Ukrainian Forces succeed near Andriivka
Ukraine army slowly but staidly pushing in all fronts
Ukraine army slowly but staidly pushing in all fronts
Another Russian KA-52 helicopter shot down newr the front. The Russian attack helicopter fleet continues to take a pounding in this war.
Russian reinforcements in the Andriivka / Klishchiivka area were decimated upon their arrival to the front. In this video you can see the carnage everywhere.
Recent destruction of tens of millions of dollars worth of Russian military equipment in the Bahkmut direction. Russians are retreating on this front.
They've been getting battered there for a couple weeks and have incurred horrendous loses. The two Ukrainian Brigades (name the 3rd assault brigade) in that region have been doing incredible work, backed by Western artillery and HIMARS.Today in Andriivka / Klishchiivka area what happened is "gesture of a good will"
putin troops retreat victoriously. Ukraine army runs after them in panic
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Saying a prayer for all of the farm animals in the path of their retreat!News saying that it is Kadirov's goat army which was hit and they run out of Andriivka / Klishchiivka area
Unfortunately for them, their SU-35s are having very little overall impact on the war because they have a juicy radar signature and they are absolutely petrified of flying them anywhere near tier 1 or tier 2 Ukrainian air defense. One of the most perplexing aspects of this war has been Russia's complete inability to achieve air superiority, despite a vastly more modern and robust air force. Besides their long range bombers and odd Su-35 launching long range standoff weapons from Russian and Belarusian airspace, as well from over the sea, Russia's air force has performed extremely poorly throughout the conflict. It's even worse now that Russia has depleted its long range missile arsenal to the point that they are clearly rationing them and no longer trying to strike at heavily defended, Ukrainian military infrastructure in places like Kyiv and Lviv. Recently, Russia has essentially been mitigated to targeting objects of opportunity such as grain storage facilities. Their missile production is such that they can basically throw one or two tantrums per month, most of which is intercepted by Ukrainian air defense. After that, their Air Force essentially sits in the corner and sucks its collective thumb for the next few weeks. Once in a while they have some effectiveness with their KA-52 helicopters against Ukrainian ground columns, but every time they introduce another handful of KA-52s into a particular theater, they lose half of them in short order and withdraw them again due to expense.Iran hinted that they no longer pursue the Su-35.
Iran Implies Collapse Of Deal To Buy Russia’s Su-35 Warplanes
Iran’s defense minister has tacitly confirmed that the deal to buy long-sought Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jets from Russia has collapsed.www.iranintl.com
That means, the remaining 24 ex-Egyptian order could be inducted for their own use. Enough for 2 squadrons and more than enough to replace all their 4th gen jet they lost since the start of the war.
How about the Europeans first do so and match the American provision dollar for dollar....
Europe will have to start taking care of its own affairs on its continent more going forward....
The entirety of Europe are not the problem. There are key members of Europe (looking at you France) that are not pulling their weight compared to the likes of Germany, Poland, Britain and the Baltic States.So far Europeans have given more aid to Ukraine than the US.
Here‘s a statistic:
Total bilateral aid to Ukraine by donor & type 2024 | Statista
How much has each country given to Ukraine? The U.S. provided the highest bilateral aid to Ukraine as of June 2024, at over 67 billion euros.www.statista.com
You can see that if you add the EU Institutions, UK, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway and Sweden, you get a total of 70 billion euros, which equals the amount given by the US.
Now you can add all other European countries and the aid is obviously more than that of the US.
There are also additional considerations, such as European countries receiving millions of Ukrainians as refugees, providing them a safe place and in many cases jobs and money, so that they can support the Ukrainian economy going forward. This kind of help is not included in the above numbers.
You can also add the fact that European military help has been represented by larger quantities of cheaper weapons, instead of overly expensive systems that boost the numbers but don’t provide nearly as much utility in the war. All the Soviet era weapons and munitions provided by Eastern European countries don’t have a high market value, but have been extremely important for the Ukrainian war effort. They are probabaly all valued together as much as a single Patriot air defence system, but their impact on the war is obviously much bigger.
What I am trying to point out here is that the US is inflating its numbers to look good, but in the end most of the money is recycled through the US economy as they are spent buying ovely expensive US systems.
The pound for pound help measured in numbers of vehicles, weapons and ammunition greatly favors the Europeans.
The break through in that area is undeniably significant at this point. Ukraine is likely going to be forced to send reserves from elsewhere in order to stop the advancement, which was Russia's plan for this offensive. They're taking the pressure off of the Bakhmut and Zaporizhia fronts, by forcing Ukraine's hand and requiring them yonrelocate significant assets to the region.
Unfortunately for them, their SU-35s are having very little overall impact on the war because they have a juicy radar signature and they are absolutely petrified of flying them anywhere near tier 1 or tier 2 Ukrainian air defense. One of the most perplexing aspects of this war has been Russia's complete inability to achieve air superiority, despite a vastly more modern and robust air force. Besides their long range bombers and odd Su-35 launching long range standoff weapons from Russian and Belarusian airspace, as well from over the sea, Russia's air force has performed extremely poorly throughout the conflict. It's even worse now that Russia has depleted its long range missile arsenal to the point that they are clearly rationing them and no longer trying to strike at heavily defended, Ukrainian military infrastructure in places like Kyiv and Lviv. Recently, Russia has essentially been mitigated to targeting objects of opportunity such as grain storage facilities. Their missile production is such that they can basically throw one or two tantrums per month, most of which is intercepted by Ukrainian air defense. After that, their Air Force essentially sits in the corner and sucks its collective thumb for the next few weeks. Once in a while they have some effectiveness with their KA-52 helicopters against Ukrainian ground columns, but every time they introduce another handful of KA-52s into a particular theater, they lose half of them in short order and withdraw them again due to expense.
None of this refutes anything I said. Russia's far superior Air Force has been deeply underperforming since the outset of the conflict. Their inability to achieve air superiority is one of the most shockingly bad performances in modern military history.Hehe, juicy radar signature has nothing to do with VKS failure. Their failure is due to:
Now one by one due to the war, there will be improvement...so it makes sense that they would want to continue investing in more Su-35.
- Failure to train their airmen to do joint complex air operation prior to war
- Failure to develop necessary targetting solution and C4ISR prior to war
- Failure to train its airmen for complex SEAD/DEAD operations prior to the war
- Over emphasis on the old way of CAS (using rockets and iron bombs + low level)
- Which resulted in the VKS early losses.
We already saw for example:
- The exponentially increased use of glide bombs like UMPK kit, able to be thrown from a lot higher altitude and from longer distance than any previous Russian bomb
- Increasing effectivity of Russian ability to locate and destroy Ukraine's mobile launchers
- Russian coordinated strikes using hybrid high-low, fast-slow munitions to overwhelm enemy defence, such as the pairing of Shahed 136 and Kinzhal (which fail in its first attempt, but there is room to improve)
There's also a much ignored facts that Russian air force continue to cause so many deaths to Ukraine's fighter pilot especially the MiG-31s and Su-35Ss.
Also has anyone noticed that Russia isn't investing in more Su-25s, instead producing more and more Su-30/35/57 ? For me this is a cue to what the VKS are gearing up for, a more high tech, precise methods of conducting air warfare. This is quite a contrast from the army which, while retaining the production line of modern T-90s also re-introduce the refurbishment of older tanks.
I think in a year of two we will see a completely reborn and redesigned VKS. More lethal than the one we saw in the first 3 months of the war.
So far Europeans have given more aid to Ukraine than the US.
Here‘s a statistic:
Total bilateral aid to Ukraine by donor & type 2024 | Statista
How much has each country given to Ukraine? The U.S. provided the highest bilateral aid to Ukraine as of June 2024, at over 67 billion euros.www.statista.com
You can see that if you add the EU Institutions, UK, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway and Sweden, you get a total of 70 billion euros, which equals the amount given by the US.
Now you can add all other European countries and the aid is obviously more than that of the US.
There are also additional considerations, such as European countries receiving millions of Ukrainians as refugees, providing them a safe place and in many cases jobs and money, so that they can support the Ukrainian economy going forward. This kind of help is not included in the above numbers.
You can also add the fact that European military help has been represented by larger quantities of cheaper weapons, instead of overly expensive systems that boost the numbers but don’t provide nearly as much utility in the war. All the Soviet era weapons and munitions provided by Eastern European countries don’t have a high market value, but have been extremely important for the Ukrainian war effort. They are probabaly all valued together as much as a single Patriot air defence system, but their impact on the war is obviously much bigger.
What I am trying to point out here is that the US is inflating its numbers to look good, but in the end most of the money is recycled through the US economy as they are spent buying ovely expensive US systems.
The pound for pound help measured in numbers of vehicles, weapons and ammunition greatly favors the Europeans.
It doesn't refute, but it clears some misdirected information. You see, the USAF isn't that decisive factor either during the Vietnam war, even though they have the undisputed quality and quantity. It was USAF lessons in the Vietnam air campaign that transform the USAF into the monster we saw in 1991.None of this refutes anything I said. Russia's far superior Air Force has been deeply underperforming since the outset of the conflict. Their inability to achieve air superiority is one of the most shockingly bad performances in modern military history.
516 days into the war and they are no closer to becoming a factor in the outcome of the war. Instead, as Ukrainian air defense improves (especially over key areas) Russia's ability to project power into Ukraine, via their air force, gets worse and worse.
This was the group that was trained to potentially combat American, British, French and German pilots in a European war type situation? It would be a friggen turkey shoot.
Why exactly is such low interest on the matter being taken by countries like France, Italy and Spain?
Their commitments all range in the 0.4 - 0.7 billion USD when it comes to military aid.
Your argument that the US provision numbers are "inflated" and just being "recycled" somehow is not one I take seriously, lets leave it at that.
Firstly these are things being given to Ukraine....and they are happy to have it. Lets get that clear.
NATO military equipment being expensive compared to what former eastern bloc countries have to donate from former arsenals (and this being "cheaper" meaning US donation is inflated cost) is also a bad argument.
NATO militaries invest these costs to win wars (quickly) of a completely different nature to the one that can be sustained in Ukraine now.