopard 2A4/A6 MBTs (Germany, Poland, Canada, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Portugal)
31x Abrams M1A2 MBTs (USA)- Note that the USA is trying to expedite this shipment
40x AMX-10 RC (France)
100x Leopard 1 MBTs (Germany, Denmark, Netherlands)- 150-200 total. Many will arrive in late 2023.

Infantry Fighting Vehicles / Armored Personnel Carriers
109x Bradley M2 IFV (USA)
50x CV90 IFV (Sweden)
40x Marder IFV (Germany)
25x AMX-10P IFV (France)
90x Stryker APC (USA)
37x Cougar MRAP APC (USA)
290x Unidentified APC (USA)
50-100x Kirpi APC (Turkey)- Part of package of 200 announced. 50-100 have already been sent.
20x ACMAT APC (France)

Artillery
20-30x D30 Towed Howitzers (Estonia)
24x FH-70 Towed Howitzers (Estonia)
19x CAESAR Self-Propelled Howitzers (Denmark)
18x M109A6 Self-Propelled Howitzers (USA)
30x AS-90 Self-Propelled Howitzers (Britain)
8-12x Archer Self-Propelled Howitzers (Sweden)
36x L119 Towed Howitzers (USA)

Air Defense Systems
8x AN/TWQ-1 Avenger Mobile Air Defense Systems (USA)
2x MIM-23 HAWK Air Defense Systems (USA)
3x IRIS-T SLM Air Defense Systems (Germany)
4-5x NASAMS Air Defense Systems (USA, Norway, Canada)- 9 pledged, but not all will arrive in 2023
1x SAMP/T Air Defense System (France, Italy)
3x MIM 104-Patriot Air Defense Systems (USA, Germany, Netherlands)

Loitering Munitions (Kamikaze Drones)
Unspecified quantity of WB Electronics Warmate Drones (Poland)
Unspecified quantity of Phoenix Ghost Drones (USA)
Unspecified quantity of AeroVironment Switchblade 300 Drones (USA)
Unspecified quantity of AeroVironment Switchblade 600 Drones (USA)

Specialized Weapons
Unspecified quantity of Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs (USA)
Unspecified quantity of Joint Direct Attack Munitions (USA)
Unspecified quantity of High Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles (USA)
Unspecified quantity of 155mm Remote Anti-Armor Mine Systems (USA)
Unspecified quantity of 155mm Excalibur GPS guided munitions (USA)
Unspecified quantity of 155mm SMArt GPS guided munitions (Germany)
Unspecified quantity of 155mm Vulcano guided munitions (Germany)

Ukraine Heavy Equipment(Not including the 2 ADA-Class Corvettes, of which 1 has been launched)
MBT's
*90- Leo2A4's
*31- Leo2A5+(21-2A6, 10-Str122Bs)
*28- Challenger 2's
*31- M1A2SEPv2's(Expediting process, either something like Taiwan is allowing Ukraine to "cut in line", or Ukraine is just getting DU Matrix Armor, oh well...)
*30- PT91(Maybe way more, been really merky determining how many of these they are giving. 30 at the very least..)
*120- T72EA/Avenger (the heavily upgraded T72s, 90 of which paid for by US and Netherlands and 30 at least donated by Czech Republic)
*~100- Leopard1A5s
*~300- Older T72M andT72M1s
IFV's
*109 - M2A2 ODS - SA
*4 -M7A3 BFIST(M3A3 Bradley with TOW launcher substituted with Targeting system for calling in fires...)
*50- CV9040Bs (Upgraded Mk. 1 CV90's, fully stabalized 40mm Bofors)
*40- Marders
*40- AMX-10RCRs (Not putting these with Tanks, it's a Recce vehicle so IFVs...)
APCs/AFVs/ASVs
*~300- FV430 Bulldogs
*~400- M113's of all types
*~150- YPR 765
* 90- Strykers
* 39- ASCVs (Canada Stryker)
* 100- Armored Ambulances
*~ 250- M1117s
* 208- Senators
* ~120- M and L-ATVs
* 1,800+ HMMWVs (including the ~800-1000 they already have)
SPH's
* 49- CEASAR 6 x 6 & 8 x 8's
* 14- Archers
* 72-Krab (18 active, other 54 being delivered monthly)
* 28- PzH2000
* 30- AS90s
* ~ 75- Older M109's
* 18- M109A6 Paladin
30- Paladin Ammo Loaders
* 43- DANA & DANAM2 (152mm)
* 16- SUZANA 2s (155mm)
* 18- RCH155 (Earliest delivery end of 2023)
* 38- HIMARS (20 active with 18 coming over 2023/24)
* 25-40 - M270's

 

[Relic]

Ukraine Heavy Equipment(Not including the 2 ADA-Class Corvettes, of which 1 has been launched)
MBT's
*90- Leo2A4's
*31- Leo2A5+(21-2A6, 10-Str122Bs)
*28- Challenger 2's
*31- M1A2SEPv2's(Expediting process, either something like Taiwan is allowing Ukraine to "cut in line", or Ukraine is just getting DU Matrix Armor, oh well...)
*30- PT91(Maybe way more, been really merky determining how many of these they are giving. 30 at the very least..)
*120- T72EA/Avenger (the heavily upgraded T72s, 90 of which paid for by US and Netherlands and 30 at least donated by Czech Republic)
*~100- Leopard1A5s
*~300- Older T72M andT72M1s
IFV's
*109 - M2A2 ODS - SA
*4 -M7A3 BFIST(M3A3 Bradley with TOW launcher substituted with Targeting system for calling in fires...)
*50- CV9040Bs (Upgraded Mk. 1 CV90's, fully stabalized 40mm Bofors)
*40- Marders
*40- AMX-10RCRs (Not putting these with Tanks, it's a Recce vehicle so IFVs...)
APCs/AFVs/ASVs
*~300- FV430 Bulldogs
*~400- M113's of all types
*~150- YPR 765
* 90- Strykers
* 39- ASCVs (Canada Stryker)
* 100- Armored Ambulances
*~ 250- M1117s
* 208- Senators
* ~120- M and L-ATVs
* 1,800+ HMMWVs (including the ~800-1000 they already have)
SPH's
* 49- CEASAR 6 x 6 & 8 x 8's
* 14- Archers
* 72-Krab (18 active, other 54 being delivered monthly)
* 28- PzH2000
* 30- AS90s
* ~ 75- Older M109's
* 18- M109A6 Paladin
30- Paladin Ammo Loaders
* 43- DANA & DANAM2 (152mm)
* 16- SUZANA 2s (155mm)
* 18- RCH155 (Earliest delivery end of 2023)
* 38- HIMARS (20 active with 18 coming over 2023/24)
* 25-40 - M270's

Yes, this is closer to a master list of what HAS arrived and has been promised / purchased.

Of course, my list is what is expected to arrive in Ukraine in the first half of 2023 (between January and July).

Many of the weapons that you accurately listed, won't arrive in Ukraine until the back half of this year, or in 2024 / 2025. Others are part of ongoing deliveries, in which some components have already arrived, some will arrive soon and others will arrive months / years from now.

 

[MaciekRS]

Ukrainian Army with some toys

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638134220898934785

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638165465615704065

 

[GoatsMilk]

 

[Bogeyman]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638208815047880704

 

[Dmitry]

Tonight russian missiles *Kalibr* destroyed in Crimea (Dzhankoi ) train station by ukraine`s drones​

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1637926667019591680

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1637954558809849857

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1637931134842445831

Russian missiles destroyed in Crimea blast, Ukraine says

Kyiv claims cruise missiles hit in city of Dzhankoi, in attack Russian-installed official blames on drone

www.theguardian.com

 

[Latebra Factum]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638208815047880704

U.K. to Send Depleted Uranium Shells to Kyiv Despite Warning

A Kremlin official said the ammo would be treated “as the use of dirty nuclear bombs against Russia with all the ensuing consequences.”

www.thedailybeast.com

London to Hand Depleted Uranium Ammo to Kiev With Challenger 2 Tanks, Says Junior Defense Minister

The UK has pledged 14 of its 227 Challenger 2 main battle tanks, along with a plethora of other heavy arms, to Ukraine — which Russia has warned will only prolong the conflict there.

sputniknews.com

 

[Latebra Factum]

The first appearance of the German Leopard tank on the battlefield in Donbass.
The tank was donated by Poland to Ukraine

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638238113280454668

 

[Ecderha]

putins invasion army

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638177291124740100

 

[Latebra Factum]

Is the decision from the UK to supply Ukraine with APFSDS DU rounds for the Challenger 2 will trigger a Russian response as stated by Putin ?

 

[Latebra Factum]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638298506782752771

 

[Ecderha]

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida arrived in Kyiv. Japan is a member of the ICC, which issued warrants for the arrest of war criminals Putin and Lvova-Belova.

russians are carrying out a genocide against Ukrainians. Also, russians illegally occupy the Northern Territories of Japan.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638168350617477121

 

[Gary]

Yes, absolutely they can use nukes. There's this thing called low yield nukes. warhead size hovers around 10kT-12kT, a little smaller than the one's detonated in Hiroshima.

Russia has 6000 of those...

People has only asked what is the implication on Russia only, without asking what will be the implication on its immidiate neighbor. IF...and this is a big IF Russia detonated one on the field, the questions would be...what would the West do next ? Low yield detonation isn't enough justification to retaliate Russia in return with the same kind.

• Pariah state? They're already a pariah state
• Sanctions ? they're brimming with it, and recently surpassed NorKo
• Countries severing ties with Russia ? With the exception of Belarus and maybe China, not one is important enough for the country at the moment.
• Military actions ? Could be, but escalations by two nuclear armed forces is something to be thought deeply especially if you want your house in Kentucky turn to glass just because some defenders in Donbass got nuked.
• Countries start proliferating nukes ? That's the Western led world orders problem not Russia's. Imagine another 10-15 country the size of Pakistan or Israel and nuclear armed...that would be much fun. South Korea has made it clear that they're going to follow that path sooner or later, Japan might be interested to acquire one. In the end its the Western order that will have the most headache because they're not only dealing with "rogue" regimes (as they like to call it) but possibly allies that is breaking the norm on nuclear proliferation.

I

 

[Era_shield]

Yes, absolutely they can use nukes. There's this thing called low yield nukes. warhead size hovers around 10kT-12kT, a little smaller than the one's detonated in Hiroshima.

Russia has 6000 of those...

People has only asked what is the implication on Russia only, without asking what will be the implication on its immidiate neighbor. IF...and this is a big IF Russia detonated one on the field, the questions would be...what would the West do next ? Low yield detonation isn't enough justification to retaliate Russia in return with the same kind.

• Pariah state? They're already a pariah state
• Sanctions ? they're brimming with it, and recently surpassed NorKo
• Countries severing ties with Russia ? With the exception of Belarus and maybe China, not one is important enough for the country at the moment.
• Military actions ? Could be, but escalations by two nuclear armed forces is something to be thought deeply especially if you want your house in Kentucky turn to glass just because some defenders in Donbass got nuked.
• Countries start proliferating nukes ? That's the Western led world orders problem not Russia's. Imagine another 10-15 country the size of Pakistan or Israel and nuclear armed...that would be much fun. South Korea has made it clear that they're going to follow that path sooner or later, Japan might be interested to acquire one. In the end its the Western order that will have the most headache because they're not only dealing with "rogue" regimes (as they like to call it) but possibly allies that is breaking the norm on nuclear proliferation.

I

I don't think Russia is in such dire straits yet, but too close for comfort. Another factor that could cause Russia to use nukes is if someone attacks them elsewhere. For example, if Azerbaycan attacks Russian troops in NK, Russia may not have the spare forces to fight back, especially if Turkiye joins Azerbaycan. Russian failure to defend its interests there would certainly have a domino effect across the world. To prevent such a scenario, Russia could use a nuke in Ukraine as a warning.

 

[Kathirz]

The first appearance of the German Leopard tank on the battlefield in Donbass.
The tank was donated by Poland to Ukraine

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1638238113280454668

I would be very surprised if the Leopards 2A4 are already on the Donbass. I belive they won't use it until they gather docens more of them for some counter-offensives.
The tank on the video doesn't look like it has Ukranian flags or markings, as other tanks having a cross. Could it be from a training program?

 

[Gary]

I don't think Russia is in such dire straits yet, but too close for comfort. Another factor that could cause Russia to use nukes is if someone attacks them elsewhere. For example, if Azerbaycan attacks Russian troops in NK, Russia may not have the spare forces to fight back, especially if Turkiye joins Azerbaycan. Russian failure to defend its interests there would certainly have a domino effect across the world. To prevent such a scenario, Russia could use a nuke in Ukraine as a warning.

I believe its Crimea that will be the real test if Russia finally decide to use nukes. Unlike the 4 newly incorporated area in Ukraine recently, Russians psyche does legitimately view that Crimea is an integral part of Russia. So losing Crimea would have necessitate the use of nukes because they view that as a physical occupation of Russia proper.